09/07/2011 10:31AM

Wynn's Latest Breeders' Cup Favorites


Since May, I’ve occasionally relayed the latest Breeders’ Cup future book odds. The most recent Breeders’ Cup future book odds from the race and sports book at Wynn Las Vegas are out, and I thought I’d pass along the current favorites for the seven races Wynn has posted.

CLASSIC – So You Think, winner of three Group 1 races this year for Aidan O’Brien, most recently the Irish Champion, is the current favorite at 6-1. Twirling Candy, runner up in the Pacific Classic, and Havre de Grace, who just beat males in the Woodward, are next in line at 8-1 and 9-1. A few others of note include Tizway, winner of the Whitney and Met Mile, 10-1; Stay Thirsty, winner of the Travers and Jim Dandy, 12-1; Flat Out, runner up in the Woodward and Whitney, 15-1; and Blind Luck, winner of the Delaware Handicap over Havre de Grace, 30-1.

LADIES’ CLASSIC – Blind Luck and Havre de Grace are co-favorites in this one at 2-1. That makes me think that those making future book wagers on the Breeders’ Cup at Wynn doubt that the connections of Blind Luck will put her in against males in the Classic. Not saying they’re right, however. Alabama winner Royal Delta is next at 4-1. A few others of interest: It’s Tricky, 14-1; Ask the Moon, 18-1; Zazu, 20-1; and Ultra Blend, 25-1.

TURF – So You Think and his barn mate Cape Blanco, who came over from Ireland to win the Man o’ War and Arlington Million, are co-favorites at 5-1. Gio Ponti is 7-1, Behkabad and Workforce are both 8-1, and Winchester is 9-1.

FILLY AND MARE TURF – Midday, winner of the 2009 F&M Turf and a narrowly beaten second in this race last year, is the strong favorite at 3-1. Misty For Me and Stacelita are next at 6-1 and 7-1.

MILE – The great Goldikova, winner of the last three Breeders’ Cup Miles (it’s just incredible even typing that), is the strong favorite at 5-2. Courageous Cat and Immortal Verse are next at 5-1 and 6-1.

SPRINT – Trappe Shot, who was upset in the Vanderbilt most recently, is somewhat surprisingly the 5-1 favorite. Keep in mind that Wynn’s odds are at least partly a reflection of actual bets they have taken, so maybe someone made a decent wager on Trappe Shot. Big Drama, winner of this race last year and who just returned from a long layoff with an easy win over cream puffs at Calder, is next at 6-1. The Factor, a sensational winner of the recent O’Brien off a layoff, is third choice at 8-1.

DIRT MILE – Tizway is 8-1, and is the only horse here Wynn has at single-digit odds. Forego winner Jackson Bend is next at 10-1, followed by a cast of thousands.

Curt V. More than 1 year ago
Hello again Mike, Could we please inform wilkie, that 10/08@ Santa Anita, Ravens Pass, in the BC Classic, the race was run on that wonderful man-made substance, PLASTIC, not DIRT.......
wilkie More than 1 year ago
didn't ravens pass win the classic? first time on dirt, me thinks, the arc is run too close to the breeders cup, and usually run on softish ground, also a lot of the horses have been on the go for a long time, oh and it is in your back yard, cant remember a yank horse running in the arc. btw i love your racing, and will be there in nov, this so you think is not really a euro horse, but a very good Aussie.
CurtV. More than 1 year ago
Hello Mike, Speaking of those Euro's on Dirt ? I hope they send their best. How about sending over the Arc winner ? Let's see...In the Classic, the Arc-ers are Zero {0} for Forever, in the year the winner of the Arc ran in the Classic..If ever there was a throw out, there it is...It seems every year those blue nosing Euro's say the same thing..We have the greatest horse that ever looked thru a bridle. I don't know about you, buttZ: Forever is a looonnnggggggggg time........Good Old-Fashioned American Dirt{save Santa Anita, which has 24 variations}, is not plastic, nor turf...So please win something first, then talk.......
Penn National Rick More than 1 year ago
Any chance of Shackleford running the Dirt Mile?? Seeing he is always on the lead...and given time off from Travers...He seems like a logical pick.
James More than 1 year ago
Mike, Have you heard any talk surrounding the status of Blind Luck? She's been a workhorse, racing and training hard throughout her career, but it seems like something is bothering her other than "she doesn't like the Polytrack at Del Mar." In the wake of Havre de Grace's Woodward victory, everybody wants to use comparisons between Blind Luck and HDG as if it was still July when they were squaring off in the Delaware Handicap. But it can't be a good thing that Blind Luck hasn't posted a workout in nearly a month and we are only 8 weeks away from the Breeders' Cup. It seems to me that her condition is anything but "spot-on" presently. Thanks (MW - She worked this morning at Hollywood, going 4 furlongs in 47.40, second best of 17 at the distance. The Beldame has been mentioned as a possible next start for her.)
Michael Marchin More than 1 year ago
MW - Thanks for the information and for all of your excellent efforts to keep us up-to-speed with the latest lines! As for the Classic; I'll take any Euro over any of our locals. Sorry, but I just haven't seen a major Classic-distance standout this year. That said... ...how about RULE to complete the exacta? He looked pretty good in the Woodward...only beaten a neck and a length (or so) after doing most of the dirty work. I also think that the sprint is wide open - and I'm looking at most of the runners from the Forego. Maybe it is because I was at the Spa for the day and I am biased...but then again so was the track on Saturday! Thank again Mr. W! MM
Captain Bodgit More than 1 year ago
The Dirt Mile has been won by a horse CUTTING BACK in distance every time. Because of that I don't like any horse coming out of the Kelso in the B.C. Dirt Mile. I can't believe Acclamation isn't being pointed towards the B.C.Classic. "Turf horses" do very well on Churchill's main track. Look at this years Derby and Stephen Foster. Look at past Classics run at Churchill. Maybe Goldikova should try it. Euro "milers" did pretty good in the Classic 3 years ago didn't they?
Pat More than 1 year ago
Mike: Thank you for doing this column. Can you inform us who the top 3 choices for the Juvenile males are? (MW - Wynn hasn't publicly released prices for any 2yo races yet, but I'm sure if you walked in they would offer you a quote on anyone you're interested in.)
David H. More than 1 year ago
Mike, thanks again for the update. It's always an interesting read. Note that The Wynn has the Filly and Mare Turf wrong, however. Alan Lee of the Times of London reported on Monday that Sir Henry Cecil has committed Midday to Champions' Day at Ascot in mid-October. (Cecil also committed Twice Over to the event.) (MW - Beyond offering future book odds, it should be noted that's it's not necessarily Wynn's job to determine who is or isn't pointing to any specific BC race. That is really the responsibility of the potential customer.)
mrnickyb More than 1 year ago
Blind Luck at 30-1 would have to be a pretty big overlay compared to Havre De Grace at 9-1. Taking nothing away from Havre but Blind Luck has been every bit her equal on the track and might be better at the classic distance.