09/20/2011 4:40PM

Tale of Two Trips


*The Woodbine Mile was a tale of two trips. 

The winner, TURALLURE, benefited from a wonderfully patient ride from Julien Leparoux.  Last on the inside turning into the expansive Woodbine stretch, Leparoux didn't panic.  He allowed Turallure to find his stride along the inside before altering course to the center of the track in midstretch.  Turallure split horses, saw daylight and rallied stoutly to get up in the nick of time. 

DANCE AND DANCE, on the other hoof, did not have a clear run.  After breaking a length slow from the machine, Dance and Dance was in and among horses from midway on the final turn to deep stretch.  It sure looked like Dance and Dance had some run, but the European couldn't find a seam until it was too late. 

*Beaten favorite COURAGEOUS CAT may have attacked the longshot pacesetter, KARA'S ORIENTATION, a bit too soon.  Perched off that one's hip entering the turn, jockey Pat Valenzuela asked Courageous Cat to go after Kara's Orientation with three furlongs left to run.  Courageous Cat took a clear lead into the upper stretch, but failed to stay over a course that favors horses that time their moves just right.

DANCE WITH GABLE is a hard-knocking older claimer in Southern California.  Whether it's turf, dirt or synthetic, Dance With Gable usually shows up with a good performance.  In a $40,000 optional claimer at Fairplex on Saturday afternoon, Dance With Gable conquered two turns.  He dueled with the classy Cost of Freedom from the outset, put that one away turning for home and was never threatened in the lane.  Trainer Michael Pender reached in and claimed the son of Dance Floor. 

*EMCEE made quite an impression in his belated career debut at Belmont on September 14.  A Darley Stable homebred, the 3-year-old son of Unbridled's Song out of a winning half-sister to Spinaway (G1) winner Awesome Humor graduated by 4 1/2 lengths with a 95 Beyer Speed Figure.  Emcee is a half-brother to stakes-winning router SPRING PARTY, who finished sixth in the Grade 3 Noble Damsel Stakes on grass on Sunday. 

*Speaking of the Noble Damsel, UNBRIDLED HUMOR ran powerfully from start to finish in winning that race.  A filly that could be her own worst enemy due to temperament issues, Unbridled Humor grabbed the bit, dueled with longshot Twilight Memory, opened up a clear lead and held nicely.  She went fast early (23.41, 46.51) and late (last quarter in 23.69).  European invader THAI HAKU lost all chance when breaking poorly.  AVIATE had traffic trouble on the turn, but failed to punch when clear in the stretch. 

*Although she finished second to the solid STRIKE THE MOON in the $400,000 Charles Town Oaks, GROUPIE DOLL showed she belonged at that level.  Outrun in the early stages of the two-turn, seven-furlong Oaks, Groupie Doll dropped back to last for the backstretch run.  She spun widest while making a good bid on the final turn and closed resolutely to miss by three-parts of a length. 

*What can you say about WINTER MEMORIES?  The talented turf filly barreled home her final eighth in 10.68 to run over the top of a strong field in the Grade 1 Garden City Stakes.  PINCH PIE had a sneaky-bad trip and is worth following against slightly weaker foes on either dirt or turf.


Here are the top 25 Winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races (9/12/11 - 9/18/11):

