November 1st, 2014 − Santa Anita

Breeders' Cup Juvenile

RACE COVERAGE: Classic | Distaff | Turf | Filly & Mare Turf | Mile | Dirt Mile | Sprint | Turf Sprint | Filly & Mare Sprint | Juvenile | Juvenile Turf | Juvenile Fillies | Juvenile Fillies Turf

Juvenile, Purse: $2 million, 1 1/16 miles

- American Pharoah Bob Baffert Dominant winner of Gr. 1s in last two, including the FrontRunner over the track; a deserving favorite 5-2
- Daredevil Todd Pletcher Impressed taking Champagne with big Beyer; both wins on wet tracks, but said to be fine on fast, too 7-2
- Carpe Diem Todd Pletcher Predictably romped in the Breeders' Futurity off the stretch out given his pedigree shouts distance 5-1
- One Lucky Dane Bob Baffert Crushed maidens in fast time over the track in first start on dirt; a threat with only slight improvement 12-1
- Upstart Rick Violette Jr. Gamely chased Daredevil in Champagne after showing potential winning first two starts over NY breds 12-1
- Calculator Peter Miller Was game finishing second to 'Pharoah' in those Gr. 1s; probably the best 2yo maiden in the country 15-1
- Souper Colossal Eddie Plesa Jr. Won all three of his starts at Mth, including the Sapling, an early season route for these; not out of it 15-1
- War Envoy Aidan O'Brien Hit the board in three Group stakes and barn must be respected; Juvenile Turf is his first preference 15-1
- Lucky Player Steve Asmussen Won the Iroquois, another early season route stake, but that was against much softer company 20-1
- Mr. Z D. Wayne Lukas Easily second best in the Breeders' Futurity, but was also beaten a long way; looks overmatched 20-1
- Texas Red Keith Desormeaux Some liked his third in the FrontRunner in his first start on dirt, but it seemed like a clunk up to me 20-1
- The Great War Aidan O'Brien Has been below group stakes level quality so far, and would now go long on dirt; no thanks 20-1
- Danny Boy Dale Romans Didn't have a perfect trip in the relatively soft Iroquois; better on turf; Juvenile Turf first preference 30-1
- Private Prospect Michael Campbell Turned into a profitable claim, but as tenacious as he is, he seems to be in way over his head here 30-1
- Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference):      
- Tough Customer Wayne Catalano Finished a distant fourth in the Breeders' Futurity; can't see him turning that completely around 30-1
- Combat Diver Gary Contessa Got his maiden win game style at Belmont, but nothing about that race says he belongs here 30-1
- Blue Dancer Greg Tracy The pride of central Canada would need to improve about 40 Beyer points to keep step with these 30-1

Comments and Odds by Mike Watchmaker