01/08/2014 3:46PM

Treve

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A few hours after Mucho Macho Man crossed the finish line in the Breeders' Cup Classic, I stood in a hotel elevator with a racing fan from Germany, a pair of Irish racing reporters and a Japanese photographer. 

The Irishmen, giddy about the performance of the European runners, gushed with praise for Magician, who had rallied stoutly under Ryan Moore to deny The Fugue a trip to the Breeders' Cup Turf winner's circle.

"Magician was good," said the German fan.  "But, you know, Treve would have beaten him by ten lengths."

Taken aback, the Irish writers composed themselves and began to laugh. "That's asinine," one remarked.  "Didn't you see how sensational Magician was this afternoon?"

"Didn't you see how sensational Treve was in the Arc?" The German fan retorted. 

Exasperated, the Irish reporters looked around the elevator for help.  The Japanese photographer stared at his shoes.  I focused on the elevator numbers, moving ever - so - slowly.

"You," one of the reporters pointed at me.  "What do you think?"

DING. 

My floor.

On the way out, I stopped, turned and answered.  "Ten lengths is certainly ridiculous."  The reporters nodded at each other, convinced that their position was validated. 

"Five seems more likely."  Addressing the photographer, I concluded with "Oh, and Orfevre would have won by two-and-a-half."

Once upon a dream, these discussions were restricted to once-smokey racetracks and simulcast parlors, once-smokey bars, and glacial elevators. 

Thanks to the internet, they rage constantly, usually peaking at this time of year with the announcement of the Eclipse Award finalists.

I voted WISE DAN as the 2013 Eclipse Award winner for Horse of the Year. 

But he wasn't the best thoroughbred I saw over the past 12 months. 

Undefeated from four starts at distances ranging from 1 Mile to 12 furlongs over both firm and soft turf, TREVE, a 3-year-old filly, dominated her competition at every turn. 

In her seasonal debut, the Prix Perruche Bleue at Saint-Cloud on May 15, she broke slowly before settling into third place as the field maneuvered single file through the opening quarter mile.  With 2 1/2 furlongs remaining, Thierry Jarnet eased Treve outside and the duo overwhelmed the leaders to win in a gallop.

The following month, at Chantilly, Treve was dismissed at 8-1 for her first start against stakes horses in the Group 1 Prix de Diane at 1 5/16ths.  Jarnet kept the daughter of Motivator along the inner rail at the back of the field for the first nine furlongs.  At the 400m mark, Treve exploded to the lead from between horses and the outcome was never in doubt.  Treve's official winning margin was four lengths and she received a 120 Racing Post Rating. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f26cWv4k5LwTreve

Treve was purchased privately prior to her next race, the Group 1 Prix Vermeille against older fillies and mares over 12 furlongs at Longchamp on September 15.  Ridden this time by Frankie Dettori, Treve saved ground behind a slow pace and was blocked with a little more than two furlongs remaining.  At this juncture, Dettori found a gap and Treve burst through.  She attacked the pacesetter with a furlong left and drove by to win by almost two lengths. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdBcfcMqxRgThen

Then, the Arc. 

Facing mostly older males, Treve broke from post 15 in the 17-horse Arc, and Jarnet (subbing for an injured Dettori) had difficulty finding cover for his filly.  They were hung outside and Treve seemed anxious to go.  Gradually, they crept up to the leading group and Treve took over under a hand ride with 2 1/2 furlongs remaining.  Jarnet pushed the button with 400m to race, the acceleration was instantaneous and the race was over.  Treve's five-length win was good enough for a whopping 131 Racing Post Rating. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B22EQXe-tp0

As for the mercurial ORFEVRE, he was no match for Treve in the Arc.  It was the second consecutive year he finished second in Europe's biggest race and he was beaten a dirty nose by Gentildonna in the 2012 Japan Cup.  He concluded his racing career in style, however, taking the Group 1 Arima Kinen by eight widening lengths at Nakayama on December 22.  The Japanese Triple Crown winner of 2011, Orfevre won the Group 1 Takarazuka Kinen at four, the same season he was pipped in both the Arc and Japan Cup.  In 2013, he won three of four races, including the Group 2 Prix Foy at Longchamp on September 15. 

