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Weekend recap, Beyers, questions
The most impressive performance of the week may have belonged to Speedacious, a juvenile filly trained by Bret Calhoun. The Louisiana-bred daughter of Yankee Gentleman is a half-sister to Prince Benjamin, a multiple stakes-placed performer at nine furlongs on both turf and dirt, but Speedacious blasted her foes into the ground in the Louisiana Lassie Stakes at six furlongs. Ridden by Carlos Gonzalez, Speedacious pressed the pace while three wide before blowing the race wide open under ultra-confident handling. Theriot barely moved a muscle as Speedacious was unfazed by the wet track underfoot and lightning storm overhead.
*Rodman, a winner for a $35,000 tag during the Saratoga meet, ran away and hid from his rivals in Saturday's Grade 3 Queens County Handicap at Aqueduct. Ridden beautifully on the front end by Javier Castellano, Rodman rebuffed the challenge of defending champion Researcher en route to a 5 3/4 length score, and seems headed to Florida for trainer Michael Hushion.
"These late developing horses are great," said Hushion "They're fun, and it looks like he's got more fun in front of him. I would consider [the Donn Handicap], why not? It's time to step up, I think."
"I didn't expect to be on the lead," said Castellano. "But he broke so clean and he felt like he wanted to go. The main thing was at a mile and three-sixteenths I didn't want to be fighting him the whole way. He came out with so much natural speed and he made the lead so easy. He enjoyed the trip the whole way, and when I asked him he really responded at the top of the stretch."
It was a solid performance, but Rodman did enjoy an easy trip up front, and he seemed to be laboring just a bit in the stretch after he switched back to his wrong lead. The waters are bound to get deeper if he does go in the Donn.
*Another two-year-old to watch may be Wildcat Frankie, who won his career debut by 15 1/2 lengths at Calder on Saturday in a five and one-half furlong maiden special weight. By the crack sprinter Wildcat Heir, Wildcat Frankie sold for $25,000 in June, and is trained by James Hatchett.
*The expected speed duel failed to develop between Mast Track and Tres Borrachos in the Native Diver at Hollywood Park on Saturday, and once Tres Borrachos backed off, Mast Track had a major advantage. After coasting through comfortable fractions of :24.57, :48.76, 1:13:04, Mast Track, the winner of the 2008 Hollywood Gold Cup, had more than enough left to hold off late-runners High Court Drama and Neko Bay.
Here are the lifetime past performances for our top Beyer earners:
Dan, any way you can get your buddies at DRF to make the "Race of the Day" 2yo races for the rest of the year, if their isn't a stakes race that day? And make the ROTD 3yo races in 2010, until the Derby, if their is no stakes that day? I ask this because that way we could see up and coming Derby horses.
Dan, can we have Golden Man's pp's?
The Race of the Day concept was designed to blend together a video analysis of one of the day's best betting races with editorial coverage of said race and Formulator Web past performances. While there will be times when one of the pieces of the puzzle aren't available, most people I've talked to seem to like the current format as there's a little something for everyone.
You'll notice that Golden Man returned on short notice (not exactly one day, but you know what I mean) on several occasions:
Could you possibly shed some light on the horse Marina (a 4 y/o sire of Theatrical)? It emerged from nowhere on the Palm Meadows work tab and was, according to my friend a $22K purchase at the Fasig Tipton Mixed Sales. Equibase shows her as unraced.
It would be a horse that would be tracked in the Post Auction Experiment.
Any assistance--and perhaps a confirmation of our findings--would be appreciated, and thanks in advance.
Dan (or anyone else),
An array of questions that I hope you can confirm/answer. Many thanks in advance.
1. One of the horses from the Post Auction Experiment, Fortune In Faith (3 y/o), emerged from out of the mothballs and ran twice in Argentina.
Is it possible to access the charts of the Argentine races for statistical purposes? The races are the following:
--Race 1, a Maiden Race, contested at La Plata on Dec. 1, 2009.
--Race 9, a Maiden Race, contested at Hipodromo Argentino De Palermo on Oct. 3, 2009.
