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Turf sprinter to follow
LADY SHIPMAN obliterated seven rivals in the $60,000 Klassy Briefcase Stakes traveling 5 1/2 furlongs on turf at Monmouth last Sunday.
A 3-year-old filly facing elders for the first time, Lady Shipman sped to the front under veteran jockey Eduardo Nunez. She scraped the paint throughout and drew off impressively to win by 6 1/4 lengths in 1:01.59 over the firm going. That final clocking was good enough for a whopping 104 Beyer Speed Figure.
Among the older horses left behind Lady Shipman were multiple stakes-winner JEWEL OF A CAT, stakes-winner and beaten favorite JOYA REAL, and stakes-winners MONSTER SLEEPING, STORMY NOVEL and AQUINNAH.
"She was really impressive today," winning trainer Kathleen O'Connell told track publicity following the race. "I know she’s a real nice filly and taking on older horses for the first time today she really showed how good she is. The best thing with her is her mind. She doesn’t let anything bother her. She ships well and does everything perfectly.”
Bred by Randall E. Lowe, Lady Shipman was foaled in Kentucky on April 14, 2012. She is from the first crop of juvenile champion Midshipman, winner of both the Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity and Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile over synthetic surfaces. As a 3-year-old, Midshipman finished third in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile over the now-defunct Pro-Ride surface at Santa Anita.
Lady Shipman joins the fleet YIANNIS as stakes-winners sired by Midshipman. Another colt, FRAMMENTO, placed third in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes.
Lady Shipman's dam, Sumthingtotalkabt (by Mutakddim), won five races from 22 outings. She scored at distances ranging from 5 to 7 furlongs and was victorious on both turf and dirt. Sumthingtotalkabt is a half-sister to stakes-winning dirt router Rules of War and multiple Grade 3-placed turf sprinter Nanogram. The second dam, Nannetta (by Falstaff), was a stakes-winner at 6 1/2 furlongs on both turf and dirt.
Lady Shipman was consigned to the OBS Spring auction of 2-year-olds in training in 2014. Despite working a furlong in a speedy 9.4 seconds, she was a $35,000 RNA.
Trained by O'Connell for Ranlo Investments, Lady Shipman finished third in her career debut at Gulfstream West on October 18, 2014, a 5 1/2-furlong dash on dirt. The following month, Lady Shipman graduated by 11 1/4-lengths at five furlongs on turf, and she backed that race up with an entry-level allowance victory on New Year's Day at Gulfstream.
"She’s a pretty special filly," O'Connell told track publicity following the second win at five furlongs on the green. "“I think she’s an all-terrain filly. I think she can run on anything. She worked well at OBS on Poly and she’s worked well on dirt, and of course, she’s run really well on turf. Honestly, I think she’s an all-terrain filly.”
O'Connell was proven correct when Lady Shipman ventured northward for an eight-length win in track record time in the $50,000 OBS Sprint Stakes at six furlongs on the Ocala Safe-Track surface.
Before Lady Shipman's next start, the $100,000 Stormy Blue Stakes at Pimlico on April 18, O'Connell described her filly to track publicity. "She seems to be the complete package. She’s got brains and she’s got talent. She’s been a really nice filly to have."
Sent off at 1 to 2 in the five-furlong turf sprint, Lady Shipman won by five lengths with a 92 Beyer Speed Figure. After the race, O'Connell targeted the $98,000 Wait a While Stakes on turf at Belmont on May 16. The seven-furlong distance proved a bit far for the filly, however, and she faded to third, two lengths behind the winner.
Cut back to 5 1/2 furlongs for the $60,000 Crank It Up Stakes on the Monmouth sod on June 6, Lady Shipman returned to her winning ways with a gate-to-wire score. "She just broke perfectly from the gate and went out to the lead,” winning jockey Nunez told track publicity. “She does her best running out front. She had plenty left in the tank heading for home. She answered the call beautifully.”
Never off the board from eight starts and a winner in six of her last seven races, Lady Shipman seems headed for bigger and better. The $100,000 Coronation Cup at Saratoga (5 1/2 furlongs, turf) on August 3 is a possibility. If that race comes back too quick, then the $60,000 Blue Sparkler Stakes for 3-year-olds and up at Monmouth on August 15 would suit just fine.
