12/04/2013 4:08PM

Some fillies to follow

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UNBRIDLED FOREVER stamped herself as a filly to watch with a fast maiden victory traveling seven furlongs at Churchill Downs on November 30. 

Making her second career start and racing with Lasix for the first time, Unbridled Forever, ridden by Robby Albarado for trainer Dallas Stewart, tracked the leaders while three wide and between horses on the backstretch.  Entering the turn, she attacked favored RESISTIVITY from the outside and took over for good with an eighth of a mile remaining.  Looking professional in the stretch while racing on her right lead, Unbridled Forever drew away under one crack of the whip and stopped the timer in 1:21.91, good enough for a 96 Beyer Speed Figure.

The connections of any juvenile filly with promise at this time of year will obviously look ahead to the Kentucky Oaks in the spring amd Unbridled Forever has the pedigree to indicate she would stay that demanding nine furlong trip. In fact, her dam, Lemons Forever, won that very race in 2006 for Stewart at odds of 46-1. She's by Unbridled's Song and will likely winter at the Fair Grounds.

*Keeping an eye out for these comebackers, hopefully in the near future:

SPELLBOUND, a 3-year-old filly, hasn't raced since finishing fourth to Beholder in the Santa Anita Oaks on April 6. Soon after that race, she underwent surgery to remove a bone chip from an ankle.  Trained by Richard Mandella, Spellbound is entered in Saturday's Grade 2 Bayakoa Handicap at Betfair Hollywood Park.

FLASHY GRAY, a 3-year-old filly trained by Bill Mott, recently returned to serious training after missing time with farious foot issues.  She hasn't raced since finishing second in the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks (97 Beyer) on March 30, but breezed an easy three furlongs in 38.10 at Payson Park on Wednesday morning. 

DECEPTIVE VISION is a full sister to Queen's Plate hero Eye of the Leopard and multiple stakes-winner Hotep (over 700K in earnings).  Trained by Malcolm Pierce, the 3-year-old filly suffered a bruised foot after winning two in a row at Fair Grounds last winter.  More physical ailments followed and she was eventually turned out in Florida.  She had her first work back on Wednesday morning, breezing a half-mile in 51.20 in New Orleans.

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (11/25/13 - 12/1/13):

1. FLAT OUT - 110 - Cigar Mile Handicap (G1) - 1 Mile - Aqueduct
2. PALACE - 104 - Fall Highweight Handicap (G3) - 6 Furlongs - Aqueduct
3. BEN'S CAT - 103 - Fabulous Strike Handicap - 6 Furlongs - Penn National
3. SUMMER HIT - 103 - Berkley Handicap (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Tapeta) - Golden Gate
5. GANTRY - 102 - Thanksgiving Handicap - 6 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
5. TAPTOWNE - 102 - Swatara Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Penn National
7. BEAR NO JOKE - 101 - Kennedy Road Stakes (G2-C) - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
7. WILL TAKE CHARGE - 101 - Clark Handicap (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Churchill
9. LAST GUNFIGHTER - 100 - Hawthorne Gold Cup Handicap (G2) - 1 1/4 Miles - Hawthorne
10. REFLECTED WAY - 99 - Alw 38600N2R - 1 Mile - Parx
10. SILENTIO - 99 - Citation Handicap (G2) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood
10. WILD DUDE - 99 - Alw 53858N1X - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
13. WEDDING TOAST - 98 - Comely Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Aqueduct
14. EGG DROP - 97 - Matriarch Stakes (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood
14. SAME CROSS - 97 - OC 62k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - Fair Grounds
16. MAJESTIC STRIDE - 96 - Vernon O. Underwood Stakes (G3) - 6 Furlongs (Cushion Track) - Betfair Hollywood
16. UNBRIDLED FOREVER - 96 - Md Sp Wt 40k - 7 Furlongs - Churchill
18. LONG RIVER - 95 - Time for a Change Stakes - 1 Mile - Aqueduct
18. OL WINEDRINKER WHO - 95 - ZIa Park Distance Championship Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Zia
18. SHOW ME THE WAY - 95 - Clm 16000(16-14)N3L - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Parx
18. WINE PRINCESS - 95 - Falls City Handicap (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - Churchill
22. EDEN PRAIRIE - 94 - Pago Hop Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Fair Grounds
22. SPA CITY FEVER - 94 - OC 62k/N2X - 1 Mile - Aqueduct
24. KNIGHTS NATION - 93 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Churchill
24. MAJOR HIGHWAY - 93 - OC 40k/N3X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Parx
24. ROYAL LAHAINA - 93 - Go For Wand Handicap (G2) - 1 Mile - Aqueduct
24. SEEK AGAIN - 93 - Hollywood Derby (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Betfair Hollywood

