01/22/2010 7:35PM

Weekend thoughts, etc.


Here are some price horses that may be worth watching on Saturday:

Paumonok (Race 3 - Aqueduct)
Driven by Success is obviously the horse to beat based on his company lines, speed figures, and the fact he may be lone speed, but his last race wasn't pretty (basically eased in upper stretch of the Cigar Mile). 

I'll take a chance instead with Wall Street Wonder, a newly-turned four-year-old that beat a pair of next-out winners with ridiculous ease in an entry-level allowance race on the inner last time out.  The runner-up that Wall Street Wonder toyed with that day, Rereadthefootnotes, returned to win by six lengths with a 95 Beyer Speed Figure.  Here's hoping Wall Street Wonder can handle the hike in class.
Selection:  Wall Street Wonder (4-1 ML)

Holy Bull (Race 9 - Gulfstream)
Think newly-purchased Jackson Bend is the horse to beat in this one-turn mile as he draws a comfortable outside post, but I'll give one final chance to the horse he beat in the Florida Stallion In Reality, Thank U Philippe. 

This is a horse that seems difficult to ride (he always looks to be hard-ridden midway through the running), but the addition of blinkers may add more speed and focus to his arsenal.  Note that trainer Marty Wolfson is 5-9 (56%, $4.40 ROI) with first-time blinkered runners over the past three years.  He figures a good price on Saturday and just chased a quality Todd Pletcher-trained prospect in Eskendereya.
Selection:  Thank U Philippe (8-1 morning line)

Colonel E. R. Bradley (Race 6 - Fair Grounds)
El Caballo looms the horse to beat on paper with three of his last four races earning triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures, but he's been off since June after trainer Ralph Nicks detected the "start of a condylar fracture."  He's obviously dangerous, but I'll let him beat me as the favorite. 

Get Rich Quick finished evenly in his first start of the form cycle, and I'm hoping that this horse for course (3-8 over the Stall-Wilson grass course, 1-16 elsewhere) will show some more with that race under his belt. 
Selection:  Get Rich Quick (6-1 morning line)

LeComte (Race 10 - Fair Grounds)
A wide-open event so I'll look for a longer-priced runner.  Callide Valley won his maiden in an off-the-turf race at Saratoga last year, but hasn't really asserted himself in his subsequent races.  He adds blinkers for the first time on Saturday and figures to be prominently-placed.  His solid barn is showing confidence by placing him in this graded event despite his most recent flop so I'll give him another try at a price.
Selection:  Callide Valley (10-1 morning line)

More importantly, who do you like this weekend?  I want to know.


I looked back as far as I could to see if any horse won Horse of the Year while only running in one state for the entire year and I couldn't find any.  Has any horse ever won Horse of the Year without having won and/or run in at least two states (or countries)?

Kotashaan (1993) raced exclusively in Southern California before shipping to Japan for the Japan Cap so I guess that doesn't count. 

Before that, Ferdinand (1987) raced exclusively in Southern California.  Here is a listing of his races from that season:

1/18 - San Fernando Stakes (Santa Anita)
2/8 - Charles H. Strub Stakes (Santa Anita)
3/8 - Santa Anita Handicap (Santa Anita)
3/29 - San Luis Rey Stakes (Santa Anita)
5/10 - John Henry Handicap (Hollywood)
6/7 - Californian Stakes (Hollywood)
6/28 - Hollywood Gold Cup (Hollywood)
8/29 - Cabrillo Handicap (Del Mar)
11/7 - Goodwood Handicap (Santa Anita)
11/21 - Breeders' Cup Classic (Hollywood)

Ferdinand lost his first six races that season but won his last four including a nose victory over Alysheba in the Breeders' Cup Classic.  The only three times Ferdinand raced outside of Southern California in his 29-race career was during the Triple Crown series of 1986.


My horse waatch today has the 4 furlong Caldar wokout for Piccitelli, the Victory Gallop 3 yo Sharon noted above, but also has two previously mid-December 3 furlong workouts at Caldar as 1st time notifications.  Was this horse recently discovered by DRF to have been working "under the radar"?
Keith L.

In this case, Equibase has been misspelling the horse's name and we had not received the proper data.  He should have seven regularly-spaced workouts since early December. 


I would like to get in on the handicapping exercise for today.  Do you offer free pp's for the race in question, or do you have to purchase the pp's?  Since I don't plan on going today to bet, and I don't have an account with drf, I wouldn't buy a racing form today just for the fun of making my picks and comparing notes with others.  Turf races are my favorite, and I'd love to see the race and make my selections, and compare my reasoning with others.   Thanks
Barbara Patton

Welcome aboard, Barbara!  Our HandiGambling exercises are weekly (usually a Wednesday) and the past performances for the race are usually published (for free) on Monday afternoon.  We look forward to hearing your opinions!


Dan and other FormBloggers,
Does anyone know, outside of Calracing.com, where one can see race replays for free?

Try checking out the individual websites for a particular racetrack.  Tampa Bay Downs, for example, has free replays for their races.


Dan-a question about the difference between the printed and online version of the form:  why doesn't the printed form carry the trainer/jockey/post position stats by track that the online version has and makes available.  For me, this is a major reason why I rarely use the printed version as I rely a lot on those particular stats.  One current example-with all the stake races at the Fair Grounds this weekend, the importance of those numbers can't be overstated for someone like me-primairly because I don't play FG a lot, and have little commited to memory.
Thank you.

It's a space issue.  Usually the paper carries such statistics but unfortunately they don't appear in Saturday's paper.


See you Monday.