1.  TURALLURE - 101 - Woodbine Mile (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Woodbine
2.  PLEASANT PRINCE - 100 - Pot O'Luck Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Belmont
3.  DANCE WITH GABLE - 98 - OC c-40k/N1X - 6 Furlongs - Fairplex
3.  WIGMORE HALL - 98 - Northern Dancer Stakes (G1) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
5.  NEVER RETREAT - 97 - Canadian Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
6.  EMCEE - 95 - Md Sp Wt 49k - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
6.  OUR NAUTIQUE (NZ) - 95 - Alw 34320NC - 1 Mile (Turf) - Golden Gate
8.  GREEN MONSTER - 94 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Belmont
8.  IT'S NEVER TO LATE - 94 - OC 60k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
8.  THIRD CHANCE - 94 - OC 100k/C -N - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
8.  ROTHKO - 94 - Alw 45000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
8.  STRIKE THE MOON - 94 - Charles Town Oaks - 7 Furlongs - Charles Town
13. SKY VENTURE - 93 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Calder
13. WINTER MEMORIES - 93 - Garden City Stakes (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
15. OKIE RIDE - 92 - OC 35k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Remington
15. UNBRIDLED HUMOR - 92 - Noble Damsel Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
17. LUNAR FLEET - 91 - OC 16k/N1X - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Calder
17. MANICERO - 91 - Needles Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Calder
17. STORMY LORD - 91 - PTHA President's Cup Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Parx
20. IDE LIKE A DOUBLE - 90 - Alw 33500NC - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Louisiana
20. KIRKLAND LAKE - 90 - Clm 23500(25-23.5) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
20. QUEBRADA SHINER (Arg) - 90 - Jazzy Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Belmont
20. SPIRIT OF COCHISE - 90 - OC 75k/N3X - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
20. TOP SURPRIZE - 90 - Summing Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
25. ASKBUT I WON'TTELL - 89 - OC 100k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
25. HERMOSILLO - 89 - Charles Hesse III Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - Monmouth
25. LIVE FROM APPOLLO - 89 - Clm 25000(25-20) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Arlington*
25. LOST MY HALO - 89 - Alw 24800N1X - 5 Furlongs - Louisiana
25. PIRATES VOW - 89 - Clm 25000(25-20) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Arlington*
25. RAPID REDUX - 89 - Alw 5000s - 1 1/16 Miles - Charles Town
25. WHAT A PRINCE - 89 - OC 12k/N1X - 4 1/2 Furlongs - Charles Town

* - Dead-Heat

Turallure's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.


Dan, curious what you thought of Populist Politics' run at Prayer for Relief - I thought it was pretty impressive considering Bejarano may have actually fallen asleep on his horse at some point on the backstretch...
p ensign

I thought Populist Politics was really up against it the way the race shaped up.  Prayer for Relief set glacial fractions over a speed-biased track while Populist Politics took up residence at the tail end of the field.  Populist Politics made an eye-catching five-wide move on the turn to reach contention but, understandably, couldn't sustain his rally in the stretch.  He may try for a race like the Indiana Derby on October 1.  Given quicker splits up front, he can factor in a race like that.


Hi Dan,
One quick question, is it a misprint or are the level of purses @ Parx ( Keystone-Philly Park) accurate?
Will NYRA have 150K allowance races and 100K Maidens when the casino cash starts coming in?
Good Luck to all!
fort marcy

Those purses at Parx are for real. The purses should explode once the NYRA tracks receive the casino money.


Handicapping Tip:
I've noticed in the NY State Bred Races, there's a Sire who seems to be lighting up the tote board.
I'm not into doing stats, so here it is. I've collected quite a few times & I invariably see his name more often than not, as I check frequently. His name is Freud. If his %'s aren't up there, I stand corrected. If he's in there make sure you give him a looksee....
Curt V.

Freud is a full brother to leading sire Giant's Causeway and Group 2 winner You'resothrilling.  His dam, Mariah's Storm, was a multiple Grade 2 winner on the main track. 

Freud compiled a 12-1-2-1 record while racing on grass in Europe and finished third in the Group 2 Cork and Orrery Stakes at six furlongs. 

His lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post. 

Here are some statistics (Win/Starts, North America only):

2yo FTS:  20-151 (13%)
2yos:  74-479 (15%)
All FTS:  30-243 (12%)
All Runners:  558-3615 (15%)
1st-time Turf - 27-162 (17%)
All Turf:  128-959 (13%)

Freud is a rock-solid sire of New York-bred performers.  To date, his best runner is Franny Freud, who won the Grade 1 Prioress Stakes at six furlongs on dirt.  This year, Freud has sired Giant Ryan, the winner of the Grade 2 Smile Sprint Handicap at Calder. 

He stands for $8,500 at Sequel Stallions. 

Freud's stallion page at the Sequel Stallions website is listed here:



Dan, I'm kind of on a filly/mare tear here.....could you please post PPs for Film Maker, Riskaverse, Wonder Again, Sand Springs, and Megahertz?
I'd also appreciate Ouija Board as well if you can do it.
Thank you so much! What a gift you are!

The past performances you requested are available at the bottom of this blog posting. 
FYI, two of those good turf mares have 2-year-olds in training. 

