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Weekend Beyers, etc.
We've seen some wonderful training jobs in 2009. First, we lauded King Leatherbury for his work with the brilliant, but brittle Ah Day. Last week, we praised Bennie Stutts Jr. for getting Smooth Air back into the winner's circle after that runner's various physical ailments. This time, we must give Bill Mott his due. Hold Me Back had to successfully navigate nine furlongs in his first start since the Remsen, but Mott had him cranked tight, and Hold Me Back rallied late to win the Lane's End. The Hall of Famer also teamed up with Kent Desormeaux to win the Orchid with the talented stayer Dress Rehearsal...Nice to see a couple of stakes horses return from injury to win their races. Noble Court reportedly suffered from a bruised foot after finishing third in the Vernon O. Underwood, but he came back strong to take the Joe Hernandez on Saturday at Santa Anita. Secret Gypsy missed a start at Fair Grounds earlier in the year due to a swollen pastern, but she returned with a vengeance in the Distaff at the Big A.
Here are the winning Beyer Speed Figures for last week's stakes races:
*Prima Donna (OP): She's Our Annie (W. Fires/J. Court) - 104
*San Luis Rey (SA): Midships (R. Frankel/V. Espinoza) - 102
*Coyote (TuP): Goin' Dancin (T. Smith/D. Vergara) - 98
*Lane's End (TP): Hold Me Back (W. Mott/K. Desormeaux) - 97
*Joe Hernandez (SA): Noble Court (J. Sadler/J. Rosario) - 96
*Orchid (GP): Dress Rehearsal - Ire (W. Mott/K. Desormeaux) - 95
*Hot Springs (OP): Red Hot N Gold (K. Von Hemel/E. Razo Jr.), Silver Edition (D. Lukas/T. Thompson) - 94 *Dead-Heat
*Distaff (Aqu): Secret Gypsy (R. Werner/R. Albarado) - 93
*Black Bart (TuP): Allegre (M. Chambers/J. Barton) - 92
*Santa Ana (SA): Belmont Cat - NZ (J. Sadler/J. Rosario) - 92
*Pan American (GP): Buddy's Humor (B. Levine/J. Lezcano) - 92
*Sportsman's Paradise (DeD): Headstart (S. Asmussen/R. Toups) - 90
*Golden Gate Fields Sprint (GG): Siren Lure (S. Sherman/F. Alvarado) - 90
*Mt. Cristo Rey (Sun): Key's Band (J. Gonzalez Jr./J. Bourdieu) - 88
*Private Terms (Lrl): St John's Gospel (A. Gonzalez/H. Ramos) - 88
*Bourbonette Oaks (TP): Hot Cha Cha (P. Sims/O. Mojica) - 87
*Hansel (TP): Turfiste (R. Holthus/J. Leparoux) - 86
*Queen (TP): Just for Keeps (M. Maker/J. Leparoux) - 85
*Rushaway (TP): Cliffy's Future (D. Miller/J. Castanon) - 83
*Fortin (FG): Tizaqueena (M. Stidham/H. Theriot II) - 83
*Green Oaks (DeD): Garter Belt (K. Decker/C. Hernandez) - 78
*Zany Tactics (TuP); Albacore Bob (L. Wells/M. Hernandez) - 76
*ITBOF Sales Graduate (Fillies) - Belong Again (J. Calvin/E. Perez) - 75
*Oregon Derby (PM): El Cugat (P. Jarvis/M. Gutierrez) - 72
*Sydney Valentini (Sun): Let the Musicbegin (G. Greenwood/M. Perez) - 69
*Pepsi (Fon): Stroll By (L. Donlin/J. Ponce) - 67
*ITBOF Sales Graduate (colts) (Haw): King Ajax (M. Cristel/L. Wade) - 62
Here are the lifetime past performances of the highest and lowest Beyer stakes performers of the week:
Haven't seen a work from Imperial Council since the Gotham. A bit worried about that. Any news on your end, Dan?
Imperial Council returned to Florida after the Gotham, and worked a half-mile in 51.80 on Saturday morning at Payson Park. He'll likely be pointed to the Wood Memorial for a rematch with I Want Revenge.
For HandiGambling 126, I would like to select the 8th race at Oaklawn, an Allowance Optional Claiming (OC22k/N1X) race for four year-olds and up at 1 1/16th miles on the dirt.
Congrats to Van Savant for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling race. I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated. Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan." Here are the past performances for Wednesday's race:
Talk to you soon,
A little late probably to comment but...there it goes: Regarding to workouts and precision, the system that track horses during the race at Woodbine would do the trick. They even display the exact distance the horses ran after the race. It's a huge handicapping tool not used as it should be.
