November 5th, 2011 − Churchill Downs

Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

RACE COVERAGE: Classic | Ladies' Classic | Turf | Filly & Mare Turf | Mile | Dirt Mile | Sprint | Turf Sprint | Filly & Mare Sprint | Juvenile | Juvenile Turf | Juvenile Fillies | Juvenile Fillies Turf | Juvenile Sprint | Marathon

Mike Watchmaker's Graded Entries for the Dirt Mile (1 mile)

  HORSE / TRAINER JOCKEY LAST 3 BEYERS COMMENT ODDS
Wilburn
S. Asmussen
J. Leparoux 103, 99, 95 Benefitted from a great trip winning Indiana Derby; might get another here 5-1
Trappe Shot
K. McLaughlin
J. Velazquez 97, 112, 111 The stretch out in distance suits; just question who he beat in his big victories 2-1
The Factor
B. Baffert
M. Garcia 90, 104, 84 Didn't like the way he gave way last out, must deal with Tapizar early here 5-2
Caleb's Posse
D. Von Hemel
R. Maragh 92, 106, 105 Will appreciate the return to one turn, and would relish a contested pace 6-1
Shackleford
D. Romans
J. Castanon 95, 68, 96 He's 0 for 4 since he upset the Preakness, a win that he must validate now 6-1
Jersey Town
B. Tagg
C. Velasquez 97, 100, 90 Crushed in the Kelso, but the top two in there aren't here; current form iffy 15-1
Irrefutable
B. Baffert
R. Bejarano 102, 91, 85 Got a favorable pace set up when second in Ancient Title; in over his head 20-1
Tapizar
S. Asmussen
G. Gomez 95, 81, 98 Nice comeback win; this is a lot to ask from a colt whose quality is unknown 20-1
Tres Borrachos
M. Jones
J. Rosario 93, 90, 97 This 'Win and You're In' race winner has never been up to this sort of task 30-1

Odds and comments by Mike Watchmaker. Horses listed in order of handicapper's preference.