08/10/2011 5:44PM

Tizway, Flat Out, Promising Babies

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TIZWAY cemented himself at the top of the handicap division with a nice victory in the historic Whitney Handicap at Saratoga.  Prominent throughout, Tizway struck the front in the stretch and held off the solid late rally of Flat Out despite hopping back to his wrong lead in the final strides. 

Although Tizway has come to hand in his last two races, I'm still skeptical about his ability to handle 1 1/4 miles.  Flat Out, on the other hand, seems to appreciate the layout of Belmont Park and should prove a dangerous contender in the Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont.

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Joe Bravo gave a wonderful ride on SEAN AVERY in the Grade 1 Vanderbilt Handicap, yet another exciting race from a tough sprint division.  Sensing that the front was the place to be, Bravo gunned Sean Avery to the front, crossed over to the inside and took them gate to wire over a game and determined Trappe Shot.  Sean Avery matched the 112 Beyer that he earned at Monmouth three back, but one must wonder if he will regress next time (as he did after earning his first triple-digit Beyer). 

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CALEB'S POSSE will likely be a price once again when he tackles tougher competition in the Grade 1 King's Bishop, but he may be worth a look after he stormed down the crown of the track to win the Grade 2 Amsterdam.  Caleb's Posse had been plying his trade going longer with mixed success, but he's much more comfortable at shorter distances.  He would benefit from a possible pace meltdown in the King's Bishop.

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CURRENCY SWAP, a $42,000 weanling that resold for $70,000 last year (a $92,000 RNA earlier in 2011), put on a nice show in his career debut at Saratoga on Whitney afternoon, winning off by six lengths with a 98 Beyer Speed Figure.  The bay son of High Cotton (won Grade 3 Northern Dancer going 1 1/16 miles at Churchill Downs) is out of a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Your Bluffing (55-16-10-4, $542,031).  The dam is also a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Yachats and Grade 2-placed router Nacho Friend. 
Trained by Terri Pompay, Currency Swap may be headed to the Grade 1 Hopeful, where he may face Todd Pletcher's Sanford winner, OVERDRIVEN.

On the West Coast, CREATIVE CAUSE proved his debut win at Hollywood Park was no fluke by taking the Grade 2 Best Pal over the Del Mar polytrack.  Creative Cause dropped 10 Beyer points -  to an 88 - in the Best Pal, but he was extremely professional, impressively rating off the pace before cruising by in the stretch.  He is bred to stretch out and looks like a major player in the juvenile races later in the year.

An early "under the radar" juvenile may be HUNT CROSSING, a Todd Pletcher-trained son of Corinthian that won first-out at Saratoga on August 3 with an 87 Beyer.  Hunt Crossing, a $260,000 weanling, $275,000 yearling RNA, $150,000 yearling and $285,000 juvenile RNA, is out of stakes-winning sprinter Silver Lace and may prove to be a stakes horse down the road.

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Here are the top 25 Winning Beyer Speed Figures from July 25 to July 31:

