01/27/2016 1:09PM

A track record for Mah Gellin

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He's not a household name, but MAH GELLIN looked good winning an 'n2x' optional claimer in track record time at Golden Gate Fields last Sunday.

Off as the 3.40 to 1 second choice in the eight-horse field, Mah Gellin settled into a tracking position under jockey Juan Hernandez as multiple stakes-placed AALSMEER blasted out to a giant early lead through fractions of 21.73 and 44.07. Mah Gellin attacked the pacesetter turning for home and they blew right by with a minimum of fuss. Clear through the stretch, Mah Gellin scored by four lengths over NEXT SPEAKER and completed the six furlongs over the Tapeta surface in 1:08.23, a time good enough for a career-best 97 Beyer Speed Figure.  Following the top two home were stakes-winner NATIVE TREASURE, Aalsmeer, Irish Group 1-placed FOXTROT ROMEO, Grade 1-placed GLACKEN TOO, Grade 3-placed THE GOMPER and stakes-placed TIZCANO.

A 6-year-old gelding, Mah Gellin was bred by Racing Edge, Inc. and was foaled in California on May 14, 2010. His sire, Skimming, was a very underrated handicap performer for Juddmonte Farms and the late Bobby Frankel. In 2000, Skimming won consecutive starts in the Grade 3 San Diego Handicap and Grade 1 Pacific Classic by a combined 10 lengths with Beyers of 113 and 118, respectively. Among the horses he wired in the 10-furlong Pacific Classic was two-time champion Tiznow.

The following season, Skimming pulled off the San Diego - Pacific Classic double once again (Beyers of 116 and 119, respectively). That year, he also grabbled the Grade 2 California Stakes with a 111 Beyer. At stud, Skimming has sired Grade 1 winner Johnny Eves and currently stands in British Columbia.

Mah Gellin made the first 16 starts of his career for trainer Duane Offield and compiled a record of 5-5-1 with a best Beyer of 87. Transferred to trainer Blaine Wright late last spring, Mah Gellin finished third as the favorite behind Aalsmeer in a similar $62,500 optional claimer at Golden Gate. Wright added blinkers to the gelding's arsenal and Mah Gellin responded with a fourth-place finish in the $53,000 Oak Tree Sprint Stakes at Pleasanton. In his two starts preceding last week's breakout performance, Mah Gellin finished fifth and third, respectively.

This was Mah Gellin's third start following a five-plus month layoff and he seems to have found himself with the blinkers. He isn't going to win the Breeders' Cup Sprint, but is worth following in the near future in high-level claiming and listed stakes races in California.


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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 1/19/16 - 1/25/16:

1. CLEARLY NOW - 99 - OC 62k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - 23Jan16-9FG
2. CHARMING KITTEN - 98 - H. Allen Jerkens Stakes - 2 Miles (Turf) - 23Jan16-9GP
3. MAH GELLIN - 97 - OC 62k/N2X - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 24Jan16-8GG
4. COASTLINE - 95 - Clocker's Corner Stakes - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 24Jan16-7SA
5. LOST BUS - 94 - Santa Monica Stakes (G2) - 94 - 23Jan16-8SA
5. MASTERFUL STRIDE - 94 - Alw 14000N2L - 6 Furlongs - 23Jan16-1TUP
7. QUICK AND SILVER - 93 - Clm 40000(40-35) - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - 23Jan16-8GG
8. HAVEYOUGONEAWAY - 92 - American Beauty Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 23Jan16-8OP
8. WHISKEY BRAVO - 92 - OC 40k/N2X - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 21Jan16-8FG
10. MR. SEXY - 91 - Clm 32000(32-28) - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 23Jan16-1SA
11. ABSOLUTELY COOL - 90 - Hank Mills Sr. Handicap - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 23Jan16-7TUP
12. A M MILKY WAY - 89 - Spirit of Texas Stakes - 6 Furlongs - 23Jan16-6HOU
12. MORNING FIRE - 89 - Pasco Stakes - 7 Furlongs - 23Jan16-7TAM
12. MR PALMER - 89 - Alw ---s - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Dirt) - 22Jan16-7AQU
15. LITTLE BALTAR - 88 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 7 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 24Jan16-10GP
16. WHITE CLOVER - 87 - Wayward Lass Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - 23Jan16-9TAM
17. AVANTI BELLO - 86 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 1 Mile - 23Jan16-7SA
17. BISTRAYA - 86 - Md Sp Wt 57k - 1 Mile - 24Jan16-6SA
17. F J UNCLE VIC - 86 - Star of Texas Stakes - 1 Mile - 23Jan16-7HOU
17. IMPERIOUS ONE (IRE) - 86 - OC 80k/N1X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - 24Jan16-4SA
17. INHERENTLY - 86 - Wcl 5000N2Y - 6 Furlongs - 23Jan16-1TAM
17. RED GUARD - 86 - Alw 20000N1X - 1 Mile (Turf) - 20Jan16-8TAM
23. I AM JANE DOUGH - 85 - Richard King Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - 23Jan16-9HOU
23. PENWITH - 85 - OC 62k/C -N - 1 Mile - 21Jan16-4GP
23. SHARED LIFE - 85 - Alw 15000N1X - 1 Mile - 24Jan16-4TUP
23. STREET CHIEF - 85 - OC 35k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 23Jan16-6OP