FILM SHOT (Distorted Humor - Film Maker, by Dynaformer) - Colt breezed a half-mile in 50.55 out of the gate at Belmont on September 16.

OUR ENTOURAGE (Street Cry - Sand Springs, by Dynaformer) - Colt won his second lifetime start (turf debut) in a maiden special weight at Belmont on September 17 with a 71 Beyer Speed Figure.  Todd Pletcher trains the $350,000 yearling purchase for Repole Stable.


Hi Dan, please state if a contestant is allowed to post twice, would that put him over the limit for the competition?

There is a one entry per person rule for HandiGambling.  Contestants are not allowed to post two separate $100 plays.


Congrats to Curt V. for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling exercise.  This week's race will be the eighth race at Belmont on Thursday.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Best of luck to all

Turallure.pdf63.12 KB
Freud.pdf47.63 KB
FMturfers.pdf116.91 KB
HG251.pdf173.01 KB
Curt V. More than 1 year ago
Jeff T., Glad you found it..I thought you went astray..Only one thing, it's not Ibañes, buttZ:it's IbañeZ..the Z...I like how you told me..It sort of was like, right to the point....Clever...You need not say more.. Feel better now...♫........Neat stuff, eh ? Glad I could help......now, on to meathead..{see, Jeff T. got it}...... C, I said the same thing after visiting Aqu. last year..& after visiting Belmont on Belmont Day, I posted that it reminded me of, "Annie, go get your gun, & get it now.......!!!!!!!">>The sardines thing is a perfect analogy........ Kelley_Belles, I was sure hoping you understood my Genesis...Didn't you want to hear how I picked the Pick 9 on TUESDAY, albeit it's THURSDAY, & of cHorse I can "Walter Winchell" the charts for you like nobody's business...? It's really a no-brainer getting the right horses, the day or 2 after, no matter how or who you revealed it..Unless of course, we're both incredibly stupid......Roflmao.......Only the know-its, know better...How 'bout Telepathic Touting ? We could make a fortune together..Do you know of any other stupid Bookies ? Whacky, That's funny..You know what, this is usually deep-sleep time for me..BuTtZ: My F'n arm is killing me.........LoL.....I think I'm taking an Aleve...Thanx for the reminder, as I forgot to order my 60 PP's......& That's true.......& now back to Coast to Coast AM, where we get yesterdays news, today. Sort of like on this site by some.....& that's not you...... More tomorrow, I mean later today>>James McBoeheimer, SR Vegas & the meathead01......I'm too tired..It's waayyyyy past bedeebye........
Mr. Chubby More than 1 year ago
HG 251 $20 Tri 11 / 3,4,9 / 2 $20 ex 11/2 $10 Super 11 / 3 / 4 / 1,2 First, I'm consceeding the race to #11 Lady on the Run off her two strong wins during the Belmont Spring/Summer meet. If she runs back to either of those, she cruises. To find a price, I've looked to the #2 Enniskillen. At first glance she looks many lengths too slow. However, she has 2 wins and a third in three races over the Belmont surface. Of even greater interest is the jockey change to Castellano. This mare has been ridden by apprentice rider in the majortiy of her races. So why Castellano today? Note this trainer/jockey combo connected at 8-1 in their only try together. Something just says she's sneaky live underneath. Good luck all!!!
p ensign More than 1 year ago
jim tully really? no horse numbers really? after all these years no NUMBERS?! no soup for you!!!! plus, stronaching plus your key horse is a scratcheroo gee whiz no wonder there is road rage, this is just a stupid little game...
fishky More than 1 year ago
HG251 #11, Lady On the Run may run back to dirt sprints at Belmont #4, Page by Page has done alright the last three $50 box exacta 4/11 = $100
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
Curt V "Was it the PGrayH or the Slewster ? Don't lie to me.." First - congrats on your HG win, again. Second- the PGH and Third- Slew? I didn't notice until you asked. Oh, there he is. Myrtle's Great -Great-Grandaddy on the sire side :) Good Luck!
Jerry More than 1 year ago
hg 251 25 exacta 4/1,2,3,10 Good luck all and have a great day
meathead01 More than 1 year ago
