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Yet Another Dude! Rapid Redux, Glamorista, Top Beyers
It appears there were actually three fast Dudes that ran last week.
*We all know the exploits of FIRST DUDE and GAME ON DUDE, the Bob Baffert-trained stablemates that ran one-two in a cracking renewal of the 10-furlong Hollywood Gold Cup. But not far behind them on the Beyer scale was 3-year-old SOUTHERN DUDE, who scored at first asking for trainer Roger Brueggemann and Midwest Thoroughbreds. From the first crop of Cigar Mile winner Lion Tamer, the Louisiana-bred colt received a 101 Beyer Speed Figure after stepped six furlongs over the Arlington polytrack in 1:11.55. A $27,000 yearling purchase, Southern Dude is out of the Cobra King mare Viva Vega, a full sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Follow Me Home.
The runner-up, SOULTOWN, on the chase throughout for trainer Donnie Von Hemel, may be one to watch as well. A gelded son of Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Vindication, Soultown was also bred in Louisiana. He sold for $12,000 as a yearling and is a half-brother to Lovely Tribute, a stakes-placed sprinter. The dam, Lovely Amanda, was a versatile New York-bred, winning route stakes races on both turf and dirt.
*GLAMORISTA's career debut was worth the wait. A 4-year-old filly by Breeders' Cup Juvenile and Florida Derby winner Unbridled's Song, Glamorista sold for $325,000 as a yearling and is a half-sister to multiple Grade 1 route winner Critical Eye. She received a 95 Beyer Speed Figure for Baffert.
*RICORIATOA, a 5-year-old half-brother to multiple Grade 3 route winner Thiskyhasnolimit, popped a triple-digit Beyer in a $25,000 beaten claimer at Belmont. He was claimed by Chris Englehart.
*I get mail!
"First off I'm biased because I work for the Pennsylvania HBPA, but we have a horse here that is going for his 12th straight in 2011 and 14th straight overall on Friday at Mountaineer and think he should get some attention. He has been running in very low level starter allowance races, but you win 13 in a row at any stage and you have to be a good horse. In 33 career starts he has 19 wins. Not bad for the five-year-old gelding."
Rapid Redux is the hottest horse in North America and his past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post. A 5-year-old son of Breeders' Cup Classic, Dubai World Cup and Pacific Classic winner Pleasantly Perfect, Rapid Redux has won 13 races in a row by utilizing his excellent early speed. Originally an $85,000 yearling purchase, Rapid Redux was third in the three-horse Tyro Stakes at Monmouth as a 2-year-old. He's a full brother to Grade 3-placed miler Sacred Journey and stakes-winning router Be Like Mike and has really turned his career around since being claimed by David Wells last October. Rapid Redux drew the rail and is 2-5 on the morning line in Friday's ninth race at Mountaineer, a $5,000 starter allowance at one mile.
