09/20/2011 3:40PM

Tale of Two Trips

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*The Woodbine Mile was a tale of two trips. 

The winner, TURALLURE, benefited from a wonderfully patient ride from Julien Leparoux.  Last on the inside turning into the expansive Woodbine stretch, Leparoux didn't panic.  He allowed Turallure to find his stride along the inside before altering course to the center of the track in midstretch.  Turallure split horses, saw daylight and rallied stoutly to get up in the nick of time. 

DANCE AND DANCE, on the other hoof, did not have a clear run.  After breaking a length slow from the machine, Dance and Dance was in and among horses from midway on the final turn to deep stretch.  It sure looked like Dance and Dance had some run, but the European couldn't find a seam until it was too late. 

*Beaten favorite COURAGEOUS CAT may have attacked the longshot pacesetter, KARA'S ORIENTATION, a bit too soon.  Perched off that one's hip entering the turn, jockey Pat Valenzuela asked Courageous Cat to go after Kara's Orientation with three furlongs left to run.  Courageous Cat took a clear lead into the upper stretch, but failed to stay over a course that favors horses that time their moves just right.

DANCE WITH GABLE is a hard-knocking older claimer in Southern California.  Whether it's turf, dirt or synthetic, Dance With Gable usually shows up with a good performance.  In a $40,000 optional claimer at Fairplex on Saturday afternoon, Dance With Gable conquered two turns.  He dueled with the classy Cost of Freedom from the outset, put that one away turning for home and was never threatened in the lane.  Trainer Michael Pender reached in and claimed the son of Dance Floor. 

*EMCEE made quite an impression in his belated career debut at Belmont on September 14.  A Darley Stable homebred, the 3-year-old son of Unbridled's Song out of a winning half-sister to Spinaway (G1) winner Awesome Humor graduated by 4 1/2 lengths with a 95 Beyer Speed Figure.  Emcee is a half-brother to stakes-winning router SPRING PARTY, who finished sixth in the Grade 3 Noble Damsel Stakes on grass on Sunday. 

*Speaking of the Noble Damsel, UNBRIDLED HUMOR ran powerfully from start to finish in winning that race.  A filly that could be her own worst enemy due to temperament issues, Unbridled Humor grabbed the bit, dueled with longshot Twilight Memory, opened up a clear lead and held nicely.  She went fast early (23.41, 46.51) and late (last quarter in 23.69).  European invader THAI HAKU lost all chance when breaking poorly.  AVIATE had traffic trouble on the turn, but failed to punch when clear in the stretch. 

*Although she finished second to the solid STRIKE THE MOON in the $400,000 Charles Town Oaks, GROUPIE DOLL showed she belonged at that level.  Outrun in the early stages of the two-turn, seven-furlong Oaks, Groupie Doll dropped back to last for the backstretch run.  She spun widest while making a good bid on the final turn and closed resolutely to miss by three-parts of a length. 

*What can you say about WINTER MEMORIES?  The talented turf filly barreled home her final eighth in 10.68 to run over the top of a strong field in the Grade 1 Garden City Stakes.  PINCH PIE had a sneaky-bad trip and is worth following against slightly weaker foes on either dirt or turf.

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Here are the top 25 Winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races (9/12/11 - 9/18/11):

1.  TURALLURE - 101 - Woodbine Mile (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Woodbine
2.  PLEASANT PRINCE - 100 - Pot O'Luck Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Belmont
3.  DANCE WITH GABLE - 98 - OC c-40k/N1X - 6 Furlongs - Fairplex
3.  WIGMORE HALL - 98 - Northern Dancer Stakes (G1) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
5.  NEVER RETREAT - 97 - Canadian Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
6.  EMCEE - 95 - Md Sp Wt 49k - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
6.  OUR NAUTIQUE (NZ) - 95 - Alw 34320NC - 1 Mile (Turf) - Golden Gate
8.  GREEN MONSTER - 94 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Belmont
8.  IT'S NEVER TO LATE - 94 - OC 60k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
8.  THIRD CHANCE - 94 - OC 100k/C -N - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
8.  ROTHKO - 94 - Alw 45000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
8.  STRIKE THE MOON - 94 - Charles Town Oaks - 7 Furlongs - Charles Town
13. SKY VENTURE - 93 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Calder
13. WINTER MEMORIES - 93 - Garden City Stakes (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
15. OKIE RIDE - 92 - OC 35k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Remington
15. UNBRIDLED HUMOR - 92 - Noble Damsel Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
17. LUNAR FLEET - 91 - OC 16k/N1X - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Calder
17. MANICERO - 91 - Needles Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Calder
17. STORMY LORD - 91 - PTHA President's Cup Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Parx
20. IDE LIKE A DOUBLE - 90 - Alw 33500NC - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Louisiana
20. KIRKLAND LAKE - 90 - Clm 23500(25-23.5) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
20. QUEBRADA SHINER (Arg) - 90 - Jazzy Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Belmont
20. SPIRIT OF COCHISE - 90 - OC 75k/N3X - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
20. TOP SURPRIZE - 90 - Summing Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
25. ASKBUT I WON'TTELL - 89 - OC 100k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
25. HERMOSILLO - 89 - Charles Hesse III Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - Monmouth
25. LIVE FROM APPOLLO - 89 - Clm 25000(25-20) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Arlington*
25. LOST MY HALO - 89 - Alw 24800N1X - 5 Furlongs - Louisiana
25. PIRATES VOW - 89 - Clm 25000(25-20) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Arlington*
25. RAPID REDUX - 89 - Alw 5000s - 1 1/16 Miles - Charles Town
25. WHAT A PRINCE - 89 - OC 12k/N1X - 4 1/2 Furlongs - Charles Town