HG251 Belmont Park 9-22-11 R8 #2 Enniskillen this one is a solid one run closer when she decides to run she usually wins her race but thats been only three times in her career I like the change to castellano for this one and she had a maintenance work 12 days ago look for a one run late #4 Page by Page the last three races have been like a repeat of the previous one so Im thinking this filly is in solid form at this juncture of her racing career she is cutting back from 7 panels today lezcano has been her only rider to date a must use #10 Shes Got Rukes took her nine tries to break her maiden now in last race broke thru the next level in 5 tries luzzi is back for this one and usually gives her a good ride I like her to hit the board in this one #11 Lady On the Run hard knocking filly who loves belmont being two for two here look for her to come from out of it and show her stuff at the top of the lane with solis up today cutting back from a mile turf where trainer is 26% at that angle #9 Myrtles Gray if it rains she runs faster after that last race in the mud she must be considered on an off track dont think she wants the main track though theyve been running her on the grass but does have two wins on the dirt #2 first and second with 491011= $96 #2 win $4 = $100 good luck all MH01
meathead01 More than 1 year ago
10CENT MY bet is a $1 tri key bet sorry mh01
SpartanTom More than 1 year ago
HG 251: I believe the 11 with Solis will get a nice trip; I will use the 1,3,4 & 9 underneath. the 5 & 7 have been scratched. Wager: $10 Tri PW: 11/ 3,4/1,3,4,9; $10 Sup PW: 11/3,4/3,4/1,9. Congrats to Curt, and good luck everyone. ST
Curt V. More than 1 year ago
HG251@Belmont, I was gonna diddle around w/some tri's, but somebody else got some in..If this bet gets beaten to the punch, if you will, I'll do some tris.. #3>Bailzee>>w/CC Lopez up, makes her an instant contender..It seems they now want to rate this horse, & w/the fast works & Chuckie from the gate, she is formidable.......ButTz: #11>Lady on the Run>>is heads & tails the class of this race..even though she is a one-run closer, the Big Wide Sandy is right up her alley..This Big track is her asset..Somebody will give her the pace she needs..She's 2 for 2 on Dirt @Belmont, & if she fires, they're looking for second..I hate to bet chalks, buTTz:no reason betting a longie, if they can't win.......IMO...... $100 Staright Exacta>>#11 over/#3............ Total=$100.00.........& No, Dan I. & Mike B. !!! I had this before I watched your video...LOL.. Big Time...►◄............Thanx for the backup anyway..........
Chalky More than 1 year ago
HG251 What? Do my keen weasel eyes decieve me? SR Vegas finally shows up for a HG contest and DOESN'T pick the PGH exacta? What's wrong with that girl ! Well, someone has to do it....Besides I don't think the #10 She's Got Rules, is so slow. She had a bullet work last out. PGH wager. $50 EX Box 9-10 = $100 'hcoh eeclut' ...That's weasel speak for 'Good Luck'...Squeal !
Keith L. More than 1 year ago
Chalky: What ever happened to the $100 Show wager on the probable fav, #4? Can't trust that SR Vegas gal out of LV...she claims to have no time for the horses, then puts in an uncharasteristic HG wager as if she is trying to win the darn thing....completely overlooking a "name" horse who is also a PGF (or PGH feminized) in #10 She's Got Rules! Nice pick up by you here, though! Nice wager for you, and Weasel luck to you today! Keith L.
Steve T More than 1 year ago
Here is a quick reconciliation for the Pick-5 bet at the SoCal tracks this year: Hollywood Park 52 Cards High Pay - $60,298.90 Low Pay - $50.30 Average Pay - $6,469.03 Average Pool - $200,649.57 Average Conso - $42.51 ($2.40 to $399.80) Del Mar 37 Cards High Pay - $79,664.60 Low Pay - $331.40 Average Pay - $7,048.09 Average Pool - $309,972.59 Average Conso – No Consolation Fairplex 8 Cards High Pay - $3,418.05 Low Pay - $77.70 Average Pay - $1,297.48 Average Pool - $60,869.88 Average Conso - $18.80 ($2.40 to $51.05) Here are the spreadsheets for the Pick-5: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Al3a-2Lsqg-udHJ1V25BSGR5bWlvZEhtNms5WkVGVGc&hl=en_US#gid=1