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Sharp Maiden Winners, Comebackers
Maiden winners KITTY WINE and MILE HIGH MAGIC earned big Beyers last week and may be 3-year-olds to follow down the road.
The former, a daughter of Lemon Drop Kid, scored second-out for trainer Eddie Kenneally while making her first appearance on grass. She was stretching out a whopping 3 1/2 furlongs from her debut on February 3, a five-panel maiden special weight that was washed off the turf. Beaten 14 lengths as the favorite that day, Kitty Wine improved greatly around two turns, going gate-to-wire and scoring by a head in 1:39 3/5 for the 1 1/16 miles. A $27,000 RNA as a yearling, Kitty Wine earned a 94 Beyer. She is a half-sister to Atwell, who placed in the Jersey Derby on grass in 2008. The dam (by Devil's Bag), a multiple stakes-placed sprinter on dirt, is a three-quarter sister to stakes-winner Strodes Creek (finished second in the 1994 Kentucky Derby and third in that year's Belmont Stakes).
MILE HIGH MAGIC scored at Santa Anita for (who else?) Bob Baffert in a 6 1/2 furlong maiden special weight on the dirt. The gelded son of Roman Ruler finished second at 4-5 odds in his career debut on February 4 after breaking awkwardly, but was into the race quicker this time around. Again the odds-on favorite, Mile High Magic pressed fractions of 21 3/5 and 43 3/5 before drawing off to win by 5 1/4 lengths in 1:14 2/5 for 6 1/2 furlongs. He earned a 94 Beyer and his second dam, Silverbulletday, was a star. Silverbulletday won 15 of 23 races for $3,093,027 in earnings and was victorious in such Grade 1 events as the Kentucky Oaks, Gazelle Handicap, Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies, Ashland Stakes and the Alabama Stakes.
*Good to see some quality horses successfully return from lengthy layoffs.
SOLDAT, last year's Fountain of Youth winner that was plagued by tender feet since finishing eleventh in the 2011 Kentucky Derby, scored on his return to turf at Gulfstream on March 4. Soldat has never been off the board in four races on grass and gives trainer Kiaran McLaughlin plenty of options as to the nature of this year's campaign.
DOUBLES PARTNER, a son of Rock Hard Ten out of a full sister to the great Serena's Song, won the Grade 3 Canadian Turf Handicap in his first start in almost ten months. Trained by Todd Pletcher, Doubles Partner might have Grade 1 grass ability. The key is keeping him sound.
PANTS ON FIRE, the 2011 Louisiana Derby winner, got the better of DIALED IN, last year's Florida Derby hero, in a one-mile optional claimer at Gulfstream. Pants On Fire, unraced since finishing fifth in the Haskell due to foot issues, earned a career-best 97 Beyer. Dialed In, making his first start since running fourth in the Preakness, finished an even fourth as the stick.
TECH FALL, making his first start since finishing fourth in the Grade 2 Dwyer in July, handled muddy going just fine in his 4-year-old debut over the Aqueduct inner track. Trained by Tony Dutrow, Tech Fall was making his first appearance with blinkers and received a career-best 96 Beyer Speed Figure.
MILLIONREASONSWHY, a 3-year-old filly trained by Nacho Correas, might be an underrated youngster. A winner in three of four races, Millionreasonswhy took the Wide Country Stakes at Laurel. It was her first race since finishing second (by a neck) to champion MY MISS AURELIA in the Grade 2 Adirondack Stakes at Saratoga. Millionreasonswhy earned a career-top 93 Beyer in the Wide Country.
No sweat for IT'S TRICKY in the Grade 2 Top Flight Handicap over a tiring surface at Aqueduct on March 3. Her race came before the track was harrowed and It's Tricky had to work a little bit to overtake pacesetter LOVE AND PRIDE. Last year's Acorn and Coaching Club American Oaks winner got the job done, however, and it looks like it's on to bigger and better for Kiaran McLaughlin.