Columnist Dick Jerardi's column on Rapid Redux was published on drf.com on July 6. You can access that piece here:
Here are the top 25 winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races (7/4-7/10):
1. INDIANO - 108 - Carry Back Stakes (G2) - 6 Furlongs - Calder
2. FIRST DUDE - 106 - Hollywood Gold Cup Handicap (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
3. CAPE BLANCO (Ire) - 105 - Man o'War Stakes (G1) - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
4. ROYAL PRODUCTION - 101 - OC 20k/ - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Louisiana Downs
4. SOUTHERN DUDE - 101 - Md Sp Wt 28k - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
6. CELTIC PRINCESS (Brz) - 100 - Royal Heroine Mile (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Hollywood
6. RICORIATOA - 100 - Clm c-25000 - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
8. WISE DAN - 99 - Firecracker Handicap (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Churchill
9. FANTASIA (GB) - 98 - Modesty Handicap (G3) - 1 3/16 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
9. GIANT RYAN - 98 - Smile Sprint Handicap (G2) - 6 Furlongs - Calder
9. HILLSWICK - 98 - Alw 52000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
9. JARDIM (Brz) - 98 - Golden Bear Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Indiana
13. BEIJING HOUSE - 97 - OC 20k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Suffolk
13. GOLDEN ITIZ - 97 - Alw 70000N1X - 7 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
13. NEVER RETREAT - 97 - Dance Smartly (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
16. BANK MERGER - 96 - OC 75k/N3X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont
16. CHEETAH (GB) - 96 - Robert G. Dick Memorial Stakes (G3) - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - Delaware
16. DREAMY KID - 96 - Swaps Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
16. HER SMILE - 96 - Prioress (G1) - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
16. REDEEMED - 96 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont
16. TUVIA'S FORCE - 96 - Clm 25000B - 1 Mile - Belmont
22. GLAMORISTA - 95 - Md Sp Wt 56k - 6 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
22. SPIRIT TO WIN - 95 - OC 25k/N1X - 7 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
22. WHO'S UP - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Hollywood
25. PERFECT OFFICER - 94 - Wolf Hill Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Monmouth
25. ROARING LION - 94 - Mr. Prospector Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
25. SAYIF (Ire) - 94 - Battlefield Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Monmouth
Indiano's past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
Hi Dan....I really enjoy your blogs and those of your followers...with Saratoga now only 11 days away, could you post the PP's for one of my favorite Saratoga horses, Fourstardave? Thanks
Fourstardave's past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
On a whim, I decided to look up all of the Grade 1 winners this year (I really need a hobby) and sort them by win payout:
Ashland Stakes - LILACS AND LACE - $99.40
Santa Margarita Invitational Stakes - MISS MATCH - $92.40
Stephen Foster Handicap - POOL PLAY - $75.20
Gulfstream Park Turf Handicap - TEAKS NORTH - $52.60
Arkansas Derby - ARCHARCHARCH - $52.40
Belmont Stakes - RULER ON ICE - $51.50
Manhattan Handicap - MISSION APPROVED - $44.00
Kentucky Derby - ANIMAL KINGDOM - $43.80
Blue Grass Stakes - BRILLIANT SPEED - $40.20
Humana Distaff - SASSY IMAGE - $34.20
Santa Anita Handicap - GAME ON DUDE - $31.60
Santa Anita Derby - MIDNIGHT INTERLUDE - $29.80
Just a Game - C. S. SILK - $27.20
Preakness Stakes - SHACKLEFORD - $27.20
Madison Stakes - SHOTGUN GULCH - $25.40
Acorn - IT'S TRICKY - $22.00
Wood Memorial Stakes - TOBY'S CORNER - $19.40
Woodford Reserve Turf Classic - GET STORMY - $17.00
Donn Handicap - GIANT OAK - $16.80
Prioress Stakes - HER SMILE - $16.20
United Nations Stakes - TEAKS NORTH - $16.00
Kentucky Oaks - PLUM PRETTY - $14.60
Gamely Stakes - DUBAWI HEIGHTS - $11.40
Hollywood Gold Cup - FIRST DUDE - $10.20
Maker's Mark Mile - GET STORMY - $10.20
Las Virgenes Stakes - ZAZU - $10.00
Mother Goose - BUSTER'S READY - $9.40
Metropolitan Handicap - TIZWAY - $8.20
Man o'War Stakes - CAPE BLANCO - $8.10
Florida Derby - DIALED IN - $7.80
Frank E. Kilroe Mile Stakes - FLUKE - $7.40
Vanity Handicap - BLIND LUCK - $5.60
Carter Handicap - MORNING LINE - $6.20
Triple Bend Handicap - SMILING TIGER - $5.40
Princess Rooney Handicap - SASSY IMAGE - $5.20
Santa Anita Oaks - TURBULENT DESCENT - $4.00
Shoemaker Mile - COURAGEOUS CAT - $4.00
Charles Whittingham Memorial Handicap - ACCLAMATION - $3.40
Ogden Phipps Handicap - AWESOME MARIA - $3.30
Apple Blossom Handicap - HAVRE DE GRACE - $3.00
Santa Monica Stakes - SWITCH - $2.60
Bombs away! It's been quite a year thus far.
