04/16/2009 12:25PM

They're Faster Too


A quick follow-up to the previous post: Here's that chart again of the graded stakes at a mile or more for 3-year-olds so far this year, adding the winning Beyer Speed Figures. The edition of each race that got the higher Beyer is highlighted in yellow:

A few observations:

--15 of the 22 races received higher BSF's in 2009 than in 2008;

--The average BSF was 4.3 points higher this year (98.7 vs. 94.4); the median showed a similar increase, from 93 to 97;

--There have been nine triple-digit winning BSF's this year as opposed to only three last year;

--The four Grade 1 preps (Florida Derby, Wood, Santa Anita Derby, Blue Grass) all received higher BSF's this year, by an average of 4.75 points.

The data source for these charts is the Preps Recap page here on drf.com, which I recommend bookmarking: It's a very useful resource with links to the pp's, charts, replays, news stories and post-race analysis of virtually every prep.

Wayne80 More than 1 year ago
"c"- regarding my Chocolate Candy comment, perhaps I am biased because I bet him early that day before I knew of the scratches, but go to Steve's link and watch the replay twice, first keying on PON's trip on the split screen, then on Chocolate Candy. You will see how easy PON had it, perfect trip, easy pace turning the race into a one furlong sprint in which the final eighth went in 12.2. Then watch CC rally five wide around the turn trying to close into the 12.2 final furlong, and honestly tell me who would have won that race if there was any legit speed in the race. CC was best that day, imho.
mike laz More than 1 year ago
Walt, i understand your point about Quality Road. But can't the same be said about Dunkirk now. Running in just his third career start, and first stakes race he was completly up against it in the florida derby. The race was really just a three horse race run on a rock hard surface with no real pressure on QR. He should have won like he did. I just think the deeper surface and added pace along with the added distance will do him in bigtime. Just my two cent's worth though. I have loved IWR for three months now and maybe i see things a little one sided.
Michael H. More than 1 year ago
Steven, Can you explain the exacta in the 5th race at Keenland. It pays $106 and change. A 6-1 and a 12-1. That is crazy. The 3rd race was a 8-1 and a 5-1 and it paid $133. And the pool was smaller. I feel I got rob. If this was at Tampa Bay at least $250. Where is the logic?? Michael H.
jeff39 More than 1 year ago
Forget all the american horses...Desert Party in a cakewalk. Don't forget how Euro's dominated the Breeder's Cup races.
Walt More than 1 year ago
Mike: Quality Road yes was beaten by Theregoesjojo in his second career start, but then beat Theregoesjojo TWICE in the Fountain of Youth and Florida Derby. Quality Road has advanced a lot further, while the connections of Theregoesjojo had him make what turned out to be an ill-advised start in the Blue Grass.
prozacjack More than 1 year ago
Dear Steve, Visited Kennland yesterday, can you or my fellow bloggers tell me what finish line they use at different distances. I asked the "locals" and NONE of them knew. This track has two finish lines that I believe CHANGE as the race is in progress...Also I hit a pick 4 at Beullah "actually got paid on 3 out of 4..But the payoff for 4 said it would be 16,000 for $2.00 pick four,but the TOTAL pool in the pick 4 was only 8,000 ???? how does that equate ?? this NEW math is amazing.....
mike laz More than 1 year ago
You Quality Road guy's kill me. Is this the same Quality Road that got beat by grade 3 quality Theregoesjojo???
Ray Manley More than 1 year ago
Prozacjack, Keeneland does indeed have two finish lines. The track is a 1 1/16 mile oval. Races on the main track at 1 1/16 miles start and finish at the 1/16 pole. This is done to give the horses a bit further to run heading into the first turn. All other races including all turf races finish at the main finish line. And the finish lines do not change during the running of the race.
beerbelly More than 1 year ago
I Want Revenge BSF 104 barely beating West Side Bernie. Quality Road BSF 111 holding off Dunkirk in the stretch with effortless ease. 5-1 or more on QR would be a gift from the paramutuel gods. IWR could be a replica of Evening Attire...admirable, gutsy & a cut below Grade One horses.
ray flack More than 1 year ago
With all the seemingly close chances of so many horses in this year's Derby it would seem the optimum race for a nice overlay, a totally unhyped horse to capture the roses. Since the entries have not been confirmed let's see what is offered, then pounce. Last year Big Brown stood head and shoulders over the crowd and the only negative was his number 20 post position, which quickly vanished about 1/4-mile into the race. The Preakness story was the same without the poor post. He indeed was a good horse in a poor-to-middlin crop.