May 18th, 2013 − Pimlico Race Course

Preakness Stakes 2013

Saturday's Race of the Day:

Preakness Stakes at Pimlico

Field Analysis by Jay Privman and Mike Watchmaker


PP Horse / Sire Track Odds Watchmaker Odds Best Beyer Owner, Trainer, and Jockey Derby Finish/Beyer Jay Privman and Mike Watchmaker Comments
1 Orb
by Malibu Moon		 Even Even 104 Stuart Janney 3rd & Phipps St.
C. McGaughey/J. Rosario		 1st/104 Jay Privman: Did everything right coming into Derby, won as best on the day, believe he's still on upgrade.
Mike Watchmaker: Not track or pace dependent, has won 5 straight, and is still improving; too good for these.
 
5 Mylute
by Midnight Lute		 5-1 10-1 99 Gold Mark & Whisper Hill Farms
T. Amoss/R. Napravnik		 5th/ 99 JP: Looked like he picked off tired horses, but like that last two races have been two best races.
MW: Nice try in Derby, but he had a good set up, and a good trip; needs another step forward.
 
6 Oxbow
by Awesome Again		 15-1 15-1 95 Calumet Farm
D.W. Lukas/G. Stevens		 6th/ 90 JP: Of horses nearest hot pace in Derby, he hung on best. Threat for share if that didn't drain him.
MW:Every reason to think it should have drained him. Still looks to be a cut below the best here.
 
7 Will Take Charge
by Unbridled's Song		 12-1 10-1 95 Willis Horton
D.W. Lukas/M. Smith		 8th/ 86 JP: Had traffic trouble trying to get across the Verrazano bridge. Probably needed the race, too.
MW: Thing about his far turn move in Derby is it came in the slop, which he's supposed to dislike.
 
9 Itsmyluckday
by Lawyer Ron		 10-1 10-1 104 Trilogy Stable & Laurie Plesa
E. Plesa, Jr./J. Velazquez		 15th/ 71 JP: Had raced too well vs.Orb in Fla., trained too well into Derby, to believe last. Can rebound.
MW: Gets a big jock switch, too. But his GP races are still way better than his races elsewhere.
 
2 Goldencents
by Into Mischief		 8-1 5-1 105 W. C. Racing, et al
D. O'Neill/K. Krigger		 17th/ 32 JP: Krigger shrewd to wrap up when all was lost. Nagging feeling he doesn't want to run this far.
MW: He was eased, so it's hard to be enthused with his CD debacle; agree on the distance thing.
 
3 Titletown Five
by Tiznow		 30-1 20-1 98s Hornung, Martin, Lukas,et al
D.W. Lukas/J. Leparoux		   JP: Done nothing to indicate he wants to run in race at this distance. No more than a pace factor.
MW: Yes, he's like Trinniberg in last year's Derby, only he's not nearly as good as Trinniberg.
 
4 Departing
by War Front		 6-1 6-1 97 Claiborne Fm. & A. Dilschneider
A. Stall Jr./B. Hernandez Jr.		   JP: Overcame scenic route to win Ill. Derby, still improving. Definitely biggest challenger to Orb.
MW: Respect top connections, but he wasn't good enough when he met good ones in La. Derby.
 
8 Govenor Charlie
by Midnight Lute		 12-1 15-1 95 Michael Pegram
B. Baffert/M. Garcia		   JP: Not sure he's ready for these; has worked only 3 times since training setback after Sun. Derby.
MW: I also have doubts as to whether he's good enough. Looked good at Sunland, but beat little.