08/21/2013 2:50PM

"Sou-Million" Scalped by Stewards

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The headline wrote itself after THE APACHE crossed the wire first in last week's Arlington Million:

"Sou-MILLION!"

Then, the inquiry light started to flash. 

Hold the presses.

I picked The Apache in the DRF video preview of the Million and didn't need to see the head-on replay to know he was coming down. 

I'm simply snakebit in that race. 

It wasn't that long ago (2004 to be exact) that I needed POWERSCOURT for a big ticket.  He won and was disqualified.  It hurt even more when he came back to beat me the following year.  In 2003, it was STORMING HOME who finished first for me only to be slapped by the stewards.

After taking my medicine, I wasn't going to argue with the call against The Apache.  Real Solution had all of the momentum and it appeared he was going right by The Apache when the interference occurred.  Also, Christophe Soumillon continued to flag The Apache left-handed while drifting out into Real Solution's path. 

*DANK exploded through the stretch to win the prestigious Beverly D. Stakes, but I have this nagging feeling that there may be several better waiting overseas for a crack at this fall's Filly and Mare Turf. Beverly D. winners do not have a good record in the Breeders' Cup, but there's no denying that she was very impressive.

*RENEESGOTZIP was the lone speed on paper and she zipped right to the top en route to a sizzling score in the Rancho Bernardo Handicap at Del Mar.  Although 6-6 on synthetic tracks, she did finish a good second to Book Review in the Grade 1 La Brea on dirt and was third in last year's Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.  Trainer Peter Miller has plenty of options.

***

Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (8/12/13 - 8/18/13):

1. DANK (GB) - 108 - Beverly D. Stakes - 1 3/16 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
2. EVOLUTION ROCKS - 104 - Clm 10000(10-9) - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
3. LAST GUNFIGHTER - 103 - Philip H. Iselin Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Monmouth
3. RENEESGOTZIP - 103 - Rancho Bernardo Handicap (G3) - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar
5. HELISKIER - 102 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Canterbury
6. HERBIE D - 100 - Longacres Mile (G3) - 1 Mile - Emerald
6. REAL SOLUTION - 100 - Arlington Million (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
6. SOUPER SPEEDY - 100 - OC 100k/N3X -N - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
6. STRAPPING GROOM - 100 - Kid Russell Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Saratoga
10. HOGY - 98 - Troy Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Saratoga
10. PRINCESS OF SYLMAR - 98 - Alabama Stakes (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - Saratoga
12. COMMANDER - 97 - Westerner Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - Northlands
12. JOY BOY - 97 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Indiana
12. LOUISIANA GLORY - 97 - Louisiana Cup Sprint Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Louisiana
12. MOE MAN - 97 - John Bullit Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Canterbury
16. BIG BLUE KITTEN - 96 - Sword Dancer Stakes (G1) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Saratoga
16. FORTE DEI MARMI (GB) - 96 - Sky Classic Stakes (G2) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
16. SLUMBER (GB) - 96 - OC 100k/C -N - 1 3/16 Miles (Turf) - Saratoga
19. DETERMINATO - 95 - Alw 39500C - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Calder
19. DOUBLE JUDGE - 95 - Alw 6250s - 1 Mile - Gulfstream
19. MY PAL CHRISY - 95 - Paseana Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Gulfstream
19. SECOND STREET CITY - 95 - Hoist Her Flag Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Canterbury
23. DANDINO (GB) - 94 - American St. Leger - 1 11/16 Miles (Turf) - Arlington
23. STRING KING - 94 - Louisiana Cup Turf Classic Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Louisiana
23. WORK ALL WEEK - 94 - OC 75k/C -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Indiana

*DANK's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Hey Dan:
Could you post the lifetime past perfomances for the last 10 Travers winners?
popstarr100

They are available at the bottom of this blog post.

***

Dan,
Thanks for selecting the Arlington Million. One of the key reasons for asking is this is a great race year after year. Also, we get to learn how to handicap US Thoroughbreds and the Euros/South African horses.
How do you compare Euro's Racing Post figures to the US Beyer Speed Figures??
Thanks,
Rick

I think it's very dangerous to attempt a conversion from Racing Post Ratings to Beyer Speed Figures as they aren't even close to being on the same scale.  Check out the following link on Racing Post Ratings to learn more:

http://www1.drf.com/products/rpr/rpr.html

***

When you get the chance, you're definitely going to want to check out "RACEHORSE," the latest production from Jessica Pacheco, racing analyst at Arlington Park. 

Things take a tragic turn in Episode 6 of Racehorse, as Ali's Racing Stable is forced to deal with the loss of Givenchi.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWu4tT-TFvk


Previous episodes can be found at:
 
http://www.arlingtonpark.com/newsvideosblogs/racehorse-video-series

***

The weekend handicapping videos should be up on the homepage later this week.

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

***

There were no winners of last week's HandiGambling contest.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

Let's go with the Travers Stakes for this week's race.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.

PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

***FROM SCOREKEEPER PENN NATIONAL RICK***

I read some entries on here and there are some people who put their heart out on their picks(such as DavidM9999) and give you great analysis on who they like and why and then there are others who elect not to give any reasoning behind their entries. The rule I will implement EFFECTIVE 3/1/13 will be... any entry without ANY analysis will be ignored. We are not asking you to put out a novel, but again a sentence or two. Also, I will put communication out when Dan puts out new blogs.
My intent is not to be jerk on this, but what's fair is fair. I'm not taking away from this week or past winners regarding all of this, but we do need to make the change.
If you have any questions/concerns...please send an email to FORMBLOG@DRF.COM and it will get forwarded to me.
Thank You!
Rick

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATE THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

Best of luck to all.

AttachmentSize
DANK.pdf737.49 KB
TRAVERSwinners.pdf112.12 KB
Copy of Formblog Arlington Million 8-17-13.xls67 KB
HGTRAVERS.pdf242.67 KB