Here are the WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 7/7/15 - 7/13/15:
1. KING KREESA - 105 - Forbidden Apple Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 11Jul15-9BEL
2. LADY SHIPMAN - 104 - Klassy Briefcase Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 12Jul15-11MTH
3. ANCHOR DOWN - 101 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 12Jul15-3BEL
4. QUIET FORCE - 100 - Arlington Handicap (G3) - 1 3/16 Miles (Turf) - 11Jul15-6AP
4. RUNHAPPY - 100 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - 7Jul15-8IND
6. MAL GUAPO - 99 - OC 40k/N2X - 1 1/16 Miles - 10Jul15-3IND
7. TIGHTEND TOUCHDOWN - 97 - Parx Dash Handicap (G3) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 11Jul15-8PRX
8. FANTASTIC STYLE - 96 - Great Lady M Stakes (G2) - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 11Jul15-8LRC
8. FREESTYLER - 96 - OC 40k/N3X -N - 1 Mile - 11Jul15-7PRX
10. CLASSY CLASS - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs - 9Jul15-8BEL
10. DELTA BLUESMAN - 95 - OC 20k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - 11Jul15-7MTH
10. HEAR THAT TUNE - 95 - OC 16k/N1X -N - 7 Furlongs - 11Jul15-8GP
10. IRONICUS - 95 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - 8Jul15-3BEL
10. W. B. SMUDGE - 95 - OC 20k/N1Y -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 10Jul15-7TDN
15. WALK CLOSE - 94 - Modesty Handicap (G3) - 1 3/16 Miles (Turf) - 11Jul15-7AP
16. PUMPKIN RUMBLE - 93 - Mystic Lake Mile Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 11Jul15-9CBY
17. CALAMITY KATE - 92 - Delaware Oaks (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles - 11Jul15-10DEL
17. CRAFTY CONCORDE - 92 - OC 40k/N3X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 12Jul15-8PRX
17. THE PIZZA MAN - 92 - Stars and Stripes Stakes (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 11Jul15-8AP
20. GALIANA - 91 - Dashing Beauty Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 11Jul15-4DEL
21. CITY'S FAST LANE - 90 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - 11Jul15-6PRX
21. CONNEMARA COAST - 90 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - 11Jul15-2LRL
21. FORIN SEA - 90 - OC10k/SAL5k - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 12Jul15-8RUI
21. TOKEN OF LOVE (GB) - 90 - OC 80k/C -N - 7 Furlongs (Turf) - 10Jul15-6BEL
25. CEISTEACH (IRE) - 89 - Robert G. Dick Memorial Stakes (G3) - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - 11Jul15-9DEL
25. GOODTIMEHADBYALL - 89 - Clm 40000 - 1 1/16 Miles - 10Jul15-7BEL
25. S'MAVERLOUS - 89 - Clm c-35000N3L - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 10Jul15-2BEL
*KING KREESA's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
*S'MAVERLOUS was claimed for $35,000 by trainer Diane Balsamo from Rudy Rodriguez.
You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.
Remember to check out DRF LIVE's VIDEO handicapping coverage at live.drf.com. Matt Bernier and I will be on at 4pm ET on Thursday for a Del Mar preview. We'll be back Friday at 4pm for a look at the late Pick 3 at Belmont. On Saturday, we'll begin at 3:00 ET to handicap some of Saturday's major stakes races.
Congrats to nancyb for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling tournament.
Let's go with Saturday's Carl Hanford Memorial Stakes at Delaware for this week's exercise.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...
With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.
Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Please start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.
- You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .
- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.
- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.
-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.
- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"
As an example :
The speed in this race goes to horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1
50$ Ex box 1-6
A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)
|KING KREESA.pdf||765.37 KB|
Mooch, Well that's why I've never seen it since I'm not at the track. Actually, it wouldn't do much good unless they showed how many claims were put in for a horse, it seems like half the horses are claimed out of some races. But, can you imagine? Twenty-two claims put in for MR. CARTAGENA? I wonder if that's a record. Annie
C, I'm glad they did scrap that idea. Depending on how the Pick 5s go, I may try a Pick 6 or two during the meet. But, would never do it if they didn't pay out for 5 of 6. Annie
Whacky, I think that's the wisest choice. I couldn't believe 5K and not even hotel accomodations. For that, you could probably rent a house in Saratoga for a week. Better to make that money grow. :) Good luck!!! Annie
Told limousine owner to have a nice trip ... My host at Foxwoods has set us up...free rooms, food. etc. Only 104 miles away. Saving a ton of $$$$. To top it off, he is sending us a car up and back..... WM OUT!
