12/28/2017 11:39AM

Andrew Hawkins' Hong Kong selections and analysis for Monday, January 1, 2018

Email

SHA TIN SELECTIONS

(Monday, January 1, 2018)

 

RACE 1: #6 Scarborough Fair, #10 Winning Boy, #4 Unbeatable Guts, #2 Otouto

RACE 2: #3 Viva Council, #9 Brilliant Monkeys, #12 Jolly Amber, #5 Winning Controller

RACE 3: #3 Wushu Champion, #8 Brilliant Dream, #1 Everest, #5 Empire Star

RACE 4: #4 Elite Boy, #11 Nice Kick, #6 Have Fun Together, #3 London Master

RACE 5: #11 Godspeed, #5 Electric Lightning, #8 Indigenous Star, #2 Unicron Jewellery

RACE 6: #3 Super Missile, #5 Royal Chocolate, #2 Sunshine Universe, #4 Gracious Ryder

RACE 7: #7 Affluence Start, #8 California Archer, #12 Infinity Endeavour, #11 The Createth

RACE 8: #4 Sixty Sixty, #12 Conte, #8 Go Beauty Go, #7 Fortune Patrol

RACE 9: #9 Circuit Hassler, #9 Bring It On, #2 Grand Chancellor, #3 Green Dispatch

RACE 10: #10 Beat The Clock, #11 Southern Legend, #12 Fifty Fifty, #8 Winner’s Way

RACE 11: #3 Ruthven, #13 Lucky Dollar, #4 Lockheed, #8 Jing Jing Win

 

:: Hong Kong: Free PPs, picks, and analysis

 

RACE 1: KOWLOON PEAK HANDICAP

#6 Scarborough Fair didn’t have the best of runs two back before disappointing last time out. Stepping up to 1400m should suit now and he goes on top in the first race of 2018. #10 Winning Boy is another who has performed well for new trainer Frankie Lor, but he is yet to win. The older half-brother to Booming Delight and Rivet looks to have another win in him soon. #4 Unbeatable Guts was terrible last time out but can improve sharply at any time. #2 Otouto is racing like he needs 1400m these days. He’s a place chance.

 

RACE 2: MOUNT PARKER HANDICAP

#3 Viva Council drops to Class 5 for the first time. He returns to the turf and in this grade, he should be somewhere in the finish. #9 Brilliant Monkeys has run well at both starts for new trainer Frankie Lor. He gets Joao Moreira aboard now from another good gate and this race looks his for the taking. #12 Jolly Amber stuck on well after taking off early enough in a farcically-run race at Happy Valley last time out. He might have finally turned a corner. #5 Winning Controller remains a chance.

 

RACE 3: WONG LENG HANDICAP

#3 Wushu Champion is a frustrating horse to follow in that he has plenty of talent but he rarely puts it together. He had a tough run at his first Class 4 start in July and he has had leg issues since. However, fresh might be the time to catch him and he does appear to be on a mark where he can win. #8 Brilliant Dream was heavily backed last weekend but could only finish fifth. He’ll be around the mark. #1 Everest is inconsistent but deserves consideration. #5 Empire Star is next best.

 

RACE 4: GRASSY HILL HANDICAP

#4 Elite Boy has drawn awkwardly, but like another Sam Clipperton-ridden, Michael Freedman-ridden debutant of late – Sparkling Dragon – he should be able to jump towards the lead and he can kick on to score. #11 Nice Kick ran well two back but was flat second-up. Back to 1200m looks a wise move and he can figure. #6 Have Fun Together ran home well over what was a clearly too short 1000m last time out. Expect another big run up to 1200m. #3 London Master is racing well this preparation and, despite the bad draw, should be around the mark.

 

RACE 5: YI TUNG SHAN HANDICAP

#11 Godspeed ran strongly two back before he was both the victim of circumstances and on the receiving end of a poor ride by Keita Tosaki in the last leg of the LONGINES International Jockeys’ Championship at Happy Valley. With Karis Teetan back in the saddle, he can make amends. #5 Electric Lightning should be improved with one run under his belt. He must be included. #8 Indigenous Star is consistent and should be in the money again. #2 Unicron Jewellery will be suited back to Class 4.

 

RACE 6: GRASSY HILL HANDICAP

#3 Super Missile was spruiked heavily on debut but couldn’t quite reel in Respect. Stepping up to 1200m now, he should be very hard to beat at his second start. #5 Royal Chocolate switches across to Sha Tin after three runs at Happy Valley. He has been progressing the right way and while he looks in need of further, he’s still capable of being around the mark. #2 Sunshine Universe is worth including in exotics back down to Class 4. #4 Gracious Ryder’s a chance yet again if he progresses well from his first-up run.

 

RACE 7: LANTAU PEAK HANDICAP

#7 Affluence Start ran boldly at Happy Valley on debut before a slightly flat effort last time out from a wide gate. He has a cushy draw now and if he can take advantage, he will be hard to beat, particularly back to 1200m. #8 California Archer’s first effort in Hong Kong must be forgotten when he suffered an irregular heart rhythm. He’s trialled well since and will be hard to beat second-up. #12 Infinity Endeavour may be worth including off the quick back-up. #11 The Createth’s last two runs over the straight 1000m have been good and he can figure.

 

RACE 8: SUNSET PEAK HANDICAP

#4 Sixty Sixty appeared to have upside in France, where he was named Supermensch when trained by Jean-Claude Rouget. He has trialled well and so deserves to be considered from a good gate at his Hong Kong debut. #12 Conte will start favourite after two very impressive victories. He will be hard to beat, but he might be worth trying to oppose from gate 12. #8 Go Beauty Go will go forward and should stick around for some minor money. #7 Fortune Patrol has improved with every run and should improve again.

 

RACE 9: LIN FA SHAN HANDICAP

#9 Circuit Hassler has looked to be nearing a win but just hasn’t put it all together. He gets another chance here, though, with plenty appearing to be in his favour. #9 Bring It On has found form with two placings at his last two starts. He’ll be winning in no time at all and must be included again. #2 Grand Chancellor stuck on well first-up over 1600m and will only be improved up to 1800m. He goes in the exotics. #3 Green Dispatch has drawn awkwardly but is always a chance back down in this grade.

 

RACE 10: G3 CHINESE CLUB CHALLENGE CUP

#10 Beat The Clock produced one of the wins of the season, at least visually, first-up. He looks to have returned an even stronger four-year-old and with no weight on his back, this looks an ideal assignment. #11 Southern Legend just held off exciting galloper Nothingilikemore over this course and distance last start. He remains a chance. #12 Fifty Fifty can continue his progression with another strong run. #8 Winner’s Way might be near his mark but should be somewhere near the pace and can hold on for a place.

 

RACE 11: TAI MO SHAN HANDICAP

#3 Ruthven makes his Hong Kong debut here after winning the Queensland Derby at his most recent start. He will need further but he has looked a million dollars in the mornings and must be a strong chance of debuting with a win. #13 Lucky Dollar is racing well currently. He will be somewhere near the speed and should be hard to run down. #4 Lockheed ran home strongly first-up and should be suited by the extra distance. #8 Jing Jing Win can’t be dismissed with race fitness on his side.