12/05/2009 12:10PM

Some weekend races

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Let's take a look at a couple of interesting sprint stakes races scheduled for this weekend.

Garland of Roses Handicap (Aqueduct - Race 8):
The scratch of Saarlight takes out one of the many speed horses in the race, and there's a good chance the track will be wet by post time.  My first instinct in this race was to go with layoff runner By the Light, a 10-17 filly that received a well-deserved six-month break after a dull performance as the heavy favorite in the What a Summer Stakes at Belmont Park, but with the scratch of Saarlight, I'm going to try and get clever with Casanova Killer, a speedy daughter of Storm Boot that broke the five-furlong track record at Penn National over 'good' going two starts back. 
In her most recent effort, the Grade 3 Endine Stakes at Delaware Park, she chased the solid filly Bold Union from the get-go, and was basically eased up for the final furlong when well beaten.  It doesn't look like any of her opponents this afternoon has the early speed and ability of Bold Union when that one is right, and the slight class drop may help Casanova Killer at a solid mutuel.  When she gets the lead, she's very dangerous.  When she doesn't, she's not as effective.  We'll see how jockey David Cohen plays it for Steve Klesaris, a trainer that has three winners at Aqueduct over the last two days

Vernon O. Underwood (Hollywood Sunday - Race 8):
An interesting sprint over the cushion features Machismo, a "then" horse that hasn't run since the Dubai Golden Shaheen, and was reportedly a vet scratch on November 5, and Kinsale King, a "now" horse that took advantage of a speed-favoring Pro-Ride strip to pull off a 61-1 shocker with a 101 Beyer (90 point increase) in an entry-level optional claimer.  Both of these geldings have good early speed so I'm looking at a stalker or closer to pick up the pieces late.  Talkin to Mom Roo was twice a victim of Zensational's lone speed in Grade 1 races over the summer, and he'll now go turf to synthetic after an even performance going down the hill at Santa Anita.  The last time Talkin to Mom Roo tried the turf to synthetic move, he finished second by a nose with a 99 Beyer over this track (also switching from a down the hill turf race), and he earned a 104 Beyer winning an allowance race at Hollywood on July 12.  He draws a cozy outside post, switches to hot-riding Joe Talamo, and may work out a good stalk and pounce trip.

Back Monday with weekend Beyers and recap, and answers to questions and comments.

Best of luck,

Dan

blackstone More than 1 year ago
p ensign I don't see Mike A's bet yesterday as having much to do with luck at all. I think it was a terrific analysis and great bet, especially the exacta: 1.Lone speed 2.Highest last out BSF, when combined with lone speed is often deadly 3.Every report so far has mentioned how speed is holding this year at Holly 4.Competition was weak-Noble Court's workouts, especially for Sadler, were really slow: Delta Storm coming out of the BC was a reasonable "bet against" (plus I think he may have lost some will to win): the other horses really didn't offer much, IMO 5.Most important-the odds were great. Did I bet the 1? No-Delta Storm for me-very uninspiring. I just re-looked at everything after the race-to me, a missed opportunity.
Annie More than 1 year ago
Keith L, LOL!! Gee, wait until the Minnesota women start coming out of the woodwork. He was here you know. :) Geez, I've never heard of golf groupies before. Maybe it's because of those funny pants some of them wear. :) Annie
ray flack More than 1 year ago
To Dan, one and all: Thanks for everything. I will be out of the loop until Wednesday. Do I need to pick a race before that?
Van Savant More than 1 year ago
tinky; I am sure that you have read this article: http://www.drf.com/news/article/109381.html If not, I would appreciate it if you would do so, and comment accordingly. Thank you in advance.
Annie More than 1 year ago
Virgin Queen, Thanks, but it could have been a disastrous day. Ibboyee stumbled badly coming out of the gate and Cloudy's Knight had to re-rally. I'm glad I didn't see either of those races. Those were the two I was counting on the most. That's not the only disadvantage to playing early and leaving the track. A good example of the value of watching the toteboard in So. Cal yesterday was the 7th race. I had looked at the live odds of the race at the very start of wagering, and this Captain Kali was favored over my horse, Malibu Canyon. He was 8-1 on the M/L and all of a sudden he was the favorite. Now you know the crowd doesn't all decide to start betting an 8-1. I look at the entries and see Mullins and the new guy Valdez (always makes me thing of Juan Valdez, the coffee guy when I see his name). Anyway, money starts pouring in on Malibu Canyon, so he becomes the favorite. If I had been at the track, I would have waltzed up to the window and bet Captain Kali, after all this is Mullins. :) Of course, the horse wins by 7. Missed opportunity there, but that's the way it goes, at least in So. Cal. Annie
Annie More than 1 year ago
Hairy, Good to see you back! I thought you would like to play again this year. I've got you on the list. Good luck! Annie
Keith L. More than 1 year ago
Annie: I heard this morning no less a tabloid rag then the NY Times has the count up to nine (9) now:(unconfirmed...there may be some redboarding going on there with a few of those). Thankfully, no one has come forward to say they have a "little Tiger in their tank". Now that would get expensive.
Steve T. More than 1 year ago
I got a load error on the Handigambling spreadsheet with the URL Cayman posted, so here it is again: http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0Al3a-2Lsqg-udDBCZlg4eTlVSW5FeWE4cUJpRHhnR1E&hl=en
Keith L. More than 1 year ago
Mike A: Whistling past the graveyard" is what youngsters who are a bit in need of pumping up their courage do when passing by the scary places. I'm willing to go out on a limb and state that of the top five horses coming into the KY Derby, two or three of them will have done their best training on California tracks. When you're looking for your exacta or trifecta wagers 1st Saturday in May, ignore them at your peril, while whistling Dixie.
Calvin L. Carter More than 1 year ago
Whackymacky, My friend LarryK had #11 Rummysecret War to win and place and he also hit the exacta and quinella.