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AVAILABLE FRIDAY: The Wizard's 6 Grade 1 stakes package. Wagering strategies for Jamaica, Frizette and Champagne from Belmont. Breeders' Futurity, First Lady and Shadwell Turf Mile from Keeneland.

COMING THURSDAY: Full Card Selections for the Keeneland meet.

NEW FROM THE WIZARD: Full Card Selections for Hawthorne: Wednesday-Sunday

Classy 'n Smart Stakes: Race 6 at Woodbine

Wednesday, October 5

PACE SCENARIO

There are several in the field who like the front end, so I expect a lively contested pace.

PICK: #2 CLEAR LAKE

(2) CLEAR LAKE is expected to be overlooked in the wagering in a very competitive stake. 5 year old mare has been very consistent throughout her 16 race career. On occasion, Clear Lake jumps up and provides a performance which would make her very tough to beat tonight if able to run back to those efforts. The handicapping puzzle is to predict when that race is going to come. 3 of her 4 wins fits the profile, twice off a layoff and all at today's distance.

On September 2009 she crushed the field by 9 1/2 lengths. May 22 2010 Clear Lake ran second in fast time in her second start off a layoff. 4 weeks later resulted in another victory. In her last start 4 weeks ago, Clear Lake ran fourth, beaten 2 1/2 lengths, in a race that was "better than it looks" on paper. She battled for the lead early, steadied on the far turn and forced to drop back, then came again, while being victimized by a slow pace and being pinned on the rail throughout. Prior to the race, Clear Lake had faced tougher horses in open company in 7 of her 15 starts. Faces Ontario Canadian breds this evening in her second start off a layoff. She has been freshened up once again and pointed for this stake by top trainer Paul Attard who is winning at a huge 27% this meet. All 4 of Clear Lakes wins have been over this course. Drawing post 2 can only help. Gets a rider change to Ramsammy, who I expect will be given instructions to take her back, save ground and make 1 well timed move.

WAGERING STRATEGIES

Play (2) CLEAR LAKE to WIN. Main exacta box with (4) DANCE TO THE MOON. Smaller exacta box with (6) BEAR IT'S TIME.

 

Wizard's Pick of the Day

Wednesday, October 5
Race 6 at Belmont
Post Time: 3:39