$50 exacta box 1/4
Since the 9 scratched.
Congrats to SamG for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise. This week's race is the sixth at Penn National on Friday night.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Best of luck to all
|Rapid Redux.pdf||62.71 KB|
HG 242 Haughton at 18% (5 and 11) and Stites at 12% (4 and 8) are the two top trainers in the race. The two biggest ROIs are 1st with Haughton (11) and routes with Stabille (9). Race shape, front to back: 1 9 2 3 10 11 4 5 6 7 8 12 1 Looks like she'll get a perfect trip up front. 4 will get more pace to rally in to. 9 won her last - I'm thinking 5000-n3L can't be a lot tougher than 5000-n2L. 11 is first for Haughton. I'll go 1,9/1,4,9/1,4,9 for $25 each = $100
HG242 $5 tri key the 1 over 4,5,7,8,11= $100 The 1 with inside post with nose defeat at this level 2 back and trouble in last. 4,8 and 5,11 uncoupled trainer entry along with shipper class dropper in the 7.
For all of you Hard Spun lovers, in the 5th on Saturday, #8 Fit to Rule (Hard Spun x Sweet Minister), a first time starter for Doug O'Neill who has been working very well in prep for his debut. This is the sixth foal for the 24-7-5-5 dam, all have made it to the track, four have won including G-1 winner Sinister Minister.
HG-PENN Start by tossing a few: 2: 0 for last 8 @ this condition, with only 1 ITM finish, TOSS 3: 0 for last 4 @ this condition, low J&T %'s, TOSS 9: think last was a fluke, stepping up in class, low jockey %'s (last time this jockey rode, lost by 24.5 length), TOSS 10: 0 for last 10 @ this condition, dreadful trainer %'s, TOSS 12: best efforts long ago, 0 for 3 @ this condition, TOSS The rest that wouldn't surprise me: 1: draw a line through last race (clipped heels), 2 races back lost this condition by a nose, previous efforts meets par here (WIN, ITM) 4: *uncoupled entry with the 8, logical win candidate, par efforts most recent, negative is trainer is 9% 90+ days though (ITM) 5: *uncoupled entry with the 11, competitive at this level prior, closes ground late, good J/T %'s (WIN, ITM) 6: tries lowest level yet, low J/T %'s, so odds will be high (WIN, ITM) 7: 1st time @ PEN, good efforts recently, lowest level yet, decent recent work (WIN, ITM) 8: *uncoupled entry with the 4, 0 for 8 @ this level, but good J&T %'s (ITM) 11: *uncoupled entry with the 5, shows speed, positive trainer switch, has run to par in previous efforts, trainer is 30%-1st start w/ trainer and 27%-2nd off layoff (WIN, ITM) Will key around the 11 in the wager, with the other WIN candidates on top: HG WAGER $2 TRI (11/1,4,5,6,7,8/1,4,5,6,7,8) $2 TRI (1,5,6,7/11/1,4,5,6,7,8) GL All
HG 242 ... $16.00 tri/box: 5-7-8 = $96 .. $2.00 ex/box: 7-8 = $4 .. Total = $100 ..CHAAZZ
Annie, NO blue thong for your governor and no blue boxers for Chris Christie either!!!!
HG242 as follows... $8 tri key......... #4 over 1,5,6,7/1,5,6,7 =$96 $4 win #4 = 4 think the layoff will do well with #4..... good luck all
HG242: Would like to play a $4.00 super key key #5/#1#4#8#11=$96.00. Also a $4.00 EX #5#11=$4.00 TOTAL $100.00. GOOD LUCK TO ALL AND THANKS TO DAN FOR THE HEADS UP ON HOGY. SWEDE
HG242 promise to sharron should get the lead on the inside runs ok parade song has a good record in the exacta so ill do a 50.00 exacta box 1-5
Hg $10 tri: 1/5/4,6,7,8,11,12 $5 tri: 5/1/4,6,7,8,11,12 $5 tri: 5,11/5,11/1