The Arima Kinen is a fascinating race in which ten of the runners are selected by fan vote.  The remaining entrants are decided by career earnings. Orfevre won the fan vote in 2012, but didn't participate in the Arima Kinen after a grueling campaign.  This year, he received 81,198 votes and became the first vote-winner to score in the race since Deep Impact (119,940 votes) in 2006. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pvj1bB4ayT4

About half of the 120,000 fans in attendance stayed around after the races for Orfevre's official retirement ceremony as a way to show their respect and admiration for the champion.  He certainly had a stellar career. 

But he was no Treve.

***
 
Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (12/16/13 - 12/22/13):

1. STRAPPING GROOM - 110 - Gravesend Handicap - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
2. PRAYER FOR RELIEF - 106 - Tenacious Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - Fair Grounds
3. MEAN SEASON - 105 - OC 25k/N1X -N - Aqueduct - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
4. RIVER SEVEN - 104 - Harlan's Holiday Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Gulfstream
5. CYBER SECRET - 103 - Prairie Bayou Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Turfway
5. DADDY NOSE BEST - 103 - Buddy Diliberto Memorial Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Fair Grounds
7. TEXAS AIR - 101 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - Retama
8. SUM OF THE PARTS - 100 - Bonapaw Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Fair Grounds
9. UNKNOWN ROAD - 98 - Md Sp Wt 40k - 6 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
10. FEARSOME - 96 - Holiday Handicap - 4 1/2 Furlongs - Charles Town
11. FREDERICKSBURG - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream
11. SAMRAAT - 95 - Damon Runyon Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
13. CATRON - 94 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
13. CLAWBACK - 94 - OC50k/SAL50k - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
13. RULER OF LOVE - 94 - OC 32k/N2X -N - 1 Mile 40 Yards - Tampa Bay
16. EXTRASEXYHIPPZSTER - 93 - Don Rickles Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
16. WILD LOUIS - 93 - OC 25k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Laurel
18. DIVINE BEAUTY - 92 - Letellier Memorial Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
19. AZ RIDGE - 91 - Hank Mills Sr. Handicap - 1 Mile - Turf Paradise
19. MIDDLEBURG - 91 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
19. SILVER FREAK - 91 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
19. SNEAKING UPONYOU - 91 - Clm 25000 - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Tampa Bay
23. CLASS INCLUDED - 90 - Blushing K. D. Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Fair Grounds
23. MR SPEAKER - 90 - Dania Beach Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream
25. CALIFORNIA CHROME - 89 - King Glorious Stakes - 7 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
25. GIANT CATS EYE - 89 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Gulfstream
25. HIT THE ROAD LEE - 89 - OC 30k/C - 7 1/2 Furlongs - Delta
25. LAVALLEE TWIST - 89 - OC 32k/C -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Tampa Bay
25. SMACK RIDGE - 89 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - Sunland
25. SMALL TOKEN - 89 - OC 16k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - Calder
25. SONJA'S ANGEL - 89 - OC15k/SAL10k - 1 Mile - Gulfstream

*The lifetime past performances for STRAPPING GROOM are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (12/23/13 - 12/29/13):