Annie, I saw your response the other day... Yes, someone at DMR woke up and scrapped the changes to the P6.
Nancy.....the b must stand for "Brilliant'...good stuff and well thought out and defensible. I really don't see your scenario coming on the scene. Claiming, seems to make the game(and I am choking as I write this) more HONEST. Harness racing has tried a similar classification by Letter and number....and is probably "easier" to do in that sport because almost every race is the same distance. So time is KING. The weak parts of the argument are that the game's power shift would go to the RACING SECRETARY's office as they would be the ones doing the classifying. Even though I think that the game is over coached(the trainers are in control)...I just enjoy the pure capitalism of claiming and I won't back off that. Having horses for sale in most races is not one of the weaknesses of the sport in my view As far as the physical handicapping.....in the lower ranks the DIFFERENCES are what gives me an edge. Standout 1-9 Wacky Macky specials are sometimes EASILY tossed and severe improvement can be observed by horses rounding into outstanding form. In the better races....the more regally bred horses almost always look good. I find it harder in these races to differentiate...because most look great. IF they look a "mess" than it is usually pretty obvious. LIKE the report that I gave on FIRING LINE two days before the Preakness....after seeing him being schooled in the paddock he was TOTALLY SPENT and lethargic. DAN was doing his DRF LIVE show.....and when he was finished I told him "Toss Firing Line.....he has no shot looking like that"......and then wrote it on the blog. And agree 100% with the coziness of the racing secretaries with the large stables. It is GROSS. Having too much power in any one's hands is BAD. Just like in our system our congress has ceded much of their power to the executive branch....and then complain about how much power the executive branch has.... The old system works(for the most part).....and cleaning out the chemists is WAY more important. But let me say this....you could probably convince me to switch over with a really good system on classification.....but not sure if it is viable. To be an owner in the claiming ranks.....you have to have similar make up as Wacky....that guy has some set.....and lives big......the last of the "famous international playboys"...just like the old "The Smith's" song.
Annie, Congrats on your HG win. And a big thanks from me, for all you do for the blog, some of your quips are priceless. Enjoy the pp's. Whacky, My advice, stick 5 grand on AP. And go from there my friend.
nancyb: It would definitely be interesting in a survey of the early and late races due to the tide at DEl Mar. Keep in mind that now like years ago they're on dirt and it might be different than when on synthetic, but as I posted when I witnessed years ago on dirt it went from track record time to real slow within an hour. We figured they were flat embarrassed to have a claimer lowering the track record that they worked it over between races, but a case can be made that why go through the trouble working it over when there was only one race to go. Either way it would play havoc on speed figures. I have always complained about the power the track maintenance had making extreme biases from one day to the next, but back when was noticing it there was no one understanding of a bias, then finally when it was brought out I thought it would finally lead to a discussion about how a bias came to be most of the time which was track maintenance (when the weather was fair all week) at Santa Anita it would go from freeway fast one day to plow field slow the next, then back to freeway the next for no apparent reason. They would post on the board the same harrowing depth every day but it played extreme difference from day to day. It got to the point where I wouldn't play until a few dirt races were ran, sometimes I would look only at turf races. Track bias can make you or break you and it's difficult having any confidence in a play if you don't know if the track is going to play against you. Nowadays as much as track bias is duscussed I have yet to hear track maintenance brought up in the conversation, to everyone it's kind of a day to day wait and see approach. I understand starting out one way and through the week a gradual change but an extreme change from day to day or race to race just sucks. It should be addressed and the player should know before the race, keep in mind this is a game where we even know what kind of shoes a horse is wearing, all I want to know is what kind of floor they are dancing on before the dance begins.
