02/08/2018 5:06PM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Saturday, February 10

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SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Saturday, February 10, 2018)

 

RACE 1: #3 Thou Shall Sing, #1 Golden Dash, #8 Refined Treasure, #9 Stellar Feeling

RACE 2: #3 Gonna Run, #9 Nuclear Power, #8 Ultimate Glory, #1 Sixty Sixty

RACE 3: #11 General Dino, #10 Everest, #2 Fearless Fire, #1 Calculation

RACE 4: #3 Elite Spirit, #5 Goldie Flanker, #7 Elite Boy, #4 Look Eras

RACE 5: #7 Planet Star, #2 Lucky Time, #4 Empire Star, #9 Ray's Call

RACE 6: #8 Beauty Connection, #10 Diamond Friends, #7 Kirov, #13 Mi Blanco

RACE 7: #6 Conte, #7 Easy Go Easy Win, #4 Lockheed, #1 Eastern Express

RACE 8: #10 Energetic Class, #1 Apollo's Choice, #8 Daring Fit, #9 Royal Mojito

RACE 9: #5 Strathclyde, #9 Ugly Warrior, #1 Winning Vangogh, #11 Giddy Giddy

RACE 10: #2 Fabulous One, #1 House Of Fun, #4 Pablosky, #10 Seven Heavens

 

RACE 1: BONHAM HANDICAP

#3 Thou Shall Sing was arguably unlucky not to win on debut over this course and distance three weeks ago. He’s come up with another plum draw over the straight 1000m and he should be hard to beat here. #1 Golden Dash won nicely on debut a month ago. He has to carry plenty of weight and he’s drawn awkwardly but he looks to have upside and he can run well. #8 Refined Treasure was knocked down on debut and his run behind Golden Dash is best forgotten. He clearly has talent and deserves another chance here. #9 Stellar Feeling, a Starcraft half-brother to Australian Group 2-winning sprinter Scarlet Rain, can run well on debut.

 

RACE 2: DUNDAS HANDICAP

#3 Gonna Run has performed well at his last two starts from awkward positions. He ran well on this surface off a similar mark in October, and this race looks easier. If he can get into a good spot, he can score another victory. #9 Nuclear Power will likely push forward under Matthew Poon. His last run was good enough and he should be around the mark. #8 Ultimate Glory is racing well and has a good record over this course and distance without winning. #1 Sixty Sixty showed little on debut. He ran well on synthetic surfaces in France, and horses with form on those surfaces tend to produce on the dirt at Sha Tin. Expect rapid improvement.

 

RACE 3: PITT HANDICAP

#11 General Dino had no luck last time out from a wide gate but his run before that down in Class 4 was good. With the right run, he can get into the finish here with no weight on his back. #10 Everest was a big-price winner last time out. He’s never looked a horse capable of winning at the bottom of Class 3, but he carries only 110 pounds with Matthew Poon’s claim and the blinkers did seem to do the trick last start. Don’t write him off. #2 Fearless Fire went from travelling strongly to being out of contention in a matter of strides last start when he was blocked at the top of the straight. He’ll improve here. #1 Calculation will go forward. He should finish around the mark.

 

RACE 4: PO YEE HANDICAP

#3 Elite Spirit has run well twice back down to Class 4 over this course and distance. He’ll get his chance to win another race here. #5 Goldie Flanker scorched home to just miss out last start. He’s got a wicked turn of foot on his day and if he gets the breaks from gate two, he’s going to be hard to hold out. #7 Elite Boy took a step forward last start, finishing second to subsequent winner Winning Supreme. If he takes another step forward, he should be right around the mark. #4 Look Eras will be on the speed and can stick on for a placing.

 

RACE 5: THE TUNG WAH GROUP OF HOSPITALS CHALLENGE CUP

#7 Planet Star has looked in need of 1400m this season. However, he has raced exclusively at Happy Valley, running well over 1200m before never coming into it over 1650m last start. This shapes as the ideal race for him, so he’s worth a chance. #2 Lucky Time’s win earlier this season was good, but he hadn’t lived up to that run until last start when he ran on well despite a check. With even luck, he’ll be hard to beat. #4 Empire Star has to contend with an awkward gate once again but he’s sure to have plenty of backers. #9 Ray's Call ran well last start over 1000m when he was checked at the 400m. He gets up to 1400m now and he can figure despite the outside gate.

 

RACE 6: SHATIN PASS HANDICAP

At one stage in his career, #8 Beauty Connection looked a horse incapable of stepping beyond 1000m – surprising, given he is a son of Derby winner Sir Percy. However, up to a mile last start, he stuck on strongly. He will likely go forward again and he can hold off his rivals to score a first Hong Kong victory. #10 Diamond Friends has been revitalised this season by new trainer Frankie Lor, winning all three races this term. He won off a mark of 46 in May 2016, so he’s capable off this rating, but he does have a wide gate to overcome. #7 Kirov, up to 1650m, deserves consideration, as does #13 Mi Blanco, who should appreciate the added distance.

 

RACE 7: KWONG WAH HANDICAP

#6 Conte is a likeable, no-nonsense galloper. He remains unbeaten from four starts, rolling forward and drawing clear on each occasion. He faces his toughest test yet, at least on paper, but this doesn’t appear the strongest Class 2 and he should relish the step up to a mile. #7 Easy Go Easy Win has done what most three-year-olds can’t in Hong Kong, in that he won on debut and produced a good run last time out at his Class 2 debut. He looks a potential 2019 Hong Kong Derby contender but expect to see another strong run. #4 Lockheed is gearing up for this year’s Derby, but he hasn’t had anything go his way in three starts so far. With luck, he can finish in the placings. #1 Eastern Express will relish the step up to 1600m. He’s on a mark where he should be competitive.

 

RACE 8: TAI PING SHAN HANDICAP

#10 Energetic Class has run well at his last two starts, a Class 4 over 1200m at Happy Valley and a Class 3 over this course and distance last start. He’s never won in Class 3 but he has placed five times from 11 starts, so it won’t take much for him to get a win in this grade. #1 Apollo's Choice doesn’t win out of turn but he usually runs a bold race. He’s drawn favourably and should get every opportunity to score another victory. #8 Daring Fit will go forward and can stick around for a placing. #9 Royal Mojito had been running well before last start and should be suited by a return to Sha Tin.

 

RACE 9: WATERLOO HANDICAP

#5 Strathclyde is yet to run poorly on this surface, including last start when trapped deep. From an ideal gate, he should be hard to hold out here. #9 Ugly Warrior has won his first two starts in Class 4 over this course and distance. He now steps up to Class 3 but he looks capable of handling this grade and he deserves respect. #1 Winning Vangogh has finished a half-length second at his last three starts. He’s going to be right around the mark again. #11 Giddy Giddy has never looked a horse capable of getting up to Class 3, but he ran well at his first start in the grade last time out and he can finish in the placings again.

 

RACE 10: PO YAN HANDICAP

#2 Fabulous One has not won in over 18 months, but his last run was strong and he should be better suited over this course and distance. He’s a major player. #1 House Of Fun has run very well this season without winning. He has to lug plenty of weight, but he’s a contender here. #4 Pablosky has generally been at his best on the dirt, but he’s run a number of nice races on turf this season, including three top-four finishes from as many starts over this course and distance. He can’t be dismissed. Frankel four-year-old #10 Seven Heavens makes his Hong Kong debut here. He may still need more time to acclimatise but he can finish around the mark.