*CLEARLY NOW's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Favorites @ Aqueduct are winning at higher than usual percentage...
Dan,
If possible, could you come up with statistics on favorites winning percentage at Aqueduct inner track meet?
Thx
GBL

Favorites are winning at a 41% clip during the current Aqueduct inner track meet. The chalks scored at a 35% rate during the recently-concluded Aqueduct main track meet. At last year's inner track meeting, the favorites won 39% of the time.

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Video stakes analyses for many of the weekend's major stakes will be available later this week at http://www.drf.com/videos

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.

I'll be with Mike Beer from 3-5pm ET on Saturday for live handicapping analysis at live.drf.com. Matt Bernier, Mike Watchmaker and Peter Fornatale will then take you through the NHC mandatory races live from Las Vegas.

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Here's a note from SR Vegas concerning an NHC Tournament blog get-together in Las Vegas:

To Everyone:
The 2016 FORMBLOGERS CONVENTION  February 19 - 21 at Gulfstream Park is a wonderful weekend and our Laura does a fantastic job in coordinating all the activities there. Please attend if you can !

As an alternative, I’d also like you to think about The Formblog–mini–West-Coast get-together at The NHC Tournament in Las Vegas.

Dates: January  28-30

If you are coming to town, please raise your hand. I'll be putting together a casual cocktail/dinner meet and greet for our Formblog friends on Jan 27th and a post tournament brunch on  Jan 31 (for those who have later flights that day). Details TBD.

Whether you are a qualifier, friends or family coming to town to root them on, or enjoying your time in Las Vegas, let me know.

Anyone interested ? Please contact me at:

sr.vegas1@yahoo.com

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Here's a message from Laura regarding our 2016 FormBlog Convention at Gulfstream Park:


Last Chance for Hotel Reservations!! 
The Formblog/ThoroFan Convention is on February 19 - 21, less than a month away!  If you want to attend, need a room and haven't contacted Laura yet, please do so at lross@imtbreds.com.  Hotel reservations must be made no later than Wednesday, January 27, and the romance package is extra. 

As usual, our generous benefactor Mike Nyman is giving us a suite complete with temperamental betting machine.  There will be a race named for our group with photo ops in the paddock and winners circle.  Laura will pick up/drop off at the Ft. Lauderdale Airport if you don't want to rent a car.  So far, nobody has been killed or injured during the drive.  Can't decide if you want to attend?  Ask other formbloggers what a great time they had! Most are coming back for more!


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There were no winners of last week's HandiGambling contest.

We'll go with Saturday's John B. Connelly Stakes from Sam Houston for this week's exercise.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

Rick M's HG scoreboard spreadsheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to update all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

HANDIGAMBLING version 2016:

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.

The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but SPARE A SENTENCE OR TWO outlining your HANDICAPPING ANGLES and/or THOUGHT PROCESSES about WAGERING .

1. Start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to find your entry in a thread.

2. You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose that is available for that HG race. Anyone going over the $100 limit will be DISQUALIFIED.

3. Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog prior to the start of the designated race. SIGN OFF WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF YOUR POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST SIGN YOURSELF AT THE END (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to identify who you are.

4. (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

5. Separate your analysis from the wager and use the PROGRAM # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

**  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

** The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2016
The speed in this race are #1 Alpha, #2 Beta, and #8 Ocho. I like the works for layoff horse #5 Cinco who can sit off the pace. Lots of speed in here, so this could set up for a closer like  #6 Six Flags and I like the trainer's stats in these conditions. I’ll put the closer over the speed.

HG wager:
$10 EX   6 /   1,2,5, 8  = $40
$5 TRI   6 /   1,2,5,8  /  1,2,5,8  =  $60
Total $100

Thanks Dan!

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS  IS  ALWAYS  APPRECIATED !

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

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CLEARLY NOW.pdf723.77 KB
HGJBCONNELLY.pdf210.68 KB