Here are the top 25 winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week's races (2/27/12 - 3/4/12):
1. CALIBRACHOA - 111 - Tom Fool Handicap (G3) - 6 Furlongs (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
2. RON THE GREEK - 105 - Santa Anita Handicap (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - Santa Anita
3. ITALIAN RULES - 101 - OC 80k/C - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
4. OLYMPIST - 100 - Clm c-15000 - 1 Mile - Gulfstream
5. CEASE - 98 - Maxxam Gold Cup Handicap - 1 1/8 Miles - Sam Houston
5. DOUBLES PARTNER - 98 - Canadian Turf Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream
5. W. W.'S LADY'S MAN - 98 - Hcp 25000s - 6 Furlongs (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
8. PANTS ON FIRE - 97 - OC 80k/C -N - 1 Mile - Gulfstream
9. FORT LARNED - 96 - Challenger Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Tampa Bay
9. TECH FALL - 96 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
11. EDEN'S MOON - 95 - Las Virgenes Stakes (G1) - 1 Mile - Santa Anita
11. HANSEN - 95 - Gotham Stakes (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
11. MR GRUFF - 95 - Joe Hernandez Handicap - About 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
11. WELL POSITIONED - 95 - OC 75k/N3X - 1 Mile 70 Yards (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
11. WILLYCONKER (Ire) - 95 - Frank E. Kilroe Mile Stakes (G1) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Santa Anita
16. CAT IN THE FOREST - 94 - Soc 50000N1X - 6 Furlongs (Inner Track) - Aqueduct
16. INSPIRED - 94 - Ladies Turf Sprint - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Gulfstream
16. JOY BOY - 94 - OC 40k/N1X -N =- 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
16. KITTY WINE - 94 - Md Sp Wt 46k - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
16. MILE HIGH MAGIC - 94 - Md Sp Wt 57k - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Santa Anita
21. CONCORDE'S FLIGHT - 93 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Gulfstream
21. MILLIONREASONSWHY - 93 - Wide Country Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Laurel
21. NINJA BLADE - 93 - Alw 42500N1X - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Gulfstream
21. SILVER CRAFT - 93 - Clm c-(18-16) - 6 Furlongs - Hawthorne
21. SKIPSHOT - 93 - Alw 41070NC - 1 Mile (Tapeta) - Golden Gate
21. SOLDAT - 93 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Gulfstream
*CALIBRACHOA'S lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
*OLYMPIST was claimed for $15,000 by trainer Joseph Catanese III from Peter Walder.
*SILVER CRAFT was claimed for $18,000 by trainer Roger Brueggemann from Wayne Catalano.
Re HG: Is there a spreadsheet where we can record our results?
We don't currently have a spreadsheet for the HandiGambling results as it takes some effort from tencentcielo, myself and SR Vegas to tabulate the scores. One of the bloggers could easily create one if there was overwhelming support for the idea.
Hi Dan: thought my question on last thread might get lost in the shuffle - here's the gist. I purchase a hard copy of the DRF for $6-7. I have all the races I can play at my simulcast, often from up to 8 or more tracks, but with wagering on a select few races from some of the tracks. There's no reasonable way to purchase these online, as all purchases require that a full card be purchased from each track. Most publishers charge LESS for soft copy versions of their printed matter, but the DRF seems to do exactly the opposite. I understand there are a couple of quarterly or annual packages that reduce the cost considerably, but don't understand why a standalone purchase for a day can't be set up. I know you're not responsible, but wondered if you could get an answer or two from somewhere as to why it's not possible to just offer the whole regional simu-card, perhaps even at a slight discount, as it actually will save the cost of paper, ink and distribution. (This comes up as the price has been raised again, and as I continue to look at Los Alamitos pps which I have no desire to own.) appreciate the help, as always.
I forwarded your questions to customer service and here's what I got in reply:
"Based on our costs putting a newspaper edition together online would not be cost effective for us.
We are working on developing a ‘create a card’ product that will allow you to choose the types of races you want to play and put together your own card.
You may want to look at a longer term plan where the cost per card is much less thereby making the overall cost of the daily PP’s comparable to what you pay when you buy the paper. You also can choose the tracks you specifically want to play.
Los Alamitos is a popular track in California and editorial feels it’s important to include it in the West Coast edition."
Hope this helps.
Dan: I'm confused on the Top 25 Beyers you posted, and the time period of such 2/6-2/12. If you have such as Union Rags from the 2/26 race,, what happened to Mark Valeski;s figs on the 2/25 date, not a higher fig than Union Rags;s number for his nose finish behind the 98 given to El Padrino?
I post the top 25 WINNING Beyers for the week. Mark Valeski finished second behind El Padrino so his number isn't included.
Congrats to jimi for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise. Let's go with Thursday's ninth race at Gulfstream for the next race.
