05/29/2014 12:08PM

Stormin to a Track Record

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In 2008, trainer David Jacobson compiled a record of 73-16-21-12 at Delaware Park (21% winners, $1.61 ROI). Since then, the New York-based Jacobson has only saddled six runners at Delaware (6-2-0-4).

After STORMIN MONARCHO's performance last Saturday, Jacobson may start shipping down more often.

It was a race that made you go hmmm. Stormin Monarcho had always shown flashes of ability. At two, he finished third in the Grade 3 Arlington-Washington Futurity around a one-turn polytrack mile. As a 3-year-old, he became the answer to the popular trivia question "Who won the $30,000 Golden Boy Stakes at Assiniboia Downs in 2013?"

There were some nice efforts for trainer Joel Berndt, including a 90-Beyer win in an optional claiming heat on dirt at Hawthorne on December 7. In his only start for Steve DiMauro at Gulfstream this spring, he popped a 93 Beyer when second at 33-1 to Suns Out Guns Out for a $100,000 tag.

Still, after his first 18 races, that 93 Beyer represented a career-best figure. How much improvement could Stormin Monarcho, a 4-year-old gelding, have in the tank?

Apparently, there was plenty. After being purchased privately by Lawrence Roman and sent to Jacobson, Stormin Monarcho proceeded to knock off a 95 Beyer when third in an optional claimer at Aqueduct. At Delaware last week, Stormin Monarcho broke a 54-year-old track record for the two-turn mile with a 1:34.85 clocking and received a 106 Beyer.

Stormin Monarcho received a good trip, but he absolutely humbled a solid field of optional claimers. Ridden by Alex Cintron, Stormin Monarcho tracked in the second flight from the outside while three-time stakes-winners I'M STEPPIN' IT UP and MANAGED ACCOUNT sparred through fractions of 23.53 and 46.59. By the time the six-furlong time of 1:10.50 was posted, Stormin Monarcho had swept to the leaders and he drew off with impunity in the stretch.

Stormin Monarch finished off his last quarter in 24.35 and the winning margin was 11 1/4 lengths over Managed Account. Also left in his wake were HARD ACES, Grade 3-placed INDIAN JONES, three-time stakes-winner CONCEALED IDENTITY, BAKE SHOP, BARTOLOME, and Grade 3 winner BATTLE HARDENED.

Some punters will wonder if the addition of blinkers was the catalyst for the huge improvement. It's certainly possible, but Berndt attempted blinkers twice with Stormin Monarcho in 2013 (fourth as the favorite in a Hawthorne allowance, and twelfth when overmatched in the Illinois Derby) before abandoning the equipment.

It's a common refrain in New York that newly-acquired Jacobson runners must be respected. Now that the big race has been run, how do handicappers assess Stormin Monarcho for the future?  Is he a potential contender in minor stakes races, or was this a one-off aberration?

It's all about placement and price. Jacobson certainly knows how to spot his horses. While it's unlikely you'll get the 6.50-1 odds he paid at Delaware, Stormin Monarcho may offer a bit of value if hiked up in class against tougher stakes rivals. He's no Grade 1 winner, but Stormin Monarcho deserves a spot on the old watch list, for curiosity's sake if nothing else.

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 5/19/14 - 5/25/19:

1. STORMIN MONARCHO - 106 - OC 65k/C -N - 1 Mile - Delaware
2. ALMOST FAMOUS - 102 - Alw 52349N3L - 1 1/16 Miles - Churchill
3. GRATZIE - 99 - Md Sp Wt 27k - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Canterbury
4. BELLARMINE - 97 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Churchill
4. TIGGER TOWN - 97 - OC 35k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs - Northlands
4. WAR DANCER - 97 - Louisville Handicap (G3) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Churchill
7. BIO PRO - 96 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
7. FIRE WITH FIRE - 96 - Charles Whittingham Stakes (G2) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Santa Anita
7. REGULUS - 96 - Clm 25000 - 7 Furlongs - Belmont
7. RIPOSTE (GB) - 96 - Sheepshead Bay Stakes (G2) - 1 3/8 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
11. AZ RIDGE - 95 - Alw 35000N$Y - 7 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Canterbury
11. BIG CAZANOVA (ARG) - 95 - Md Sp Wt 57k - 1 Mile - Santa Anita
11. SUNBEAN - 95 - Louisiana Legends Classic Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Evangeline
14. FOOTBRIDGE - 94 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
14. FULL DANCER - 94 - Alw 45920N1X - 1 1/16 Miles - Churchill
14. GENERAL IKE - 94 - Md Sp Wt 40k - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Delaware
14. KATE'S EVENT - 94 - Clm c-(50-40) - 7 Furlongs - Santa Anita
14. LA TIA - 94 - Arlington Matron Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Polytrack) - Arlington
14. NIKKI'S SANDCASTLE - 94 - Hanshin Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - Arlington
20. CSABA - 93 - Memorial Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - Calder
20. LEGENDARY (GB) - 93 - Alw 77000N1X - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
20. WINGS OF FORTUNE - 93 - Alw 77000N1X - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
23. BANK ACCOUNT - 92 - Alw 54160N1X - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
23. DORSEY'S DREAM - 92 - Louisiana Legends Starter Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Evangeline
23. TAYLORS DEAL - 92 - John Longden 6000 Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Hastings

*STORMIN MONARCHO's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

*KATE'S EVENT was claimed for $50,000 by trainer Vann Belvoir from Jerry Hollendorfer.

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Dan – Do you know when the DRF changed its speed ratings from a comparison to the track record to a comparison to the best time within the last 3 years?
Al

I don't know the exact date, but it has to be at least 25-30 years.

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*The links to the previous blogs (and blog comments) are listed below:

http://www.drf.com/blogs/kalifornia-ko

http://www.drf.com/blogs/lying-wait

http://www.drf.com/blogs/potential-price-plays-sunday

http://www.drf.com/blogs/unstoppable-untapable

http://www.drf.com/blogs/kentucky-derby-non-opinions

http://www.drf.com/blogs/davona-dale

http://www.drf.com/blogs/can-hudson-landing-still-go

http://www.drf.com/blogs/tricky-elkhorn

http://www.drf.com/blogs/hail-mary-claim

http://www.drf.com/blogs/grounding-hawk

http://www.drf.com/blogs/cat-burglar-creeping-upward

http://www.drf.com/blogs/3-year-old-filly-sprinter-watch

http://www.drf.com/blogs/tale-two-wins

http://www.drf.com/blogs/beatable-favorites

http://www.drf.com/blogs/baker-cooks-calder

http://www.drf.com/blogs/keeneland-baby

http://www.drf.com/blogs/derby-prep-thoughts

http://www.drf.com/blogs/fishing-opinions

http://www.drf.com/blogs/keeneland-its-spring-again

http://www.drf.com/blogs/sprinter-rise

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You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

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Congrats to Alfredo for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling race.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

On tab 2 you will see each HG Race we've held and they are color coded to denote if the race was run on Turf, Dirt or Poly.

Let's do a rare multi-race HandiGambling this week. We'll go with Saturday's Early Pick 4 at Penn National as per Rick M's request.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
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A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

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STORMIN MONARCHO.pdf725.36 KB
Copy of Formblog Preakness 5-17-14.xls75 KB
PENNP4R1.pdf163.6 KB
PENNP4R2.pdf195.3 KB
PENNP4R3.pdf176.54 KB
PENNP4R4.pdf162.42 KB