10/02/2013 1:19PM

In Trouble

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I'm not sure how far he'll go, but IN TROUBLE has been very impressive in both of his starts for trainer Tony Dutrow.

The 2-year-old colt was bought back for $14,000 as a weanling, sold for $15,000 last October, and was purchased for $120,000 in April after breezing a furlong in 10.1 seconds. 

Sent to Dutrow, the son of Tiz Wonderful showed some excellent works at Fair Hill and made his career debut in a loaded maiden special weight going 5 1/2 furlongs at Saratoga on August 10. He broke sharply under Joe Rocco Jr., but was content to track the solid pace set by favored SOUND OF FREEDOM and TIZNOWFORAMERICA.  Rocco asked In Trouble turning for home and the pair swung three wide into the stretch.  Sound of Freedom, a Todd Pletcher-trained son of War Front, game In Trouble a fight, but was no match in the final sixteenth.  In Trouble was flattered when Sound of Freedom (83 Beyer), Tiznowforamerica (78 Beyer) and fourth-place finisher MOSLER (78 Beyer) all returned to graduate.

Last Sunday, in the Grade 2 Futurity at six furlongs, In Trouble broke from the inside post and allowed the speedy CORFU to make an uncontested early lead.  In Trouble always seemed to have that one measured, however, and he drove past Corfu in upper stretch to post a 2 1/4-length victory. 

"I was looking forward to today," Dutrow told track publicity after the Futurity. "I was feeling that we have a talented horse and I'm not surprised at what I saw. I wasn't predicting this, but I'm not surprised. He's pretty good. He's a rough horse in the gate. We've worked with him a lot, and I think that's the only thing you've got to pay attention to."
 
"He broke really sharp," Rocco Jr. added. "I'd rather be outside dictating when we can move than be inside and be under someone else who can force us. It worked out when I saw I could get behind [Corfu] and get outside of him, that's when I went outside and did it. So we had options. I didn't pull him back; I just didn't ask him any more. He was very gentle to rate and did it kindly."

Tiz Wonderful was a very precocious juvenile for trainer Steve Asmussen.  He won first-out at Saratoga by 12 1/2 lengths with a 99 Beyer and then won both the Grade 3 Iroquois and Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club. Injuries forced him off the Kentucky Derby trail and he wasn't the same horse when he came back for a couple of starts during the summer of his 3-year-old campaign.  Tiz Wonderful won at distances ranging from 6 1/2 furlongs to 1 1/16 miles.

In Trouble's dam, the Grand Slam mare Ballpark Butterfly, didn't make her debut until February of her 4-year-old season and raced three times that year.  Her lone win came in a $25,000 maiden claimer traveling 5 1/2 furlongs over the old Pro-Ride surface at Santa Anita. 

The second dam, Miss Lady Bug (by Rough Pearl), was a very versatile performer.  The multiple stakes-winner scored at six furlongs on dirt and 1 1/2 miles on grass.

In Trouble will not ship to Santa Anita for the Breeders' Cup.  Rather, Dutrow will aim for the Grade 2 Nashua Stakes at Aqueduct on November 3.  The Nashua, scheduled to be In Trouble's last start this year, is a one-turn mile and the trainer is hoping to gradually stretch him out in distance.
 
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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (9/23/13 - 9/29/13)