(If not a full chart, then as much information as possible focusing on purse, conditions, finish, and surface)
Marina, a four-year-old daughter of Theatrical - La Jolla Shores (by Kris S.), was bred in Kentucky by George Krikorian (foal date of May 1, 2005). She is a half-sister to Knockout Artist, a stakes winner on turf at Del Mar, and her first published workout was on December 12, 2007 (3 furlongs around the dogs on turf in 40.20 breezing). There was a gap between the 12/28/07 and 2/6/08 workouts, one between the 2/29/08 and 3/19/08 workouts, and between the most recent two workouts (4/4/08 and 12/12/09).
Here's the interesting bit of information. She was sold for $22,000 in February of 2009 IN FOAL to Point Given. The Jockey Club also reports that she was then bred to High Fly. My best guess is that the name of the worker at Palm Meadows was reported incorrectly. If you put a gun to my head, I'd surmise that the workhorse in question is Morena, a filly trained by Michael Matz.
We don't receive charts from South America, but I do have the past performance lines for the races in question. Here are the updated past performances for Fortune in Faith:
To be honest, MM was only ups on the track, but was injured and hopefully will be returning soon.
Musket Man seems to be progressing nicely. He breezed a half-mile in 47.80 at Tampa Bay Downs on December 12. You can track his progress on our Disabled List (almost completely caught up).
I only subscribe to the cheap version of Formulator, so I cannot do an in depth trainer scan.
At Aqu, Dec.13, race 9, Afrikaner, trained by Linda Rice: DRF Trainer stats: Sprint/Route(64 .16 $1.34). Andy Serling, from NYRA, gave out a 10/93 Sprint/Route for five years. A big difference, going from a possible bet to a no bet. Is the DRF Trainer line only for three years?
The current trainer stats on the bottom of the DRF goes back to January 1, 2008.
Can you please check on the status of Go Swiftly, who broke down while making a winning move in PEN3 Friday night? She was a filly I've been following for awhile on my Watch List. Go Swiftly was by Gone West out of Dance Swifty, the full sister to Dance Smartly and half sister to Smart Strike.
Go Swiftly, a colt by Gone West, broke down at Penn National, but I don't have any recent news to report. I'll let you know if I find out anything more.
I have been reading posts about Oscar barerra on here recently.
If I remember correctly he claimed a horse in the mid 1980's her name I believe was April Miracle and he won 5 or 6 races in a row with her in a 30 day period, he was a miracle worker. can you please post her PP's, also if you can post the PP's for (creme de la fete) I think it is spelled correctly another horse that was claimed by OB and was probably the most claimed horse on the grounds at that time in NY he always gave his all he was the king of claimers.
I think that you meant "Teriyaki Stake" instead of "April Miracle." I posted Teriyaki Stake's past performances in a previous blog post. Here is what I have for April Miracle and Creme de la Fete:
I have estimated, right or wrong, that you will have read over 17,000 posts by the end of the year. I was wondering if that fact, tends to take a toll on you.
I was wondering if the nature of comments of the Formbloggers posts ever disappoint you.
Also, I was wondering if there were ever any meetings where you, Inside Post, Crist, Hodvey,and Moss get together and discuss your blogs.
It doesn't really take a toll on me. This game is my life and I greatly enjoy reading everyone's opinions. The entire grind of the job, particularly during Saratoga, can be exhausting, but the euphoria one feels when solving the handicapping puzzle more than makes up for any fatigue.
I'm very rarely disappointed by FormBlogger comments. The vast majority of them are well thought-out, interesting, entertaining, and informative. What I love about the blog is the civil tone you guys maintain, day after day, year after year. It's unlike any other blog I've seen, and I'm proud to count you all as my friends. The only time I'll step in is if the topic veers away from horseracing, or becomes personally insulting to other formbloggers. Thankfully, I've rarely had to interfere.
I had a nice conversation with Mr. Crist a couple of weeks ago but, for the most part, the DRF bloggers keep to their own agendas.
Anywhere, anyhow, I can get a future wager on next years Derby?
Both the Wynn Las Vegas and Lucky's Racebook in Las Vegas have future odds set for the 2010 Derby. Here is the press release from Lucky's:http://www.betatluckys.com/2010-Kentucky-Derby
Here are the latest odds from the Wynn:
Need your help, I guess we will never again see more than four tracks in the eastern edition (even though when you charge an extra dollar on sat we can get seven tracks )But why dont we get fair grounds this is a major winter track and if we get any more cancellations like we did on wed the paper will be useless Fri editions omit FG and this track should be in every edition Thanks
I agree. I'll send your concerns to the Circulation Department
Help! Could someone with more tech knowhow than your humble servant tell me how to access the winner's reward for the HG, a monthly enhanced 60-card PP plan?
