07/19/2011 5:06PM

Update On Breeders' Cup Future Odds


It seems like people are still buzzing about the big battle between Blind Luck and Havre de Grace in last Saturday’s Delaware Handicap, although that figures to subside with the openings of Del Mar and Saratoga. But the Del Cap didn’t have the impact in one respect that some folks might have expected it to.

Noting the weakness so far of the older male division and the uncertainty surrounding the 3-year-old male division, many are calling for Blind Luck and Havre de Grace to make their long-term goal the Breeders’ Cup Classic against males instead of the more conservative Breeders’ Cup spot, the Ladies’ Classic for females. With so much desire to see Blind Luck and Havre de Grace go for glory in the Breeders’ Cup Classic, and with the Del Cap, one of the best races of the year up to this point, still resonating so strongly, you might have expected that the Classic future book odds on these two would have tumbled over the weekend. That was not the case, however.

From time to time in this space, I’ve relayed the latest future book Breeders’ Cup odds from the sharp folks at the race and sports book at Wynn Las Vegas. I just got the latest update from Wynn, through the racing of last weekend, and it turns out the Del Cap barely made a ripple on their Classic future odds. Blind Luck, who was 60-1 in the Classic before her narrow score Saturday, only dipped to 50-1 afterward. Havre de Grace, meanwhile, remained at 30-1 in the Classic.

Wynn’s tepid favorite for the Classic at 10-1 remains Twirling Candy, who is now 0 for 2 at the Classic distance of 10 furlongs after being upset last time out in the Hollywood Gold Cup. Hollywood Gold Cup winner First Dude has become second choice at 12-1, while Gold Cup runner up Game On Dude hangs high at 40-1.

Third choice for the Classic at 15-1 is So You Think, an Aidan O’Brien trainee who has won two Group 1 races this year. But Godolphin’s Rewilding, who won the Prince of Wales’s at Royal Ascot by a neck over So You Think for his second straight Group 1 victory, is out there at 40-1.

Among other horses listed by Wynn for the Classic include Met Mile winner Tizway at 20-1; Sidney’s Candy, who is to make his East Coast debut for new connections in the Whitney, 40-1; Preakness winner Shackleford, 50-1; and Belmont Stakes winner Ruler On Ice, 75-1. Oh yeah, Uncle Mo, last year’s champion 2-year-old male and who is hoping to launch his comeback from illness in the King’s Bishop, is pegged at 40-1.

As for Wynn’s future book odds for the Ladies’ Classic, Havre de Grace didn’t move an inch and she is still the favorite at 2-1. Blind Luck, however, did drop to 5-2 from 7-2.

Awesome Maria, who made it 4 for 4 this year in the Phipps Handicap, and Royal Delta, so impressive winning the Black Eyed Susan, remained next in line at 5-1 and 10-1, respectively.

Other notables listed by Wynn for the Ladies’ Classic include Vanity and Apple Blossom runner up Switch at 15-1; Hollywood Oaks winner Zazu, 20-1; and Kentucky Oaks winner Plum Pretty, 22-1. But one I have some interest in is Acorn winner It’s Tricky, because 60-1 seems awfully generous on her.

Finally, I’ll throw these out there because Wynn Las Vegas has already posted odds on these races: Wynn’s first three favorites for the Breeders’ Cup Sprint are Trappe Shot, 5-1; Big Drama, 6-1; and Smiling Tiger at 8-1. Tough to take issue with that. For the Dirt Mile, Wynn has Tizway narrowly favored over Morning Line, 7-1 to 8-1. Also very sensible.

geoff More than 1 year ago
Big drama coming back after a nice break at 6-1 is the best future bet out there. Fawkes has sprinters down to a science.
Molly Julia More than 1 year ago
David Fawkes said 2 more races for Big Drama Until the 2011 Breeder's Cup Sprint - Belmont & Monmouth - Repeat
Ivan More than 1 year ago
Mike, what about Frankel? I know he is a longshot to come to Churchill, but I'm interested to know. I think we are in a year in which no doubt we will be seeing a huge price coming home to win the Classic. Pool Play, Giant Oak and Game on Dude come to mind. Another exercise to make is how the odds on the Ladies Classic will change if both BL and HDG tackle the males in the Classic.
molly julia More than 1 year ago
Frankel scared to come to the United States - look at what happened to Goldikova
Jay Van Horn More than 1 year ago
Blind Luck at 50-1! Are you kidding me? So You Think at 15-1? This is going to be the greatest Breeders Cup ever! What are the odds of Twirling Candy in the Dirt Mile? That could be the icing on the on the cake! (MW - Twirling Candy did not have odds posted for the Dirt Mile, but I'm sure the folks at Wynn would quickly provide you with a quote if you wanted one.)
big C More than 1 year ago
if i offered you blind luck at 80/1, would you take it? of the two, she seems more likely to relish the 10F
HZ Hackenbush More than 1 year ago
Game On Dude still at 40-1. Amazing.
jw More than 1 year ago
How about the odds on Flashpoint in the sprint ? 10/1 and I'm in !!!! (MW - Flashpoint is indeed currently listed at 10-1.)
Rob More than 1 year ago
Might be on interest to check the Ladbrokes odds for the Classic. They have the Aidan O'Brien trained Await the Dawn as their 5-1 favorite. O'Brien stated publicly after his victory in the Group II Hardwicke at Royal Ascot that the Classic is the goal for the horse. The horse has a strong dirt pedigree being by Giant's Causeway out of a Dixieland Band mare. O'Brien has said nothing about So You Think coming stateside, Await the Dawn appears to be Ballydoyle's classic contender as well as the market leader in Europe. Shocked that Wynn haven't priced him up give O'Brien's comments. (MW - Wynn did list Await the Dawn, pegging him at 20-1. I just did not mention him.)