02/01/2010 7:17PM

Sweet Repent, Beyers, questions, pp's

Email

It sure looks like Sweet Repent is for real.  The four-year-old filly made it five in a row with a solid victory in the Sunshine Millions Distaff at Gulfstream Park on Saturday.  Trained by David Braddy, Sweet Repent tracked the pace set by Jessica Is Back and Amazing, moved up to engage those two in upper stretch, and drew off to win by 3 3/4 lengths.  By the long-winded stallion Repent, it's possible that Sweet Repent, stakes-placed at two, is a late-blooming type that is finally coming into her own.  She's now run up three straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures and seems ready for graded competition.

If you like knock-down, drag-out brawls, you loved the show put on by This Ones For Phil and Pashito the Che in the Sunshine Millions Sprint.  Pashito the Che, feeling handsome in his new blinkers, scorched the first quarter in 21.46 with This Ones For Phil positioned off his flank in second.  The match race began in earnest on the turn and the pair absolutely threw it down for the final quarter-mile, neither giving an inch despite racing an opening half in 43.23.  This Ones For Phil got his nose down when it counted in a race that no horse deserved to lose. 
What next for the winner?  He certainly seems like a Gulfstream Park horse for course.  In three sprint starts over the Gulfstream main track, he shows Beyer Speed Figures of 115, 107, and 108.  His highest sprint Beyer anywhere else is a 97. 

***

Here are the top 25 Winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races:


Here are the lifetime past performances for the highest Beyer winner of the week:

Download ThisOnesForPhil

***

Dan, What became of the incident(slugfest) at Philadelphia park between Vaz & Santos?
Mike O

The Philadelphia Park stewards held a hearing on January 21 to discuss possible sanctions against both Vaz and Santos.  A decision should be made within the next few days.

***

Dan,
What was General Quarters Beyer figure coming in 2nd to Friesan Fire last week??
John

John,
GQ received a 101 BSF behind FF's 104.
Caseyjeaux

***

Dan,
Is our Morena-Marina mix up happening again? 
I'm tracking Marina (5 y/o filly out of Theatrical), and Marina worked on Jan. 25 at Palm Meadows.  The work was 4F, turf w/dogs, :54.80.
However, you mentioned in the Dec. 14 post that Marina's work most likely belongs to Morena (6 y/o horse out of Privately Held).
Has Palm Meadows mixed up runners (again, as presumed) or do we have two working runners?
PGM

I'm guessing that there was another mixup.  Morena last raced on December 26 at Calder.  She worked a half-mile at Palm Meadows on January 11 so this most recent workout (January 25) seems to fit timewise.

***

Did Michael Gill have his horses injured leg removed so no one would find pain-killing drugs in a leg that was already injured before the race?
Captain Bodgit

Here are the articles published by DRF concerning the 2003 case in question:

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=44072&subs=0&arc=1

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=44122&subs=0&arc=1

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=44195&subs=0&arc=1

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=44449&subs=0&arc=1

http://www.drf.com/drfNewsArticle.do?NID=45159&subs=0&arc=1

***

Now, perhaps Dan or someone else knows when Fawkes plans on pointing Big Drama to a race...(?)
vicstu

Big Drama hasn't recorded an official workout since the King's Bishop so it looks like it's going to be a bit of time before he's back in action.

***

Dan,
Could you please post the PPs for Silver Train?  I'm taking my first look into the freshman sires for this year, and he came up with the highest number of reported foals of 2008(128).  Even though he's a BC Sprint/Met Mile winner, that really surprised me.  He's free of Mr. Prospector, so maybe that has something to do with it, but I would like to re-visit his career.  Thanks very much.
Paseana

Here they are:

Download Silver Train

***

Dan,
Any chance to get the past performances for the top 3 of the 1st BC Classic, Wild Again, Slew O' Gold and Gate Dancer, or even the whole field?  Thank you!
Dan

Here's what I have for the 1984 Classic field:

Download 1984 BC Classic

***

Dan, could you post here the historical Beyer Figures for the main KY Derby preps? Also, I want to see the Past Performances of few Puerto Rican horses that ran in the US. Those are MyFavorite Place, Verset Dancer, The Kid, Don Pepe C., El Enganado, etc... Also, if you have Mister Frisky past performances??? - Thanks
Jose De Leon

Here are the Beyer Pars for the major Kentucky Derby preps:

Arkansas Derby - 103
Blue Grass - 105
Florida Derby - 104
Illinois Derby - 104
Lexington - 101
Louisiana Derby - 99
Santa Anita Derby - 104

I don't have anything on Verset Dancer or The Kid, but here's what I have for the rest:

Download PR Horses

***

Anyone know where Arlington jock Junior Alvarado is? I expected him to show up at Gulfstream like last year.
jim tully

Alvarado had surgery on his right shoulder in late October 2009.  The early reports had him returning at Tampa Bay Downs in early 2010.

***

Anyone know when the Triple Crown nominations will be published? The early nominations closed on the 16th.
AnneM

The list of early nominations will be published on February 8.
Laura

***

I know there has been much talk about the Holy Bull, but before we put it to bed, I'm still trying to decide what I make of the run by the 1 Horse, Thank U Phillipe.  He raced close to the pace, as expected, but backed up a bit when the real running started but still finished a respectable fourth.  I believe he still has just one win in 9 outs, but he's been running agst some quality horses.  I guess the question is, does he have what it takes to beat the JBs and Winslows or is he more of a Grade 3 type?  Any thoughts?
brutus4633

Just my two cents, but I think that's about the best Thank U Philippe can do right now.  Marty Wolfson told Mike Welsch that "He [Thank U Philippe] is not a Kentucky Derby horse.  I don't think he'll get that far."

