06/20/2014 2:22PM

Weekend stakes opinions

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Let's take a look at some interesting horses scheduled to race this weekend:

*Bed O'Roses (Belmont, Saturday):

#5 HOT STONES (8-1 ML) and #8 MERRY MEADOW (4-1 ML) are the two I'm keying on the Bed O'Roses.

The former cuts back in distance and adds blinkers after chasing the swift La Verdad in the Critical Eye Stakes for New York-breds on May 31. While Hot Stones is "stepping up" into a graded event here, the argument could be made that La Verdad is every bit as good as the fillies and mares in the Bed O'Roses, and Hot Stones made a solid bid at La Verdad late.

Merry Meadow took advantage of a four-horse field in which the favorite, Kauai Katie, failed to lift a hoof and the second-choice, FIVE STAR MOMMA, didn't show her customary early speed. Still, Merry Meadow ran well in the Vagrancy and might work out a stalking trip just off the speeds.

*Eatontown Stakes (Monmouth, Saturday):

It's usually unwise to play horses coming off year+ layoffs, but I have a feeling that #2 RUSTY SLIPPER (6-1 ML) will give a good account of herself for Graham Motion. The filly has showed off an impressive late kick on occasion and isn't catching the strongest graded race for her return. When last we saw her, she ran down a pair of next-out winners in a stakes race at Monmouth.

ORION MOON (2-1 ML) is obviously the horse to beat for Christophe Clement following good efforts against legitimate graded performers.

*Acadiana Stakes (Evangeline, Saturday):

The Acadiana kicks off a $100,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 and #3 SWEET ALICE BENBOW (8-1 ML) looked very good in winning her most recent outing. She advanced nicely along the inside on the turn, eased out into the stretch, and put the boots to the field in the final eighth. She won by eight lengths and should get some pace to attack.

*Opelousas Stakes (Evangeline, Saturday):

Two longshots worth following are I DAZZLE (8-1 ML) and TENSAS HARBOR (8-1 ML). I Dazzle was a professional winner three back at this distance and her recent form is dirtied up. Two starts ago, she was thrown to the wolves in the 12-furlong, Grade 3 Bewitch Stakes at Keeneland. Most recently, she tried to close over an inside, speed-favoring polytrack course at Arlington. This kind of middle-distance, blacktype turf stakes is right up her alley.

Tensas Harbor goes dirt to turf, and that angle has worked well for her in the past. She is a true one-run closer, however, and will need some pace to adequately setup her late flurry.

*Summertime Oaks (Saturday, Santa Anita):

If long layoff horses aren't your cup of tea, then you're probably not into trying maidens in graded stakes. If you are, consider #2 LIVE FOR NOW, a half-sister to Point Given by Tiznow. Trained by Eoin Harty, Live For Now, a gigantic filly, was hung out extremely wide every step of the way in her most recent effort. She seems to be slowly figuring the game out, should get a bit of speed to run at on Saturday, and isn't facing the strongest bunch.

*I'd rather have SUNBEAN than GRAND CONTENDER in the Evangeline Mile, and would use GANTRY and SUM OF THE PARTS in our HandiGambling race, the $300,000 Evangeline Turf Sprint.

More importantly, who do you like this weekend? I want to know.

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You can find the weekend stakes previews at the following page. The videos for Sunday's King Edward and Saturday's All-Stakes Pick 4 from Evangeline should be posted by Friday evening.

http://www.drf.com/events/weekend-stakes-previews-picks-analysis-more

There will also be a late Pick 4 Preview for Saturday's card at Santa Anita

http://www.drf.com/events/evangeline-downs-turf-sprint-evangeline-downs

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You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

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*The links to the previous blogs (and blog comments) are listed below:

http://www.drf.com/blogs/five-star-effort

http://www.drf.com/blogs/bayern-back-track

http://www.drf.com/blogs/looking-back-looking-ahead

http://www.drf.com/blogs/jack-milton-ace-hole

http://www.drf.com/blogs/stormin-track-record

http://www.drf.com/blogs/kalifornia-ko

http://www.drf.com/blogs/lying-wait

http://www.drf.com/blogs/potential-price-plays-sunday

http://www.drf.com/blogs/unstoppable-untapable

http://www.drf.com/blogs/kentucky-derby-non-opinions

http://www.drf.com/blogs/davona-dale

http://www.drf.com/blogs/can-hudson-landing-still-go

http://www.drf.com/blogs/tricky-elkhorn

http://www.drf.com/blogs/hail-mary-claim

http://www.drf.com/blogs/grounding-hawk

http://www.drf.com/blogs/cat-burglar-creeping-upward

http://www.drf.com/blogs/3-year-old-filly-sprinter-watch

http://www.drf.com/blogs/tale-two-wins

http://www.drf.com/blogs/beatable-favorites

http://www.drf.com/blogs/baker-cooks-calder

http://www.drf.com/blogs/keeneland-baby

http://www.drf.com/blogs/derby-prep-thoughts

http://www.drf.com/blogs/fishing-opinions

http://www.drf.com/blogs/keeneland-its-spring-again

http://www.drf.com/blogs/sprinter-rise

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Congrats to hunter4fun for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling race.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

On tab 2 you will see each HG Race we've held and they are color coded to denote if the race was run on Turf, Dirt or Poly.

Saturday's Evangeline Turf Sprint will be this week's HandiGambling exercise

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
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A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

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Copy of Formblog Vanity Stakes 6-14-14.xls73.5 KB
HGEVD.pdf183.64 KB