07/03/2013 11:10AM

Wise Dan

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WISE DAN was supposed to win the Firecracker Handicap last weekend at Churchill Downs. 

Heck, the reigning Horse of the Year was 1-5 against inferior competition but he certainly showed his class by overcoming a bit of adversity. 

Burdened with 128 pounds (giving a spread of 11-13 lbs. to his four opponents) over a yielding turf course, Wise Dan was bottled up along the inside turning for home and attempted to barrel through a narrow opening.  Corey Lanerie, aboard eventual third-place finisher SERUNI, put the squeeze on John Velazquez and Wise Dan, but the champ wouldn't be stopped.  He drove by Seruni in quick fashion to win by two lengths with a 101 Beyer Speed Figure.

Some critics have panned Wise Dan's undefeated 2013 campaign.  They feel he should be taking on tougher competition at longer distances, preferably on dirt, and there are sure to be more howls of indignation if trainer Charles LoPresti sends Wise Dan to the Grade 2 Fourstardave Stakes on turf at Saratoga on August 10.

Realistically,  it's hard to knock a horse that's already won two Grade 1 races this season while giving weight in all three of his starts.  Perhaps LoPresti will run Wise Dan in the Grade 1 Whitney on dirt on August 3 and there is also the possibility of a try in the Grade 1 Woodward on August 31.  While Wise Dan is good on synthetic, turf and dirt, he may be a bit better on the grass.  Whichever direction LoPresti decides to take, I'm sure Wise Dan will get his test before the year is out.  He's a very good horse.

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*STAKES HORSES ON THE WORKTAB:

July 3:
BOOK REVIEW - 6 FURLONGS - 1:12.20H - SANTA ANITA (GATE)
EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE - 6 FURLONGS - 1:12.20H - SANTA ANITA (GATE)

July 1:
BALANCE THE BOOKS - 4 FURLONGS - 49.71B - SARATOGA (TRAINING)
GAME ON DUDE - 4 FURLONGS - 47.80H - SANTA ANITA
SECRET CIRCLE - 3 FURLONGS - 38.00H - BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD
TAPITCAT - 5 FURLONGS - 1:05.11B - SARATOGA (TURF TRAINING, DOGS)

June 30:
EMOLLIENT - 6 FURLONGS - 1:13.34B - BELMONT (TURF, DOGS)
TRAVESURA - 6 FURLONGS - 1:15.00H - BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD (TURF, DOGS)

June 29:
GROUPIE DOLL - 3 FURLONGS - 35.80B - CHURCHILL
MAYBE SO - 3 FURLONGS - 39.40B - KEENELAND
ON FIRE BABY - 4 FURLONGS - 49.80B - CHURCHILL
VALID - 4 FURLONGS - 47.86B - SARATOGA (TRAINING)

June 27:
DISTINCTIV PASSION - 6 FURLONGS - 1:12.00H - BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD
FURY KAPCORI - 6 FURLONGS - 1:15.00H - GOLDEN GATE

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (6/24/13 - 6/30/13):

1. CENTRALINTELIGENCE - 108 - Triple Bend Handicap (G1) - 7 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
2. GENTLEMEN'S BET - 107 - Iowa Sprint Handicap - 6 Furlongs - Prairie Meadows
3. OBVIOUSLY (Ire.) - 106 - Shoemaker Mile (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood
4. SARATOGA SNACKS - 105 - Shy Groom Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Belmont
5. STRAPPING GROOM - 104 - Lion Cavern Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont
6. PRAYER FOR RELIEF - 103 - Cornhusker Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Prairie Meadows
7. SO BRILLIANT - 102 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
8. BIG TOWN - 101 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Churchill
8. WISE DAN - 101 - Firecracker Handicap (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Churchill
10. P D Q KIDDO - 98 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Arlington
11. ROARIN MISSILE - 97 - OC20k/SAL10k - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
12. STARSHUP TRUFFLES - 96 - OC8k/SAL6k - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Calder
13. GROOMEDFORVICTORY - 95 - OC c-25k/N2X - 7 Furlongs - Belmont
13. LIVI MAKENZIE - 95 - Saylorville Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Prairie Meadows
13. SAY OW - 95 - OC 80k/N1X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
16. CLASSIC POINT - 94 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
16. LOOKING COOL - 94 - Iowa Derby (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles - Prairie Meadows
16. MONGOLIAN SATURDAY - 94 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - Arlington
16. STARFORMER - 94 - New York Stakes (G2) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
16. STREAMSIDE - 94 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Pleasanton
21. A P ELVIS - 93 - OC 40k/C -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Colonial
21. EASTWOOD - 93 - Alw 70560N1X - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
21. ESCORT - 93 - Clm 50000 - 6 Furlongs - Churchill
21. INDIAN JONES - 93 - OC 25k/N2X - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Parx
21. SOI PHET - 93 - Alw 40000s - 1 1/16 Miles (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
21. SWEET LULU - 93 - Alw 54250N1X - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood

*CENTRALINTELIGENCE's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of the blog post.

*GROOMEDFORVICTORY was claimed for $25,000 by trainer Michael Maker from Michelle Nevin.

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Hi Dan
There is a horse on the California circuit named Bud I Crushed It. I've been following him for about a year and when they run him where he belongs he seems to win and he's always about 20-1 (which makes me very happy) . Could you post his PPs?
Thanks!! Sandra

The lifetime past performances for Bud I Crushed It are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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The weekend handicapping videos should be up on the homepage later this week.

I'll be taking a bit of time off and should see you again opening week at Saratoga. 

Best of luck at the races! 

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

***

Congrats to Curtis V. Slewster for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

Curt selected Friday's seventh  race at Ellis Park for this week's contest.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.

PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

***FROM SCOREKEEPER PENN NATIONAL RICK***

I read some entries on here and there are some people who put their heart out on their picks(such as DavidM9999) and give you great analysis on who they like and why and then there are others who elect not to give any reasoning behind their entries. The rule I will implement EFFECTIVE 3/1/13 will be... any entry without ANY analysis will be ignored. We are not asking you to put out a novel, but again a sentence or two. Also, I will put communication out when Dan puts out new blogs.
My intent is not to be jerk on this, but what's fair is fair. I'm not taking away from this week or past winners regarding all of this, but we do need to make the change.
If you have any questions/concerns...please send an email to FORMBLOG@DRF.COM and it will get forwarded to me.
Thank You!
Rick

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATE THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

Best of luck to all.

AttachmentSize
Centralinteligence.pdf656.68 KB
BUD I CRUSHED IT.pdf70.09 KB
Copy of Formblog Arlington OffTurf 6-28-13.xls67.5 KB
HGELP.pdf171.54 KB