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Things that make you go hmm
I've been waiting for Zoi Zoi to make her first start, but apparently I missed it, and sounds like it was good -- could you post the pp's for her?
The Beyer Speed Figure won't knock anyone's socks off, but Zoi Zoi won very nicely, and seems to have a bright future for our friends at Zayat Stables. The Seeking the Gold filly is kin to three blacktype earners including Grade 3 winner Lendell Ray. There's a lot of pedigree in this quality female family, and Zoi Zoi, an RNA ($340,000) as a weanling and yearling ($140,000), was purchased for $575,000 last year.
...Wait a minute, I think McCann's Mojave won from the 11 post during the first Sunshine Millions Classic...
McCann's Mojave broke from post 8 in a field of 12 when winning the 2007 Sunshine Millions Classic at Gulfstream.
Dan, I'm not sure if this is something for the DRF or not, but what about a CD that contained racing results from all N/A tracks for the last 5 years? You guys could charge a c note for that, I think. That's what I'd pay.
I know that the DRF used to produce CD-ROM with an entire year's worth of charts, but I believe that service has been discontinued. You may want to contact the DRF Customer Service department in order to make a customized order, or you could go directly to Equibase.
Okay, to show that my rant above isn't the only sign of my impending insanity, I give you my Kentucky Derby top 10 list:
I must admit that there isn't much difference for me between #1, #10, and anyone on my Honorable Mention list:
1. Hello Broadway
Half-brother to Nobiz Like Shobiz missed time due to illness, yet still ran well in Hutcheson.
2. Old Fashioned
Has beaten everybody while beating nobody.
3. The Pamplemousse
Major improvement shown since stretched around two turns. Will he like dirt?
4. Bear's Rocket
Ran a corker in first start on dirt. Must prove that race wasn't a fluke.
5. Vineyard Haven
Champagne winner must overcome unproven Dubai path.
6. Royal Vindication
Liked some of his races last year. Third in the Nashua, but no works yet in 2008.
7. Take the Points
Won two in a row at Gulfstream. Pletcher-trained gray is ready for stakes.
8. Mr. Fantasy
NY-bred half-brother to Tin Cup Chalice hasn't done anything wrong.
9. Friesan Fire
Received nice tip in Lecomte. Gets tested now.
Think he's the real deal, but who knows how Dubai experience will affect him?
Honorable Mentions (just about everyone else):
Break Water Edison
Capt. Candyman Can
Danger to Society
Mr. Hot Stuff
This Ones for Phil
West Side Bernie
Talk to you tomorrow,
Dan, I had an idea the other evening and wanted to pass it along. Would DRF consider putting together a Past Performances PDF of all the horses nominated to the 2009 Triple Crown after the running of the Belmont Stakes? This way, we would have the PP's for every horse who was at least nominated for the Triple Crown and what ended up happening with each one. If DRF would do this, I think it would provide invaluable insight into Trainer Patters, Form Patterns, Pedigree Research, and running styles for handicappers like ourselves. I know I'd be willing to pay for it provided it was a reasonable fee. Just a thought. Let me know what you think.
Calvin, I sent a letter about cheating and Iavarone's comments to Bloodhorse too.
Well, it looks like we have rain, rain, and more rain forecasted until Tuesday here @ the Great Race Place. Better handicap all turf races for the Pro-Ride for anyone that's SA. And if that's the case, Monba has the Thunder Road field under wraps!
Alan, Some of the horses I like in the Risen Star: Indygo Mt. : 2nd time route Friesan Fire: solid last 1/4 last time out. Giant Oak: Will be closing Au Moon: Tough post, should improve with time. It Happened Again: fast enough it seems. Pick for the contest is FRIESAN FIRE Rob. Lewis: I Want Revenge: blinkers may instill focus. enough to overcome PoNile. Shafted: solid last 3/16 last out. Brother Keith: The Speed w/T.Baze Contest pick is BROTHER KEITH
Isn't Nad Al Sheba a synthetic track now?
James Mc The great thing about Dubai is the value you get on these horses. I mean all you need is a couple of hits throughout the carnival if you gamble reasonably on it and you have a profitable ROI the rest of the way. Also, please keep me updated if the #5 King's... man I forget the second part of his name, but he's 5/2 on the m/l in either the 4th or 5th race. Also, what do you think about the 1000 guineas? I love 1,2,9,10 in that one. I think the #7 Devotee is going to get overbet with the Godolphin connections and she hasn't impressed me much. Even though Godolphin has dominated this race for years.
