04/07/2011 1:15PM

Uncle Mo's Beyer Edge in the Wood Memorial


The 89 Beyer Figure Uncle Mo earned in the Timely Writer Stakes in his first start this year was the lowest of his career by five Beyer points. But that pedestrian – by Uncle Mo’s standards – 89 Beyer was entirely due to the very slow early pace in the Timely Writer of 25.53 and 49.58. Uncle Mo would have had to have been a super horse to finish fast enough to post a final time fast enough to reach the lofty Beyer standards he established for himself last year at 2 when he earned numbers of 102, 94, and 108. But he tried hard to knock that final time down. Uncle Mo’s final quarter in the Timely Writer of 22.87 was plenty fast.

Still, even Uncle Mo’s 89 Beyer in the Timely Writer is higher than any Beyer his nine opponents in Saturday’s Wood Memorial at Aqueduct have ever earned in their combined total of 52 career starts. The next highest Beyer in the field is the 88 Toby’s Corner earned two starts back when he won the Whirlaway. For the record, Toby’s Corner got an 82 Beyer when third in the Gotham last time out.

Since the Wood is likely to have a far truer early pace than the Timely Writer did, we can expect Uncle Mo to post a Beyer Figure more in line with what we have come to expect from him. What he will get in the Wood exactly is anyone’s guess. But for the sake of discussion, let’s say he gets an average of his three 2-year-old Beyers and earns a 101. Frankly, I think Uncle Mo is extremely capable of doing significantly better than that because, after all, he is supposed to improve as he matures physically. But let’s go conservative here and say he gets a 101. Let’s also say that no one else in the field can do better than Toby’s Corner’s best Beyer of 88, which for many Wood entrants would be a major step forward. A 13 point Beyer spread going 1 1/8 miles equals almost 8 ½ lengths.

Just thought I’d throw that out there in case you’re looking for a starting point to peg an over/under number for Uncle Mo’s win margin.