* - Dead-Heat

Turallure's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Dan, curious what you thought of Populist Politics' run at Prayer for Relief - I thought it was pretty impressive considering Bejarano may have actually fallen asleep on his horse at some point on the backstretch...
p ensign

I thought Populist Politics was really up against it the way the race shaped up.  Prayer for Relief set glacial fractions over a speed-biased track while Populist Politics took up residence at the tail end of the field.  Populist Politics made an eye-catching five-wide move on the turn to reach contention but, understandably, couldn't sustain his rally in the stretch.  He may try for a race like the Indiana Derby on October 1.  Given quicker splits up front, he can factor in a race like that.

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Hi Dan,
One quick question, is it a misprint or are the level of purses @ Parx ( Keystone-Philly Park) accurate?
Will NYRA have 150K allowance races and 100K Maidens when the casino cash starts coming in?
Thanks,
Good Luck to all!
fort marcy

Those purses at Parx are for real. The purses should explode once the NYRA tracks receive the casino money.

***

Handicapping Tip:
I've noticed in the NY State Bred Races, there's a Sire who seems to be lighting up the tote board.
I'm not into doing stats, so here it is. I've collected quite a few times & I invariably see his name more often than not, as I check frequently. His name is Freud. If his %'s aren't up there, I stand corrected. If he's in there make sure you give him a looksee....
Curt V.

Freud is a full brother to leading sire Giant's Causeway and Group 2 winner You'resothrilling.  His dam, Mariah's Storm, was a multiple Grade 2 winner on the main track. 

Freud compiled a 12-1-2-1 record while racing on grass in Europe and finished third in the Group 2 Cork and Orrery Stakes at six furlongs. 

His lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post. 

Here are some statistics (Win/Starts, North America only):

2yo FTS:  20-151 (13%)
2yos:  74-479 (15%)
All FTS:  30-243 (12%)
All Runners:  558-3615 (15%)
1st-time Turf - 27-162 (17%)
All Turf:  128-959 (13%)

Freud is a rock-solid sire of New York-bred performers.  To date, his best runner is Franny Freud, who won the Grade 1 Prioress Stakes at six furlongs on dirt.  This year, Freud has sired Giant Ryan, the winner of the Grade 2 Smile Sprint Handicap at Calder. 

He stands for $8,500 at Sequel Stallions. 

Freud's stallion page at the Sequel Stallions website is listed here:

http://sequelstallionsny.com/?page_id=10

***

Dan, I'm kind of on a filly/mare tear here.....could you please post PPs for Film Maker, Riskaverse, Wonder Again, Sand Springs, and Megahertz?
I'd also appreciate Ouija Board as well if you can do it.
Thank you so much! What a gift you are!
Margi

The past performances you requested are available at the bottom of this blog posting. 
 
FYI, two of those good turf mares have 2-year-olds in training. 

FILM SHOT (Distorted Humor - Film Maker, by Dynaformer) - Colt breezed a half-mile in 50.55 out of the gate at Belmont on September 16.

OUR ENTOURAGE (Street Cry - Sand Springs, by Dynaformer) - Colt won his second lifetime start (turf debut) in a maiden special weight at Belmont on September 17 with a 71 Beyer Speed Figure.  Todd Pletcher trains the $350,000 yearling purchase for Repole Stable.

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Hi Dan, please state if a contestant is allowed to post twice, would that put him over the limit for the competition?
Mike-One

There is a one entry per person rule for HandiGambling.  Contestants are not allowed to post two separate $100 plays.

***

Congrats to Curt V. for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling exercise.  This week's race will be the eighth race at Belmont on Thursday.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
 
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
 
Best of luck to all

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Turallure.pdf63.12 KB
Freud.pdf47.63 KB
FMturfers.pdf116.91 KB
HG251.pdf173.01 KB