1. SHAKIN IT UP - 106 - Malibu Stakes (G1) - 7 Furlongs - Santa Anita
2. BIG LOOIE - 101 - OC 25k/N$Y - 1 1/16 Miles - Hawthorne
3. FIVE PALMS - 99 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
3. SAN ONOFRE - 99 - Alw 58000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
3. SINGANOTHERSONG - 99 - Mr. Prospector Stakes (G3) - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
6. MAIL - 97 - Traskwood Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
6. MR. ONLINE - 97 - El Prado Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream
6. UNBRIDLED'S NOTE - 97 - Daytona Stakes (G3) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
9. COMANDANTE - 94 - Alex M. Robb Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
9. SHRINKING VIOLET - 94 - Alw 53250NC - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Gulfstream
9. TRIUMPH AND SONG - 94 - OC c-40k/N2X - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
12. DON TITO - 93 - OC 62k/N2X - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
12. HEIR KITTY - 93 - La Brea Stakes (G1) - 7 Furlongs - Santa Anita
12. SEWANEE - 93 - Alw 8000s - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Parx
12. UNCLE SIGH - 93 - Md Sp Wt 65k - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
12. WARM BREEZE - 93 - Alw 41000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
17. CUSTOMER BASE - 92 - Robert J. Frankel Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Santa Anita
17. DEVIL'S CAVE - 92 - Ocala Stakes - 1 Mile - Gulfstream
17. FARHAAN - 92 - Lord of the Night Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
17. GERVINHO - 92 - Sir Beaufort Stakes (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream
17. MODERN CHILD - 92 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
17. TWILIGHT ECLIPSE - 92 - W. L. McKnight Handicap (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles - Calder
23. NOTMYFIRSTIME - 91 - Clm 30000(30-25)B - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
23. SHE'S ORDAINED - 91 - Willa On the Move Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
25. CAGE FIGHTER - 90 - Clm 50000(50-45)N2L - 1 1/16 Miles - Gulfstream
25. CHERUBIM - 90 - Md Sp Wt 56k - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
25. KARIBU GARDENS - 90 - Alw 41000N1X - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Fair Grounds
25. MOMENTS NOTIZ - 90 - OC 100k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
25. THE BEST GLACIER - 90 - Fremont Stakes - 1 Mile - Delta

*The lifetime past performances for SHAKIN IT UP are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*TRIUMPH AND SONG was claimed for $40,000 by trainer Karl Broberg from Bret Calhoun.

***

Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (12/30/13 - 1/5/13):

1. FURY KAPCORI - 104 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
2. CEASE - 101 - OC 62k/N2X - 1 Mile (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
2. SMASH AND GRAB - 101 - OC 32k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - Laurel
4. ADIRONDACK KING - 99 - Alw 57200N$Y - 7 Furlongs - Parx
4. APPEALING TALE - 99 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - Santa Anita
6. REGALLY READY - 98 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Santa Anita
6. WILD DUDE - 98 - Alw 57360N2X - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Santa Anita
6. WRITINGONTHEWALL - 98 - OC 50k/N2X - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
9. JERANIMO - 96 - San Gabriel Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Santa Anita
9. JUST CALL KENNY - 96 - Spectacular Bid Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
9. MOMENTS NOTIZ - 96 - OC12k/SAL12k - 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
9. SCHERZINGER - 96 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
13. CYCLOMETER - 95 - Midnight Lute Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
13. PHAT DAY - 95 - OC 30k/ -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
13. PONTCHATRAIN - 95 - Monrovia Stakes (G2) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
13. ROMAN UNBRIDLED - 95 - Big Drama Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Delta
13. SEEKING MS SHELLEY - 95 - Pan Zareta Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Fair Grounds
13. TEEN PAULINE - 95 - Affectionately Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
19. AFFLICTION - 94 - Clm 8000 - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
19. BOLD THUNDER - 94 - OC 62k/N2X - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Gulfstream
19. CARRIED INTEREST - 94 - Alw 58900N1X - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Inner Dirt) - Aqueduct
22. PEACE AND JUSTICE - 93 -  Alw 61588N1X - 1 Mile (Turf) - Santa Anita
23. GENERAL A ROD - 92 - Gulfstream Park Derby - 1 Mile - Gulfstream
23. SNEAKING UPONYOU - 92 - OC 32k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Tampa Bay
25. BOLD CURLIN - 91 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 1/8 Miles - Laurel
25. COMMISSIONER - 91 - OC 75k/N1X -N - 1 1/8 Miles - Gulfstream
25. GERMANIAC - 91 - Frank Whiteley Jr. Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Laurel
25. GRANDE SHORES - 91 - OC10k/SAL8k - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Calder
25. HAZARDS OF LOVE - 91 - OC17k/SAL17k - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Fair Grounds
25. NAPLES BAY - 91 - Marshua's River Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
25. SOUPER KNIGHT - 91 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs - Laurel

*The lifetime past performances for FURY KAPCORI are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Dan
Some Saturday questions.
SA race 3, #6 Storm Comin Thru, raced at Rup for a zero mdn purse. That's a track I haven't visited. Couldn't find Rup on the DRF lists. Any idea where it is?
SA race 4, Flagman was ridden by Patrick Valenzuela and trained by Thomas N Valenzuela. I couldn't find any personal info on Thomas N and was wondering if you knew if they were related.
Thanks
RonZ

RUP is the track code for the Minidoka County Fair in Rupert, Idaho. 

http://www.minidoka.id.us/fair/events.htm

I don't believe Patrick and Thomas Valenzuela are related.

