04/20/2016 1:23PM

Tepin sensational again!

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It's beginning to sound like a broken record, but TEPIN was sensational yet again in last Saturday's Grade 1 Jenny Wiley Stakes at Keeneland.

Trainer Mark Casse had his choice between the $350,000 Jenny Wiley at 1 1/16 miles and the Grade 1, $300,000 Maker's 46 Mile against males on Friday, and he chose the slightly-richer spot at a slightly-longer distance.

Tepin took care of the rest and she never gave her many backers an anxious moment. Utilizing her potent tactical speed, Tepin settled just off the leaders while in the clear. She cruised by pacesetter SHE'S NOT HERE when produced and coasted home under moderate urging. Tepin completed the distance on firm turf in 1:40.53, a final clocking good enough for a 107 Beyer Speed Figure.


Tepin has now won five straight, eight of her last ten, and is a head and a nose away from being undefeated during that ten-race span. She's earned Beyers greater than 105 in five of those starts.

"She’s amazing," exclaimed Julien Leparoux after the Jenny Wiley. "She can do whatever we want. I didn’t think there was going to be that much pace today, so I was planning on sitting second. But when I saw (other horses) going (to the lead), I just sat back there. On the backside, she started to get going. Every time you ask her to do something, she does even better."

Tepin's next goal is the Grade 2, $300,000 Churchill Distaff Turf Mile on Kentucky Derby afternoon. If all goes well in that start, she might then make an overseas excursion to Royal Ascot for the Group 1 Queen Anne on June 14. That race could produce a mouth-watering matchup against European superstar, and defending Queen Anne winner, SOLOW, regarded by some as the best horse on the planet.

*Speaking of Royal Ascot, MISS TEMPLE CITY proved a capable fill-in for Tepin in the Maker's 46. In her first start against males, and first race against older horses of any kind, Miss Temple City reeled in sharp pacesetter HEART TO HEART despite failing to switch leads in the stretch. She was assigned a whopping 108 Beyer Speed Figure for her seasonal debut. Kudos to Graham Motion for a tremendous training job, and Miss Temple City is booked for the Group 2 Duke of Cambridge Stakes on June 15.

*I really liked the winning runs from both EFFINEX (Oaklawn Handicap) and EAGLE (Ben Ali Stakes). The former, second in last year's Breeders' Cup Classic, avenged his defeat at the hooves of MELATONIN with a pace-pressing score. Effinex traveled comfortably every step of the way at Oaklawn and he roared past a game Melatonin in the stretch.

Eagle received a lovely ride in the Ben Ali. Last entering the backstretch of the nine-furlong test, Eagle shot the gap along the rail to grab pocket position. Once switched out in the stretch, Eagle changed leads on cue and he wore down NOBLE BIRD late. This was the best I've seen Eagle in a long time. It must be noted that he is undefeated at Keeneland.

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 4/12/16 - 4/18/16:

