02/09/2017 11:18AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Saturday, Feb. 11, 2017

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SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Saturday, Feb. 11, 2017)

 

RACE 1: #3 The Show, #6 Travel Ambassador, #2 Expedite, #1 Enreaching

RACE 2: #5 Best Jade Triumph, #6 Gentlemen, #7 Gorgeous Again, #8 Malayan Pearl

RACE 3: #5 Happy Happy Star, #8 Ambitious Heart, #6 Planet Star, #3 Golden Deer

RACE 4: #11 Lotus Strikes Back, #13 Electronic Phoenix, #14 Association Fans, #6 Vanilla

RACE 5: #6 Super Wise, #14 Fortune Bo Bo, #4 Big Time Baby, #7 Travel Datuk

RACE 6: #11 Hastily Feet, #7 C P Power, #3 King's Man, #2 Go Beauty Go

RACE 7: #5 California Disegno, #10 Baba Mama, #1 Lucky Girl, #6 Let Us Win

RACE 8: #5 Golden Harvest, #12 House Of Fun, #4 Clever Beaver, #11 Malmsteen

RACE 9: #4 Volitation, #8 Agree, #1 Pikachu, #5 Mr Potential

RACE 10: #1 Beat The Clock, #13 Daring Fit, #3 Roundabout, #9 Lucky Guy

 

 

RACE 1: BUTTERFLY HANDICAP

#3 The Show gets onto the dirt for the first time, a surface on which he’s worked and trialled well in the past, and he makes his maiden appearance in Class 4 here. Kei Chiong jumps aboard, the blinkers go back on and he has drawn the inside. Expect a better effort. #6 Travel Ambassador also makes his dirt debut. He’s racing well enough at the moment to suggest he can be competitive here. #2 Expedite is hit and miss but he is a four-time course and distance winner in Class 4 and with the right run, he’ll be right there at the finish. #1 Enreaching is yet to find the winners’ circle, but he ran a bold race over the Sha Tin all-weather track’s 1650m three back and a repeat will see him go very close.

 

RACE 2: FU TAI HANDICAP

#5 Best Jade Triumph has superior form at Happy Valley rather than Sha Tin, but his one start over this course and distance produced a shock third at triple figure odds at the Season Finale raceday last term. He gets Brett Prebble aboard and he can figure. #6 Gentlemen has looked a coming winner with the drop into Class 5, running two good races including a closing third on dirt last time out. He is rather one-paced so he will need things to go his way, but he’s a chance. #7 Gorgeous Again gets Joao Moreira aboard but also has to contend with the outside gate, although that is not such a negative from the 1800m with a long run to the first turn. If he gets in, he’ll be a big chance on his current form. #8 Malayan Pearl is honest enough when he goes forward. He’s tough to catch but if he turns up and runs his race, he’ll be around the mark.

 

RACE 3: LUNG YAT HANDICAP

#5 Happy Happy Star debuted strongly with a three-quarter length second to Daring Fit at his first Hong Kong start. If he takes natural improvement from the effort, he will be mighty hard to beat here with Joao Moreira aboard. #8 Ambitious Heart went close to winning last time out at Happy Valley and now returns to the bigger track. He is nearing a point where he will be breaking through and he should get the ideal run in transit here. #6 Planet Star looks a work in progress after his even debut eighth in the Daring Fit race. Zac Purton jumps aboard now and he’s another who should be coming to hand quickly. #3 Golden Deer has dropped a long way in the ratings, his last win coming at this race meeting in 2015 a whole grade (20 points) higher. With Silvestre de Sousa hopping in the saddle from the inside gate, he’ll be a contender.

 

RACE 4: ON TING HANDICAP

#11 Lotus Strikes Back steps onto the dirt for the first time at his 23rd Hong Kong start. The trip might be on the short side for him but he has drawn well and should get a perfect run here. He has looked good on the dirt, for the most part, in his trials and his trackwork and he can score an overdue win here. #13 Electronic Phoenix is one-paced but he’s also taken to the dirt like an old hand this season. He needs the right setup but should he get it, he’ll be finishing strongly late. #14 Association Fans paid 60-1 the place when he ran third at his last start. He’s looked a better horse on dirt in the mornings and although he might be in need of the drop in grade, he can back up his last run here. #6 Vanilla produced the biggest margin victory in Hong Kong in nearly 20 years last time out and got whacked with a 14-point rise. Sticking to the dirt is a plus but putting two together like that will be difficult.