Ray, I've had trouble sending you e-mails regarding your HandiGambling 162 win so I've had customer service add the prize to your account. You should be able to access it on your next login. Let me know if you have any trouble.
Still waiting on Frankie M. @ Toyota for this week's HandiGambling race.
Annie, thank you for informing me about page 2 (and they say you can't teach an old dog new tricks). I now realize that many of my previous questions were answered on page 2 of the blogs. This is the first (and only) blog that I have participated in and was completely unaware those posts existed. Thanks again to you and Laura for all the work on the MKB draw and chat and especially to Dan for his work on this blog. I also like the moratorium on posts (Blackstone); maybe Thursday and Friday resuming on Saturday for the weekend races.
Zayat Stables/Robin Hood's How quickly people are to judge, try and convict without what in American is called due process, innocent until proven guilty. And to automatically take the side of a scheming banker, is beyond my comprehension, Bank ofAmerica, CitiCorp, BankersTrust, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo, Your Downtown Trust and Loan manager will take your home if you are late on payments, while you are laying in bed recovering from an arm break. If someone is trying to defraud a bank, one had better not use the funds received to purchase thoroughbred race horses, especially with the scrutiny of the Thoroughbred Protective Bureau. All one has to do is check out where and how Harold J. Smith got put back in jail, Yes the TPB had a lot to do with it, because the bank after lending him the funds, charged him with bank fraud and the prosecution saw fit using prosecutorial misconduct to convict him of bank fraud. http://panachereport.com/channels/hip%20hop%20gallery/MuhammadAliSportsScandal.htm You wouldn’t know and will never know what happened to the thoroughbred’s he purchased with the money. I’ll say this though, the athletes that he mentored were not using performance enhancing drugs, they were all ghetto and couldn’t afford it.
ROTD Agree with Molesap on the #1 and Bmore Brian on the #7. the #3 and #10 should figure although Undenied(#10) has a tough post. #1 Stick to it may get brave on the lead and was understandably short in his last and ran out of condition as well. The bet $50 win #1 $10 ex.3,7/1 $10 ex. 1/3,7,10
ROTD CT 9 To add to baltimore_brian's post regarding the ROTD (9th at CT), #7 - Vague Notion was also claimed last out and Comi's is 2 for 2 first off the claim. There is no way you'll get 10-1, but 3-1 still seems like it is fair. I also like the rail horse Stick to It. He definitely needed his last race. The trainer is pretty good anyways, but gets 30% winners 2nd of 180 day layoffs. The other legit speed horses either have scratched or are coming in off routes. At 15-1 he has a shot. Obviously #3 Awesome Actor will likely have a say as well. So there you have it. Predicted order of finish - 7, 1, 3
Dan, I have yet another favor... I'm handicapping FG's Saturday's card (in preparation for the NHCQualifier) and I came across Pulpit's Secret in FG2. This 2yo 2ndTS is out of Acorn winner Forest Secrets, the dam of Forest Command. What ever happened to him? Forest Command last raced at GP in Jan09. You have him on the 'Deleted' DL from his barn injury back in Jun08, but nothing new from '09. Thanks!!
ROTD - 9th at CT There's a supertrainer for the #7 - VAGUE NOTION (M/L 10-1). Ralph Comi is 49% at meet (21/43) and is 46% (23/50) for year. Horse is 3-6 at CT, 5/6 ITM. Trainer/Jock winning at 30% clip. $100 WIN 7
Vicstu, It's easy keeping up when the horse is on the front page! I did add Schoolyard Dreams to my watch list too. I am hoping that Musket Man and/or Presious Passion will be running somewhere in Florida this March as I will be in state much of the month. Weren't you a bouncer in the old days? I may need some muscle to help me chaperone some varsity baseball players!
Baffert says he wants to be able to say he bred a G1 winner by trying Misrembered in the Malibue. Please tell me they aren't going to retire Misremembered after the year. I think he has a legit chance to win the B.C. Classic next year at CD. The Donn seems like a good spot for him. Maybe the Dubai World Cup.
ROTD from CHAAZZtown! 9-10 Exacta/box CHAAZZ