May 7th, 2016 − Churchill Downs

Kentucky Derby coverage sponsored by Keeneland

 

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Kentucky Derby Points Standings | Road to the DerbyTriple Crown Nominations 

POST HORSE TRACK ODDS WATCHMAKER ODDS BEST BEYER JAY PRIVMAN AND MIKE WATCHMAKER COMMENTS
- designates Keeneland Sale graduate
Trojan Nation 50-1 50-1 93 JP: He's far from best 3yo in Cal., so performance in Wood illustrates how strong Cal. contingent is at the top.
  by Street Cry MW: Either that, or he simply illustrates how weak the slowest Wood Memorial ever really was. Your choice.
  Owner: Julie Gilbert & Aaron Sones; Trainer: Patrick Gallagher; Jockey: Aaron Gryder
           
Suddenbreakingnews  20-1 20-1 94 JP: Took a while to find his best stride, then made nice late run. One of many in field who come from way back.
  by Mineshaft MW: I suppose he could clunk up for a minor share, but I don't see him improving enough to really contend.
  Owner: Samuel Henderson; Trainer: Donnie Von Hemel; Jockey: Luis Quinonez
           
Creator  10-1 12-1 96 JP: Needs pace for his best, but is peaking at the right time and has looked outstanding all week. Very live.
  by Tapit MW: Might not get same perfect pace set up he got in Ark. Derby, but his rate of improvement is eye catching.
  Owner: WinStar Farm; Trainer: Steve Asmussen; Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr.
           
Mo Tom  20-1 20-1 88 JP: Very unlucky in last two starts, but seven starts in, best Beyer is only an 88. And, think he'll be an underlay.
  by Uncle Mo MW: I don't believe he was going to beat Gun Runner even with a clean trip in the Louisiana Derby. I'm passing.
  Owner: G M B Racing; Trainer: Tom Amoss; Jockey: Corey Lanerie
           
Gun Runner 10-1 15-1 91 JP: Tactical speed, and ability to make multiple moves, huge attributes. Needs career best to wear the roses.
  by Candy Ride MW: I acknowledge he's talented. But he's also had ideal trips in his last two, and got Beyers of only 90 and 91.
  Owner: Winchell Thoroughbreds et al; Trainer: Steve Asmussen; Jockey: Florent Geroux
           
My Man Sam 20-1 20-1 95 JP: Made nice, extended rally for second after being fanned wide, but taking position Blue Grass field was soft.
  by Trappe Shot MW: Funny thing about his Blue Grass: he wasn't that wide at all on the turns. He just wasn't good enough.
  Owner: Sheep Pond Partners & Newport Stables; Trainer: Chad Brown; Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.
           
Oscar Nominated 50-1 30-1 82 JP: Unlike similarly campaigned Animal Kingdom in 2011, he didn't have dazzling work over surface. In tough.
  by Kitten's Joy MW: And even if he did work well, would that be enough to like or bet the slowest horse in this Derby field?
  Owner: Ken & Sarah Ramsey; Trainer: Mike Maker; Jockey: Julien Leparoux
           
Lani 30-1 30-1 n/a JP: UAE Derby field he barely beat in slow time was weak. Temperment may be exposed with big Derby crowd.
  by Tapit MW: There have been better UAE Derby winners than him come to the Derby, and they were all unsuccessful.
  Owner: Yoko Maeda; Trainer: Mikio Matsunaga; Jockey: Yutaka Take
           
           
Destin  15-1 12-1 100 JP: Heads into this off eight-week layoff following career-best fig winning Tampa Bay Derby. Uncharted waters.
  by Giant's Causeway MW: Don't like layoff, though trainer's horses fire fresh. The real concern is he hasn't been even 1 1/8 miles yet.
  Owner: Twin Creeks Racing Stables & Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners; Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: Javier Castellano
           
Whitmore 20-1 20-1 92 JP: Solid run in Ark. Derby after early trouble, couldn't go with the top two late. Espinoza seeking three-peat.
  by Pleasantly Perfect MW: He can really run, but he's given ground late in all four of his route races, and I think he wants shorter.
  Owner: Robert LaPenta & Harry Rosenblum; Trainer: Ron Moquett; Jockey: Victor Espinoza
           
Exaggerator  8-1 8-1 103 JP: Think pace of SA Derby far more significant to his success than off track. Right there if repeats that effort.
  by Curlin MW: A basic handicapping rule is be skeptical of big figs earned on wet tracks. Plus, he won't get same set up.
  Owner: Big Chief Racing, Head of Plains Partners, Rocker O Ranch, et al; Trainer: Keith Desormeaux.; Jockey: Kent Desormeaux
           
Tom's Ready  30-1 50-1 85 JP: Finished second in La. Derby, likely third-best. Not good enough, but trainer's Derby runners outrun odds.
  by More Than Ready MW: With a career-best Beyer of 85, he will have to improve about 10 lengths to be a marginal contender.
  Owner: G M B Racing; Trainer: Dallas Stewart; Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr.
           