 

RACE 5: PO TIN HANDICAP

#6 Super Wise arrived from Australia with a bit of a boom around him, and at his last two starts he has shown that has been justified with two good seconds. Now, he should be close to his peak and he looks likely to break his Hong Kong maiden here. #14 Fortune Bo Bo has been unlucky not to break through yet, including a nose second to Water Diviner two back. He needs things to go his way, but if they do, he will be around the mark. There are shades of Peniaphobia about Dandy Man three-year-old #4 Big Time Baby, who steps out in Hong Kong for the first time. The British Listed winner looked like he’d be better as a three-year-old last season and his trials have been fairly good since his arrival. Next best, #7 Travel Datuk, who ran well last time out and is capable of winning a race off this mark.

 

RACE 6: THE YAN OI TONG CUP

#11 Hastily Feet is yet to win after 14 starts in Hong Kong, but he looked on the verge of a victory before a last start failure. A return to the turf 1200m looks a plus and he should get a soft run here. He can break through. #7 C P Power is dropping through the ratings after having looked on the verge of a win earlier this season. He is racing well enough but if he can find a length or two here, he’ll be a contender. #3 King's Man gets Joao Moreira aboard but also has come up with the outside gate, so expect him to head back and run on as is his typical style. He’s not far from winning, but he just needs a few things to go his way, and at times he can be his own worst enemy. #2 Go Beauty Go is consistent and should be around the mark again.

 

RACE 7: SAM SHING HANDICAP

#5 California Disegno was gallant in defeat last time out, finishing second to Beauty Generation and in front of Western Express and Winner’s Way. He may not get the same set-up here, but even still, this looks his best chance of breaking through for his first Hong Kong victory. #10 Baba Mama was eye-catching even though beaten fairly in seventh in the Hong Kong Classic Mile. He looks very well-treated at the weights, carrying just 116 pounds after Derek Leung’s claim. If they go along at a solid tempo, look for him to fly home late. #1 Lucky Girl is a gangly galloper who gets Danny Shum’s current rider of choice Nash Rawiller aboard at his first run for the trainer. Expect a big run off a two-month freshen-up. #6 Let Us Win finished 12th in the Hong Kong Classic Mile and is shaping up as a horse in need of ground. He does get Joao Moreira aboard and he might be best served sitting outside runners here.

 

RACE 8: TAI HING HANDICAP

#5 Golden Harvest has dropped from a mark of 115, received after he finished a three-length fifth in Aerovelocity’s first Hong Kong Sprint in 2015, to his current rating of 87. He is probably nearing a mark where he should be able to break through once again and his recent trial on the Sha Tin all-weather track gives further confidence that he can win here. disappointed last time out in a mixed-band Class 3 after winning by a big margin the start before. He looks better suited at the bottom of Class 2 with only 117 pounds to carry and he's right in the mix. #4 Clever Beaver is consistent and should run another good race, especially from gate two with Neil Callan aboard, while #11 Malmsteen can press forward under Kei Chiong and may improve if he gets it easy enough out in front.

 

RACE 9: WU KING HANDICAP

#4 Volitation has won two of his four starts impressively enough this season. He still looks to be learning what the game is all about but if he turns up, he will be hard to beat under Joao Moreira from the inside gate. #8 Agree has been acclimatising through his three Hong Kong starts to date. He’s drawn slightly awkwardly again but expect an improved effort. #1 Pikachu has not run off a mark this low since late-2014. He has lost his way in recent starts but don’t be surprised if he starts to show something more now, as he is generally honest and should get a good run in transit. #5 Mr Potential has really turned his form around at his last couple of starts to win twice. He might be nearing his mark but given his confidence must be sky-high, he is a chance yet again.

 

RACE 10: WU KING HANDICAP

#1 Beat The Clock has to defy an 11-point rise in the ratings but he has looked a horse going places in his five starts to date, even in defeat behind the likes of People’s Knight, Winner’s Way and Seasons Bloom. He gives every indication he can win once again here, especially with the likely slow tempo allowing him either to sit outside the lead or just behind the speed, and he has trialled well since his last start. #13 Daring Fit is one of the only horses with speed in this race, so he should cross from gate 12 to be up near the lead. He tackles Class 3 for the first time but looks well suited getting in with only 116 pounds. #3 Roundabout finally won again last time out. He has drawn well and should get a soft run in transit. Next best, #9 Lucky Guy, who has to contend with the outside barrier but he is racing well and does have Zac Purton aboard.