1. MISS TEMPLE CITY - 108 - Maker's 46 Mile (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 15Apr16-9KEE
2. TEPIN - 107 - Jenny Wiley Stakes (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - 16Apr16-10KEE
3. EFFINEX - 106 - Oaklawn Handicap (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - 16Apr16-9OP
4. ALWAYS SUNSHINE - 102 - OC 40k/N3X -N - 6 Furlongs - 16Apr16-7KEE
5. EAGLE - 101 - Ben Ali Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - 16Apr16-7KEE
6. STRADIVARI - 100 - Alw 59585N1X - 1 1/8 Miles - 17Apr16-2KEE
7. FOREVER UNBRIDLED - 99 - Apple Blossom Handicap (G1) - 1 1/16 Miles - 15Apr16-9OP
7. SAN ONOFRE - 99 - Los Angeles Stakes (G3) - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 16Apr16-5LRC
9. MRS MCDOUGAL - 98 - Plenty of Grace Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - 16Apr16-7AQU
10. CREATOR - 96 - Arkansas Derby (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - 16Apr16-11OP
10. FOUR LEFT FEET - 96 - OC18k/SAL8k - 6 Furlongs - 14Apr16-5HAW
10. NATCHEZ - 96 - OC 75k/N2Y -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 16Apr16-2OP
10. PAULASSILVERLINING - 96 - Distaff Handicap (G3) - 7 Furlongs - 17Apr16-8AQU
14. GEAUX METS - 94 - Clm 25000 - 6 Furlongs - 17Apr16-2AQU
14. KASAQUI (ARG) - 94 - Alw 56692N3X - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - 17Apr16-9KEE
14. UNION JACKSON - 94 - OC 100k/N$Y -N - 6 Furlongs - 15Apr16-2KEE
17. DELTA BLUESMAN - 93 - OC 62k/C - 6 Furlongs - 13Apr16-7GP
17. EXAGGERATED - 93 - Giant's Causeway Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - 16Apr16-8KEE
17. TWEET KITTEN - 93 - Alw 63074N2X - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - 14Apr16-6KEE
20. JOKING - 92 - OC 100k/C - 6 Furlongs - 13Apr16-5AQU
20. TOP BILLING - 92 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - 15Apr16-8KEE
22. ALL STAR RED - 91 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - 13Apr16-8AQU
22. BOOZER - 91 - Bertrando Stakes - 1 Mile - 16Apr16-7LRC
22. HOWDY - 91 - OC 40k/N$Y -N - 1 Mile - 14Apr16-7LRC
22. MOMENTS NOTIZ - 91 - Alw 25000s - 5 1/2 Furlongs - 17Apr16-6LRC
22. SECOND SUMMER - 91 - OC 62k/N$Y -N - 1 1/16 Miles - 17Apr16-7LRC
22. TORO GRANDE - 91 - Clm 5000B - 6 Furlongs - 14Apr16-8HAW

*The lifetime past performances for MISS TEMPLE CITY are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Video stakes analyses for many of the weekend's major stakes will be available later this week at http://www.drf.com/videos

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman.

Matt Bernier, Mike Beer and I will be on for free and fun live handicapping analysis for Charles Town, Keeneland, Los Alamitos and more beginning at 3pm ET Saturday aftenroon on live.drf.com.

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Congrats to Saratogajunkie for winning last week's HandiGambling challenge.

Rick M and SR VEGAS' HG scoreboard spreadsheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

Saratogajunkie requested a turf race from either Laurel or Keeneland. Let's go with the Henry Clark Stakes from Laurel for this week's exercise.


PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to update all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

HANDIGAMBLING version 2016:

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.

The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but SPARE A SENTENCE OR TWO outlining your HANDICAPPING ANGLES and/or THOUGHT PROCESSES about WAGERING .

1. Start your post with HG or HANDIGAMBLING to find your entry in a thread.

2. You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose that is available for that HG race. Anyone going over the $100 limit will be DISQUALIFIED.

3. Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog prior to the start of the designated race. SIGN OFF WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF YOUR POST. Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST SIGN YOURSELF AT THE END (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to identify who you are.

4. (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes. Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

5. Separate your analysis from the wager and use the PROGRAM # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

6. If any of the rules listed above aren't met, the wager is subject to review which can lead to disqualification of your entry.

In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2016
The speed in this race are #1 Alpha, #2 Beta, and #8 Ocho. I like the works for layoff horse #5 Cinco who can sit off the pace. Lots of speed in here, so this could set up for a closer like  #6 Six Flags and I like the trainer's stats in these conditions. I’ll put the closer over the speed.

HG wager:
$10 EX   6 /   1,2,5, 8  = $40

$5 TRI   6 /   1,2,5,8  /  1,2,5,8  =  $60
Total $100

Thanks Dan!
Harpo

A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS  IS  ALWAYS  APPRECIATED !

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A SATURDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

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MISS TEMPLE CITY.pdf809.32 KB
HG 4 16 16 ARK Derby.xls52.5 KB
HGLRL.pdf194.99 KB