***

Hi Dan,
It was wonderful seeing the final act of a world superstar named Orfevre! his final win by 8 lenghts in the Arima Kinen was superb, Could you please post his lifetime pps and his full brother Dream Journey!
Thanks a lot! and Merry Christmas!
Zezinho 1969

They're available at the bottom of this blog post.  Please note that Dream Journey's past performances are incomplete.  The missing lines are his 14th-place finish in the 2008 Yomiuri Milers Cup (G2, 4/19/08), an 8th-place finish in the American Jockey Club Cup (G2, 1/25/09), a runner-up effort in the Nakayama Kinen (G2, 3/1/09) and a victory in the Sankei Osaka Hai (G2, 4/5/09)

***

Dan -
Shared Belief was bred by noted California owners and breeders Martin and Pam Wygod.
Did he run his first race at Golden Gate in their name? Why and when was he gelded?
Someone early on must have thought he had limited prospects.
- Dan Baedeker

SHARED BELIEF was gelded prior to his career debut and raced for the Wygods at Golden Gate before being privately purchased.  I'm not sure why he was gelded.  Perhaps he had some behavioral issues?

***

...kinda' off topic, but Dan if you know more ?
My favorite racehorse ZENYATTA , it's her 1/2 sis Eblouissante (3-2-0-0) who after a 4 month layoff was sold to Ian Banwell’s St. George Farm Racing for $2.1 million at the Keeneland November breeding stock sale, and is steadily working back at HP.
12/17/2013 BHP 5F 1:00.00 All Weather Track Fast H
12/09/2013 BHP 5F 1:00.40 All Weather Track Fast H
12/01/2013 BHP 5F 1:00.60 All Weather Track Fast H
11/22/2013 BHP 3F :39.60 All Weather Track Fast B
Back with John Sherriffs, I hope to see her back soon, likely at Santa Anita ?
Welcome back E.
SR Vegas

She had a major mishap in the gate prior to her most recent start, the Grade 3 Shuvee Handicap at Saratoga on July 20.  She was unruly and actually broke a few teeth when she banged her head.  She came out of the sixth-place finish with some body soreness and was given plenty of time to get right.  After the sale, she was sent back to Southern California and I would expect to see her at Santa Anita fairly soon.  She worked a half-mile in 47.80 last Saturday at Betfair Hollywood Park.

***

Seriously Dan?! Are you still using the words gelding and Kentucky Derby in the same sentence? Obviously you've learned nothing from this blog.. Lol.. Shared Belief..jeezle!
JAYZZ82

Since 2003, two geldings have won the Kentucky Derby (Funny Cide, Mine That Bird).  I don't see why it's a big deal.

***

Dan:
My friend has a half sister to Pletcher's recently trurned three year stakes placed Danza. He is hoping for a strong year from Danza. I see only one workout for this one on 12/24 in 39.95. Do you know anything about the stauts or plans for this one?
DavidM9999

DANZA breezed a half-mile in 50.70 at Palm Meadows on Tuesday morning.  I haven't heard anything about an injury that knocked him out of training.  I'd expect to see him at Gulfstream in about a month or so. 


***

Friends,

It looks as if we'll have our annual FormBlog Convention at Gulfstream Park early next year.  For more details, head on over to Laura's excellent website

http://ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com/Formblog.html

It's always a blast so come on out if you can.


***

The weekend handicapping previews should be available on the site soon.


You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman


***

This week's HandiGambling exercise will be Friday's 9th race from Tampa Bay.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
---------------------------------

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

Best of luck to all.

AttachmentSize
STRAPPING GROOM.pdf726.57 KB
SHAKIN IT UP.pdf613.55 KB
FURY KAPCORI.pdf655.13 KB
ORFEVRE.pdf569.94 KB
HGTAMTURF.pdf183.64 KB