Nyquist  3-1 7-2 101s JP: Whether at home or on the road, all he does is win, win, win. Has tactical speed to get another good trip.
  by Uncle Mo MW: A deserving favorite, but he's not the fastest route horse here, and does he really want 1 1/4 miles?
  Owner: Reddam Racing; Trainer: Doug O'Neill; Jockey: Mario Gutierrez
           
Mohaymen  10-1 10-1 95 JP: I was a big fan of his earlier this year, but hasn't progressed on figs, didn't like dull Fla. Derby. Regressing?
  by Tapit MW: I can forgive his Fla. Derby. Anyone can have a bad day. But this is such a tough spot in which to rebound.
  Owner: Shadwell Stable; Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin; Jockey: Junior Alvarado
           
Outwork 15-1 15-1 98 JP: Showed tremendous grit in Wood to prevail after doing dirty work, liked his final drill here. Can get a share.
  by Uncle Mo MW: Jay saw tremendous grit. I saw an out and out stagger-fest in a Wood in which they literally walked home.
  Owner: Repole Stable; Trainer: Todd Pletcher; Jockey: John Velazquez
           
Shagaf 20-1 30-1 88 JP: Has made positive appearance at CD, but thought "trouble" he had in Wood was minimal. Not fast enough.
  by Bernardini MW: He was in position in stretch to win the Wood, and couldn't, and his Gotham was bias-aided. No thanks.
  Owner: Shadwell Stable; Trainer: Chad Brown; Jockey: Joel Rosario
           
Mor Spirit 12-1 12-1 97 JP: Slick track didn't help big colt in SA Derby, but fought on gallantly for second. Ten furlongs won't bother him.
  by Eskendereya MW: He was also fairly close to destructive pace, and had a bit of a trip two starts back. Sitting on a big effort.
  Owner: Michael Lund Petersen; Trainer: Bob Baffert; Jockey: Gary Stevens
           
Majesto  30-1 30-1 89 JP: Ran best race of his life to finish second to Nyquist in Fla. Derby, but saved every inch of ground in ideal trip.
  by Tiznow MW: With four horses over 100-1 in Fla. Derby, when Mohaymen didn't show, there was no one else to beat.
  Owner: Grupo 7C Racing Stable; Trainer: Gustavo Delgado; Jockey: Emisael Jaramillo
           
Brody's Cause  12-1 15-1 91 JP: Returned to top form when back at favorite track for Blue Grass, but lifetime best a cut below the leaders.
  by Giant's Causeway MW: Indeed, he must improve about six or seven lengths to win this, all while needing a good trip. Not likely.
  Owner: Albaugh Family Stable; Trainer: Dale Romans; Jockey: Luis Saez
           
Danzing Candy 15-1 20-1 100 JP: Went way too fast for own good in SA Derby. Can be a factor if he can ration speed like he did in San Felipe.
  by Twirling Candy MW: His San Felipe pace wasn't slow. It was on a par with the Big Cap pace the same day. Looks loose early.
  Owner: Halo Farms et al; Trainer: Clifford Sise Jr.; Jockey: Mike Smith
           
Also Eligible:          
AE Laoban  50-1 30-1 85 JP: Of those nearest the lead in Blue Grass, he ran the best. Will contribute to a lively pace if he scratches in.
  by Uncle Mo MW: Of course, he's still a maiden, so the fact he held as well as he did doesn't reflect well on the Blue Grass.
  Owner: McCormick Racing & Southern Equine Stable; Trainer: Eric Guillot; Jockey: Cornelio Velasquez
           
AE Cherry Wine 30-1 30-1 88 JP: Benefitted from race shape in Blue Grass, but was inferior on the day to the top two finishers, needs softer.
  by Paddy O'Prado MW: Deep closer is dependent on pace, and while he has improved, he hasn't improved as much as others.
  Owner: William Pacella & Frank Jones Jr.; Trainer: Dale Romans; Jockey: Robby Albarado