*FLAT OUT's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Arizona Wildcat/Steve T and Dan,
Thanks to you both for the physical handicapping document. I would also like to add another poster child to your "trouble lines" and their impact, Al Khali. This horse is absolutely uncanny at finding trouble. It doesn't matter if he is inside or outside, way back or mid pack. Trouble finds him constantly. (Incidently, he was the "Giant Oak" of Jim Tully) I think that this horse is typical of many large, long strided Dynaformers, Rock Hard Tens and Giant's Causeways, they just aren't really nimble if they end up steadied or bottled up.
So, Dan, could you please post the PPs of Al Khali so everyone can see the race comments? Thanks in advance.
Turnbackthealarm

AL KHALI's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.


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Dan,
We were really lined up for Black Onyx in the Kentucky Derby and he scratched the day before. They said on May 25th he had an ankle chip but after more xrays Breen said it was a hairline fracture and would need 6 weeks or so and then they would start him back working. Well it is November and there has been no word on him at all. Any ideas of what is going on with him?
AZ Wildcat


Interestingly enough, he breezed three furlongs on turf Wednesday morning at Palm Meadows. Clocker Michael Vesce tweeted "Black Onyx back on worktab since pre Derby. Nice 3F work on the grass" while colleague Bruno DeJulio tweeted "Just watched Black Onyx have 1st work at PMM on turf, around dogs at 12 feet, for Kelly Breen- 3/8 in 37.3 on my watch out 5f in 104.2...Black Onyx went  last furlong on grass in good 11.3, galloped out well over pristine turf course, all times unofficial off our own watch."

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Friends,

It looks as if we'll have our annual FormBlog Convention at Gulfstream Park early next year.  For more details, head on over to Laura's excellent website

http://ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com/Formblog.html

It's always a blast so come on out if you can.


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The weekend handicapping previews should be available on the site soon.


You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman


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Congrats to Biggar W. for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling contest.


Rick M's HandiGambling scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.


Let's go with Friday's eighth race at Aqueduct for this week's exercise.


PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.


Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.

PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

Best of luck to all.

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

***FROM SCOREKEEPER PENN NATIONAL RICK***

I read some entries on here and there are some people who put their heart out on their picks(such as DavidM9999) and give you great analysis on who they like and why and then there are others who elect not to give any reasoning behind their entries. The rule I will implement EFFECTIVE 3/1/13 will be... any entry without ANY analysis will be ignored. We are not asking you to put out a novel, but again a sentence or two. Also, I will put communication out when Dan puts out new blogs.
My intent is not to be jerk on this, but what's fair is fair. I'm not taking away from this week or past winners regarding all of this, but we do need to make the change.
If you have any questions/concerns...please send an email to FORMBLOG@DRF.COM and it will get forwarded to me.
Thank You!
Rick

AttachmentSize
FLAT OUT.pdf727.25 KB
AL KHALI.pdf768.82 KB
Copy of Formblog Cigar Mile 11-30-13.xls68 KB
HGTOUCHOFLOVE.pdf186.54 KB