(Continued) Re 5 yr old geldings - Charlie Whittingham was adamant that it was only when (male) horses turned 5 that you really knew what you had. Apparently fillies are pretty much physically grown when they are 4, although it seems obvious that mental maturity and attitude can keep improving for all. Only two of my watchlist horses running today, neither at particularly good prices: Richmond County, Race 5 @ Evangeline -- would prefer turf but this may be a cheap enought dirt race to equalize.(7-2 or better) Chique to Chique, Race 1 Woodbine -- This one won't be a maiden long, Attfield w/ EmmaJayne up(5-2 or better) Congrats Annie on the HG win About time and tides and Del Mar. I was told in a very solemn way that the tides definitely changed how the track played by the senior sportswriters at the paper. The fairgrounds being built on a wetlands made the theory make sense. For sure the track (both the poly and dirt) have always changed from morning coastal fog and overcast to afternoon when the sun is out and the breeze kicks up. I would love to hear whether anyone can discern a difference in times when the tide is in or out. For July 22 Next high tide in Solana Beach is at 2:36 PM Next low tide in Solana Beach is at 7:35 AM
Didn't it Rain, children, didn't it rain... Here in LA it was the absolutely loudest thunderstorm I ever experienced! ( My power was off for a while and apparently my Mac was so intimidated it refused to turn on for a few days. Harold-- I take your point about claiming being a vital part of the game the way you see it, but I'm not sure you would lose your edge if the same animals were in allowance races that fit their performance level or optional claimers (where the tag gives you a little break in the weights) or even some of the more fanciful conditions that Joe mentioned. Do you think that your ability to physically assess the runners would lessen? I think 'better living through chemistry' and the helplessness of racing jurisdictions to make and enforce the rules have permanently unbalanced the claiming game. And purses that are at least twice the value of the claiming price (due to casino money) simply aggravate the situation. When it comes to horses we know, I am happy that Willie won again without being claimed. Not changing leads can be a sign of big trouble brewing, but in this recent race I wonder if the bug boy just couldn't make the signal clear. At least it allowed Willie to go home to his own barn again. What are the incentives for a small scale owner or owner-breeder to get into or stay in racing if most of the opportunities to win purses also risk his investment? I just don't think that the game can survive without an influx of new owners and right now it's all going the other way with a few owners controlling more and more horses and gaining more and more clout with the racing secretaries. This from the CA void claim statute explains the rule a little: "It is important to remind owners and trainers the official veterinarians are not doing pre-purchase exams. No one should expect a perfect horse from a claim any more than we only allow perfect horses to race. The criteria are whether a horse should be placed on the Veterinarian’s List as Unsound or Lame. And without a doubt, there will be horses that are released to the new claimant that are less than perfect and will come up with problems later. " TBTA- the small owner situation you mentioned was mirrored by a reply Liz Merryman made to Joe's article about a home-bred she was hoping to keep. What I thought was poignant was her remark that if someone had come to the barn and offered to buy him for the claiming price she lost him for, she would have not taken it. Ed B --Amen! ' An open mind won't hurt you and you can actually learn something if you listen.' I actually think the danger of being shielded from hearing different perspectives is even stronger for young people. The algorithims for 'curated' newsfeeds keep the loop going. I am sad at the demise of newspapers not only for the loss of my livelihood but also for losing the effect it has to open a newspaper and read about things you don't already know or think. The existence of ' things we don't know we don't know' along with 'things we know we don't know' may be the only thing I ever agreed with Donald Rumsfeld about. Biggar W - the 'explaining to an animal rights activist' was a quote from the article I linked to(by Joe Clancy) Incidentally he lumped them in with Congressional hearings and 60 Minutes. I think the point is not that we need to convince PETA, it is to make the casual observer like racing a little. Whackymacky -- I think you should just GO! Monmouth is a charming little track -- very beach resorty and laid back. I'm sure they will be overwhelmed, but hey, it's an overwhelming once-in-a-lifetime situation. If I could, I'd stay right there in Red Bank, preferably at the Molly Pitcher Inn, and let their limo take you to the track and back. They have excellent dining and the staff there has always been incredibly solicitous and knowledgeable. Even weekday traffic between AC and Oceanport is subject to snarls and delays, I imagine that even when you get to the Garden State there will be heavy traffic on Haskell Day. We did one time attempt to leave Monmouth to meet up with friends for dinner in AC and it was disastrous, with everybody cranky and suffering from low blood sugar by the time we got there. I remember that there used to be ferry service from Battery Park to Monmouth (way back in the day, like in the 70's) but I see no mention of it on Monmouth Park's website. That was really fun, sort of the way the train from LA to Del Mar used to be. Hope your hot streak keeps going! At some point I hope you mention why you like the horses you are playing. All I can remember of your angles is the invaluable show pool awareness and a willingness to play the two recently-retired female jockeys you liked. Garyw -- can you tell me if any of the money bet at a rebate site gets back to the track operator or the horsemen? How does that work? Good luck and safe trips all nancyb