1.  STAY THIRSTY - 106 - Jim Dandy Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
2.  EUROEARS - 105 - Bing Crosby Stakes (G1) - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar
3.  FORCE FREEZE - 101 - Teddy Drone Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
3.  J C'S PRIDE - 101 - Md Sp Wt 51k - 5 Furlongs - Saratoga
3.  TURBO COMPRESSOR - 101 - Curlin Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
6.  OMI'S VINDICATION - 100 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Calder
6.  POSEIDON'S WARRIOR - 100 - East Hanover Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Penn National
6.  SIDNEY'S CANDY - 100 - Fourstardave Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Saratoga
9.  BOURBON BAY - 99 - Cougar II Handicap (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Polytrack) - Del Mar
9.  ICABAD CRANE - 99 - Evan Shipman Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
9.  JEALOUS GIRL - 99 - Femme Fatale Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Penn National
12. ASK THE MOON - 98 - Ruffian Invitational Handicap (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
12. QUIET GIANT - 98 - Lady's Secret Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Monmouth
12. ZAGORA (FR) - 98 - Diana Stakes (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Saratoga
15. BATTLE OF LOVE - 97 - Three Ring Stakes - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Calder
15. CONVOCATION - 97 - OC 75k/N3X -N - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
15. THIRD CHANCE - 97 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
15. TRES BORRACHOS - 97 - San Diego Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Del Mar
19. BOLD RECRUIT - 96 - Alw 28000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Louisiana Downs
19. COIL - 96 - Haskell Invitational (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Monmouth
19. ROMACACA - 96 - Matchmaker Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Monmouth
19. SOARING EMPIRE - 96 - Majestic Light Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Monmouth
23. CALIMONCO - 95 - Wickerr Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Del Mar
23. DARK THUNDER - 95 - OC 75k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - Saratoga
23. WARNING SONG - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - Del Mar
23. WINTER MEMORIES - 95 - Lake George Stakes (G2) - Saratoga

Stay Thirsty's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Here are the top 25 Winning Beyer Speed Figures from August 1 to August 8:

1.  SEAN AVERY - 112 - Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap (G1) - 6 Furlongs - Saratoga
2.  TIZWAY - 111 - Whitney Invitational Handicap (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
3.  CALEB'S POSSE - 105 - Amsterdam Stakes (G2) - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Saratoga
4.  RULE - 104 - Birdstone Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
5.  BUFFUM - 103 - Alw 54000N1X - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
5.  JOE HOLLYWOOD - 103 -  Alw 50000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
5.  TURBULENT DESCENT - 103 - Test Stakes (G1) - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
8.  COURTSIDE - 102 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar
9.  TAR HEEL MOM - 101 - Honorable Miss Handicap (G2) - 6 Furlongs - Saratoga
10. CHIPSHOT - 100 - Select Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
11. BLACK DIAMOND CAT - 99 - Major Moran Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Calder
12. PRAYER FOR RELIEF - 98 - West Virginia Derby (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - Mountaineer
12. CURRENCY SWAP - 98 - Md Sp Wt 54k - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Saratoga
14. OUR NAUTIQUE (NZ) - 97 - Joseph T. Grace Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Santa Rosa
14. HIGHER COURT - 96 - OC 35k/N1X -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Saratoga
16. IBBOYEE - 96 - John Morrissey Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Saratoga
16. MEISTERSINGER - 96 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Delaware
18. WILBURN - 95 - OC 35k/N2X -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Monmouth
19. IMMORTAL EYES - 94 - West Virginia Legislature Chairman's Cup - 4 1/2 Furlongs - Charles Town
19. MUSICAL ROMANCE - 94 - Barb's Dancer Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Calder
19. NOT ABROAD - 94 - Alw 50000N2X - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Parx
19. SANGRAS (GER) - 94 - John's Call Stakes - 1 5/8 Miles (Turf) - Saratoga
19. ULTRA BLEND - 94 - Clement L. Hirsch Stakes (G1) - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Del Mar
24. D'WILD RIDE - 93 - West Virginia Secretary of State Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Mountaineer
24. GYPSY RING - 93 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Woodbine
24. JU JITSU JAX - 93 - My Frenchman Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Monmouth
24. MYSTIC - 93 - West Virginia House of Delegates Speaker's Cup - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Turf) - Mountaineer

Sean Avery's past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Again, I want to thank everyone for their patience as I've fallen behind my blog duties due to my Saratoga commitments. 

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Congrats to whackymacky for finishing first in out Whitney HandiGambling exercise.  This week's race will be the Grade 1 Beverly D. from Arlington. 

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
 
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
 
Best of luck to all

AttachmentSize
Stay Thirsty.pdf78.77 KB
Sean Avery.pdf616.02 KB
BeverlyD.pdf185.51 KB