***

Dan or anyone who wants to answer...
If you had a horse and everything went according to plan, how would you get him to the Derby?
Captain Bodgit

I'd have a horse with suitable juvenile foundation (three races minimum, distances don't really matter to me at two), and, in a perfect world, I'd start him up again at three with a seven furlong sprint, a 1 1/16 mile route, and two nine-furlong preps.  Basically, it's the old Strike the Gold route that Nick Zito took at Gulfstream...before they eradicated the 1 1/16 mile races. 

***

Hi,Dan can you put Smoke Glacken pp´s,thank you.
ribot75

Here they are:

Download SmokeGlaken

***

Dan,
Doing some research on influential sires and mares. Could you please help by posting these PP's? Thanks!!
Bold Ruler
Northern Dancer
Dr. Fager
Tom Fool
Regret
CaliBob

Here they are:

Download Bold Ruler

Download Northern Dancer

Download Dr Fager

Download Tom Fool

Download Regret

***

HG 170
After watching a few of these 5f sprints @ Gulf, i've noticed early speed is important, but this race is choke full of it. I'm going to go with a 100.00 exacta 3-1.

I'll go with the 8th race @ Gulfstream an o/c 62,500 at 1 7/16m on the turf. Good luck to all.
Mike A

Congrats to Mike A. for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.  Here are this week's past performances:

Download HG171

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. 

I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

Best of luck to all.

Buffalo Joe More than 1 year ago
Some out there would have us scrap yesterdays HG exercise. This may have been the most educational of all, what do you do in the middle or a pick 3 or any other multiple wager when faced by a surface change and multi scracthes? Some would hit the all button, while a good handicapper would get to the bottom of the race and prehaps come away with a stong single and a sucessful multi-wager bet. It's all about lemonade, and yesterday Annie made lemonade, and lets not, de-facto take it away from her. Good luck to all!
Whackymacky More than 1 year ago
My Annie hits... Aqueduct Race 1 #6 Good Karma $20 Win / Place $5 DD #6 w / all Bet the grey she say's!!!! $29.00 Win $6.50 Place I didn't play and she is off with the girl's to the mall. Nice job honey!!! All Annie's are winner's!!!! Whackymacky Out!!!
Midwest Ed More than 1 year ago
Are "supers" still allowed for the HG race? If they are, I will box the field! Just kidding. Too bad the race was taken off the turf. I was really interested in seeing how the Clement runner performed. Midwest Ed
baltimore_brian More than 1 year ago
HG 171 Revision: My 10-3 straight exacta got nipped by 8 minutes, so I'll change my wager to this: $75 Trifecta 10/3/9 $25 Trifecta 10/3/5 Totally not how I'd play it in real life (I'd probably just pass), and original enough that I shouldn't have to change it again.
wilson More than 1 year ago
I just re checked the Wynn site and the odds have been updated. Here are the correct current odds for the above mentioned horses: Lookin at Lucky 6-1 Vale of York 30-1 Blind Luck 30-1 Lentenor 75-1 and newly added Prince Will I Am 200-1 I still think Lentenor will be bet down around 25-1 in pool one of the future wagering, so 75-1 is okay for a stab, but not worth a plane ride to Vegas. What might be worth a ride though is the the 2010 Breeders' Cup Classic future wager which Wynn had listed right under the Derby futures. What do you think about these odds??? Rachel Alexandra 5-1 Summer Bird 7-1 Quality Road 10-1 Gio Ponti 12-1 Lookin at Lucky 12-1 Zenyatta 14-1! I may have to call my travel agent in the morning.
Whackymacky More than 1 year ago
HG 171 What a mess!!! $100 Ex 10-5 Good Luck Sad to see all of the bad news from yesterday. Michael Gill is an interesting story. What do the bloggers think about that one? I smell something rotten about this one. These three year olds have a long road to the first Saturday in May. They are growing and the trainers are being very cautious. They do need to run to earn the money, but then again, they do not want to push them too hard. We see it every year. Picks to follow later. Pick 6 at Santa Anita will reach $800K. Ten Cent Let's hit that baby. Time to make a big score!!!! Best of luck to all today. Whackymacky Out!!!
Annie More than 1 year ago
Dick W, The 6 is one of the scratched horses. : Buffalo Joe, Do you think they will still have a trifecta with only 4 horses? Annie
tencentcielo More than 1 year ago
No Trifecta available. HG as quickly as possible: $100 ex 9-5 tencentcielo
Annie More than 1 year ago
TenCent, How do you know Kettle River isn't entered? They haven't even drawn the entries yet. And, who is this mysterious person who is going to come out of the woodwork to claim a horse if he's not in the box? Speaking of the box, I'm having abit of a dilemma. There have been some impressive maiden winners lately, but I hesitate to put in a horse that did not have at least one race as a two-year-old, because that is the one guideline that has not been broken when it comes to the Derby. I am trying to give everyone a chance at it anyway, and having a three year old that didn't race at two just doesn't seem to work. Annie
C More than 1 year ago
Future bets almost always equal sucker bets, and I'm not sure "almost" belongs there. You want Zenyatta at 14-1 in February? The Cup isn't in California this time, she's raced on dirt once, Churchill can be a very quirky track, and she has to stick around about another 9 months and not lose a step until then... 14-1 is not as generous as it appears when you consider the risks involved. There's a long, long way to go before the Triple Crown, much less the Breeders Cup.