1. RON THE GREEK - 114 - Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - Belmont
2. MUCHO MACHO MAN - 110 - Awesome Again (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Santa Anita
3. PRIVATE ZONE - 108 - Vosburgh (G1) - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
4. FORT LARNED - 107 - Homecoming Classic Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Churchill
5. BEHOLDER - 106 - Zenyatta Stakes (G1) - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
6. PRINCESS OF SYLMAR - 105 - Beldame Invitational Stakes (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Belmont
7. LITTLE MIKE - 104 - Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational Stakes (G1) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
7. TIZ THE TRUTH - 104 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
9. GRAYDAR - 103 - Kelso Handicap (G2) - 1 Mile - Belmont
10. BROADWAY EMPIRE - 99 - Oklahoma Derby (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Remington
11. CHIPS ALL IN - 98 - Eddie D Stakes (G3) - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
11. INDY POINT (ARG) - 98 - John Henry Turf Championship Stakes (G2) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Santa Anita
13. CLAWBACK - 96 - Clm 35000B - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
13. LAUGHING (IRE) - 96 - Flower Bowl Invitational Stakes (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
13. TIZ FLIRTATIOUS - 96 - Rodeo Drive Stakes (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - Turf - Santa Anita
16. CRAZY ABOUT ME - 95 - OC 32k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
16. RIBO BOBO - 95 - Alw 8000s - 6 Furlongs - Parx
18. BAFFLE ME - 94 - Jazzy Stakes - 7 Furlongs (Turf) - Belmont
18. DADDY NOSE BEST - 94 - Remington Green Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Remington
18. FIRE ALARM - 94 - OC c-40k/N3X - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Parx
18. FIVE STAR MOMMA - 94 - OC 35k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
18. IN TROUBLE - 94 - Futurity Stakes (G2) - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
18, RAVALO - 94 - OC 62k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
24. KING DAVID - 93 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Churchill
24. LET'S GET CRACKIN - 93 - OC 40k/N1X - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Santa Anita
24. WIRED BRYAN - 93 - New York Breeders' Futurity Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Finger Lakes

*The lifetime past performances for RON THE GREEK are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*Fire Alarm was claimed for $40,000 by trainer Keith Lebarron from Jorge Navarro.

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When you get the chance, you're definitely going to want to check out "RACEHORSE," the latest production from Jessica Pacheco, racing analyst at Arlington Park.

"Mother Nature causes some trouble when she turns the heat on Broken Bow, but that pales in comparison to what she has in store for Sugar Kate."

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ZA6RVHFRjY

More episodes of RACEHORSE can be found on the AP website at:

http://www.arlingtonpark.com/newsvideosblogs/racehorse-video-series


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SpartanTom
Dan or anyone else, can you explain why Mr. Dooley ran for purse money only in Sunday's 10th at Belmont? I have had him on my watch list since his maiden race, and the notes said that he lost a shoe during the running of the race and was thus running for purse money only. Is losing a shoe during the running of the race considered an equipment change?
St

Spartan Tom,
Mr Dooley lost a shoe behind the gate. Rather than take the time to fix it and delay the start of the race, NYRA said he was running for purse only. The exact thing happened the next day at Santa Anita to one of the horses in the turf stakes that Indy Point won ( I hate the ridiculous name changes of their Grade 1 races and therefore have blocked it from my mind), but SA decided to wait and have the shoe fixed.
HRTV commentators were not pleased about the two different ways of handling the issue.
Turnbackthealarm

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Any word on Al Stall's- now 3 year old fillie -Sign- who looked promising after just 2 starts -SAR madien and the Pocahontas at CD- been sidelined since...never heard if they retired her??
scott

SIGN injured a hind ankle over the winter and had surgery to insert a stabilizing screw.  The hope was that she would return to training in the summer, but she has yet to register an official workout.


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The weekend handicapping videos should be up on the homepage later this week.

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

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Congrats to Okiesharp for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling contest.

Rick M's HandiGambling scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

Okiesharp selects Friday's 8th race at Keeneland for this week's event.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.

PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

***FROM SCOREKEEPER PENN NATIONAL RICK***

I read some entries on here and there are some people who put their heart out on their picks(such as DavidM9999) and give you great analysis on who they like and why and then there are others who elect not to give any reasoning behind their entries. The rule I will implement EFFECTIVE 3/1/13 will be... any entry without ANY analysis will be ignored. We are not asking you to put out a novel, but again a sentence or two. Also, I will put communication out when Dan puts out new blogs.
My intent is not to be jerk on this, but what's fair is fair. I'm not taking away from this week or past winners regarding all of this, but we do need to make the change.
If you have any questions/concerns...please send an email to FORMBLOG@DRF.COM and it will get forwarded to me.
Thank You!
Rick

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATE THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

Best of luck to all.

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RONTHEGREEK.pdf67.31 KB
HGPHOENIX.pdf189.59 KB
Copy of Formblog Remington 9-27-13.xls68 KB