I kind of went with highest earnings at OP, which #5 is easilly tops at 9k/per, and if you'll notice he came off a year and then some layoff to run a nice race. I have some particular knowledge of horses coming back off this kind of layoff, it's a difficult task to get them to run well at all, let alone show their top effort. That's a nice training job. I see the last two races, which came very quickly following the comeback victory (something I like in this case) as a necessary recession given the extent of the layoff, but the fact he ran back so quickly twice tells me this one is physically okay and he may be ready to take another step forward after a very predictable pair of bounces. There is some turf talent in the family, as I recall - I believe he has a sib or two with good success on the lawn. Out of Distorted Humor, the distance really shouldn't pose a problem. Wire to wire?
hg 126- I'm not familiar with Oaklawn so I'll keep it simple. #4 looks like a good horse in good form so I'll key him. #3 always like to throw in a Lukas horse underneath at a price. #6 and #10 are horses I think could wake up today $25 ex. 4/ 3,6,10 $2 tri 4/3,6,10/3,6,10 3,6,10/4/3,6,10 My math comes up with $99 with a buck left for coffee.
In the oaklawn race I think the 8 got a question is coming out of a strong race he was right there with the number 4 two back and I will play $100 to win on him #8
Hg 127 *Revision*.... Posted by: chicago gerry on March 25, 2009 at 01:00 AM ****** HG 125:.... Posted by: John C. on March 25, 2009 at 01:17 AM ****** HG 126.... Posted by: eternal_arcadia on March 25, 2009 at 01:28 AM ****** Three comments in a row! All with different HandiGambling numbers! HG12X For some reason, I can't figure this race out. I would normally pass unless forced to play as part of a contest or multi-race wager. But since this is a contest... FIELD: Many class changes today - some appear to have a "win ceiling" at lower class levels. I tend to particularly avoid speed horses who have difficulty when bumped up in class. I also tend to avoid lower class horses (aged 4up) who have a last-out "Career Best Beyer". Several also fit this criteria today. IMO these horses tend to bounce more often (another topic for my book BTW - note that this is only an opinion, I haven't done the study yet!) Based somewhat on those criteria, I like #5 Trojan War (ML:7/2) and less so #10 Menacing (ML:10/1) today. Will include #4 Letthebigtimesroll and #7 Momentarily underneath in exactas. WAGER (May change pending scratches): $10EX #5,10/4,5,7 = $50 $50EX #5/10 = $50 $100TOTAL Good luck to all HandiGamblers today!
I like early speed in tomorrow's HG 126 from the "other" Spa. Contenders: 3,4,7,8 Wagers: $3.50 Tri Box: 3,4,7,8 = 84 $5 Exacta P/W: 3 // 4,7,8 = 15 $0.50 Tri: 3 // 7,8 // 7,8 for last $1 Good Luck to All Tomorrow!
HG 126 To put it mildly, OP has always kicked my butt. I rarely play OP just because of my poor record there. That being said, if there is one thing I know, it is that OP is a course for horses. Some love it--most seem to struggle. So I'm confining my play to horses that seem to have shown some affinity to the idiosyncrasies of the course: $5 tri wheel: 5,4,8/5,4,8/5,4,8,9,1=$90 $5 Ex Box: 5,4=$10 Total $100 Good Luck and Good Racing!
HandiGambling 126; TROJAN WAR (#5) has run in nothing but sprints leading into this race, but his speed appears to be his biggest ally against these. He can be forwardly-placed, and should receive a nice set-up either on the lead, or stalking. His last race really amounted to a public workout against a much better group. BOURNES LAND (#2) is surely stepping-up in class, but against this group, it might not be a factor. His last race (a Win) at this track and at this distance serve as serious food for thought. I also like that Jockey Borel retains this mount. He should factor in this. PRADEROSO (#1) may actually be experiencing a bit of class-relief today, and should be forwardly-placed. I expect that he may be around to pick up a piece of this. LETTHEBIGTIMESROLL (#4) was dominant in his last out on a muddy track. Those kind of conditions are not expected, but even without, he looms a threat. My play: $22 Exacta, 5 w/1,2,4 ($66) $11 Exacta, 2 w/1,4,5 ($33) $1 Trifecta, 4 w/2, w/5 ($1) That the full hondo. Thanks Dan, and good luck, good people!
P Ensign- Just want to see how the track is playing tomorrow, I got info that OP had heavy rain Tuesday afternoon, and has a chance of showers in the afternoon. But that info came out of Canada, but I didn't know they got the weather reports for the US up there. Plus the #10 just throws up so many red flags for me. He may win but I can't back him. I believe they really want to unload him. The old saying on the backstretch is you don't want to be the last one to own a claimer. It's, I just don't have a farm to put the old guy out to pasture on, and my back yard is very small.
HG126: Trojan War and Got a Question, while I don't think they'll go head and head early, I think one will be intent on getting the lead and will have to fend off an early move from the other into the far turn. Either way, I don't think either one will have enough left to hold on for one of the top two spots. The 9 is a throwout, and the rest all seem relatively even. Will take a shot with Praderoso and Del Castillo Diaz on top, the former dueling most of the way around through swift fractions in better than looked win, and the latter an expensive bust who may have found his level and distance. Will use a few logical contenders to complete the exacta as follows: $12 Exacta: 1,3 w/ 1,3,6,7,10 $1 Exacta: 1,3 w/ 2,4 Total: $100