Dan, Regarding your Derby Future Book...I'll take the field!! Baltimore is in a state of mourning - HOW DARE THEY!!: http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/horseracing/preakness/bal-preakness0205,0,7703743.story It's Friday on the east coast, so the answer to my quiz is: CHALKY LOVES IT WHEN THE RAIL GOES OUT!! Here is a summary - for the Turf Rail and the Hill Rail: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p0punDkqmTL52rm9Zw_0DPQ *Raise your hands class...how many of you knew that there are two different rails for the downhill?? Turf race Position- each color represents an odds category - check out the distribution of colors at each odds category: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p0punDkqmTL52rm9Zw_0DPQ&oid=2&output=image Hill Rail Position - same color scheme - similar distribution of the longer shots at 0ft rail: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p0punDkqmTL52rm9Zw_0DPQ&oid=4&output=image Why are longshots more likely to win with the rails in? I like a version of bobc's answer!! When the track is wider, horses can hear each others conversation better to plot strategy! I'm not sure if I'll keep the odds info in my chapter (it's off topic), but it is an interesting handicapping angle... Updated spreadsheet - keep those picks a-coming! Please check your selections for accuracy: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p0punDkqmTL6-vxV9onbJbw
Tom, Thank you for bringing to our attention the excellent article written last June by Steve Haskin: “IEAH Stables Adopts No-Drug Policy.” Michael Iavarone, co-president of IEAH Stables, makes several good points in that article and if any of his recommendations have been implemented, it will go a long way to improve the image of IEAH and Rick Dutrow. It will also be the first step in bringing about and real, meaningful, change and reform to the horse racing industry. Steve Haskin filed that story 7 months ago and it’s time for him or The Blood-Horse to do a follow-up story to see what progress has been made in implementing the policies that Iavarone wanted to establish. That’s what responsible journalists and news organizations do – they stay with the story and report on its progress. Iavarone made several key statements in the Haskin story: 1. “We have decided to withdraw all of our horses from medication, except for Lasix.” Iavarone said that this policy was to be implemented by October 1. 2. “We are willing to allow racetracks to do pre- and post-race testing of all our horses, and we will pay all expenses.” 3. “Moreover, in the interest of fairness to the wagering public, we will request and strongly urge that race programs include data indicating which horses will run with medication, which will run free of medication. The programs should also indicate which owners/trainers decline to divulge this information.” 4. "As a further test of our commitment, beginning October 1, 2008, if any of our runners test positive for medication other than lasix, we pledge to donate our share or purse money to charities related to thoroughbred horse racing. We will specify those charitable organizations at a later date.” 5. Iavarone said that IEAH was going to take the lead on addressing these issues and he encouraged others to follow their lead. It’s the responsibility of The Blood-Horse and other news organizations to keep their readership informed about important issues and news that have an impact upon the horse racing industry. To do anything less is irresponsible.
Kyri, A fellow Bay Area native I presume? I spent about 14 years playing the ponies at Bay Meadows. I'm kinda hesistant on bringing new blood to the track on the basis that I don't know how to make it all about having a fun day at the track as opposed to simply gambling. That's their first impression of the whole game. There would have to be a microbrew festival or concert of some sort in order for that to happen. lol. I got passes to the clubhouse side. I'll be the short dark haired guy with a black sweatshirt probably on his 5th rum n coke by the 3rd race! lol. James Mc, Yea the payoffs have been juicy. In order to get a feeling on how these horses run is based on the commentary from there. They give out a good deal of information on the horses and I just try to apply with whatever information the form gives me, which isn't a whole lot. Whoever that announcer is is realy awesome! Too bad he's not calling races over on this side of the pond. David Rafael from Honk Kong as well. Anyway, I really think I would do better @ Dubai if the form offered on tvg.com had some timeform ratings or at least a running line on these horses. The only horse I knew that could run a bit was Hatta Fort(GB), who won today. I love that race he ran against Into Mischief in the Damascus on BC day. I hammered the My Indy/Asiatic Boy exa only to get nipped by Happy Boy, which made me the total opposite. Do you or anyone else know where I can get some pp's for the Dubai Carnaval that have timeform ratings and running lines, workouts, etc? I can't wait for the 3 year old preps to start to see how Midshipman and Vineyard Haven are doing. Simon Crisford says that they'll probably need one, which means hammer on whatever trainer Mike De Kock has coming in from the Southern Hemisphere entered against them! You know those horses will take tons of play within the North American pools.
NEWS FLASH! Stardom Bound will be bred to Big Brown when she retires. Annie