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE, PLEASE CONTACT CSERVICE2@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE AND THEN POST THE NEXT WEEK'S RACE SELECTION DIRECTLY TO THE BLOG.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog. PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Best of luck to all.
I'll be heading down to Gulfstream on Thursday for this week's FormBlog Convention. Laura has done a great job in setting up the event and I can't wait to see everyone in person. If you haven't made plans yet and want to stop on by and say HI, contact Laura at her excellent website http://ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com/Formblog.html
REDO $100 Exacta 9/1 ===================YOGI+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Yogi AP Indy Exacta. That doesn't need any 'splanation. $100 9/3
For those unable to attend the Formblogger's Convention - join us via video conference on the computer! You'll have the ability to either chat via video or for those of you who are shy, you can join in via text. The formblogger's schedule and instructions on using the conferencing software (nothing to download) will be available late tonight or tomorrow afternoon, once I can get the stronaching thing to work. Meanwhile, the Event Schedule is available at the IMT website (http://www.ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com) Join us for our morning handicapping round table of the GP card at noon on Saturday & Sunday. We'll have a Formblogger race named for us on Sunday. I'm not sure which race it will be, but I'll let you know so ya'll can look for us! Laura PS - Chalky is visiting Florida. She wanted to sign up for "Weasels Gone Wild" but parry-pooper Daddy Alan wouldn't allow it. Her next idea is to hold the HRTV guys hostage and take over the broadcast on Saturday. That is, if I can pry her away from the Tiki Bar...
Suheil, Free WIFI at the tracks? Are you kidding? That might actually attract a younger demographic. Why not just keep doing the free 30 cent tee shirt giveaways...That really brings in the new fans....
HG 273 $10 TRI BOX - 6-7-9 = $60.00 $1 SUPER BOX 6-7-9-10 = $24.00 $8 EX BOX 7-9 =$16.00 No 7 Self Control looks to be the top choice, but then again, in his last race, he deadheated for second with #9 E. H. Indy. But because of running styles, it appears that #7 has a slight edge. No 9 E. H. Indy deadheated with 7 last time out for second, question is will the extra half furlong give him the edge because of his late running style? No 10 Devon Rock was the fourth place finisher in the race that saw 7 and 9 deadheat for second. and since it appears that he is the only other horse to have achieved a beyer of at least 90, going to throw him in the pot for a piece of it. No 6 Eye On Jacob leaves a lot of questions for being in this race. Can he bring his west is best coast competitiveness to the East and does Pletcher have him ready? Getting a bullet for a workout where only 10 trained at that distance that day isn't the strongest indicator, but then again, it is a bullet and he carries it into the race and turns over those 12 second furlongs, he'll get a piece of it just as he did in all others except the last one. Others have some opportunity, but it's hard to give a runner a chance when they haven't broke a Beyer 80, or in the low 80's. No 3 Believe in A.P. is hard to pass up with his second in a Grade 2, but then again that was almost a year and a half ago. and coming back off an eight month layoff and running in the mid 70's in a similarly situated race doesn't give much hope for improvement after another eight month layoff and returning to face essentially the same.. Good luck to all. Esquire Ray
Correcting for a scatch, I still make E.H. Indy the winner because of the added distance, and the bullet WO over Self Control, the likely favorite he deadheated with last time. HG $54 win # 9 $2 exactas, 9/1,6,7,8. ($8) $1 tri's, 9/1,6,7,8/1,6,7,8. ($12) $1 sf.'s 9/1,6,7,8/1,6,7,8/1,6,7,8. ($24) Thanks, Belvedere
Revised picks for the Handi 273 $4.00 triple box 2-4-8-9 = $96 $4.00 superfecta 7-9-2-4
HG 273 This race is an AP Indy (Slew) reunion of wannabees who have never seen the winner circle twice. Several have a shot this time but I have narrowed those to two: The #9--E. H. Indy, who was in a DH last out with #7--Self Control. EH closed better and apparently faster so I think he will hit the camera's light first, along with outsider #8 Bombaguia,who also showed a closing kick in his last. He will be on the dirt for his second consecutive race. These two are my keys in my wager: $2 SUPER : 8,9/7,8,9,10/7,8,9,10/1,5,6,7,8,10. This is $92. A $4 exacta 9-8. Good luck to all. STUCKINARIZONA
HG (revised) SCRATCH 3,10 $100 exacta 6-1
Big Shout Out to All Gulfstream Formbloggers! I can't wait to meet everyone. A little bird told me that Chalky has landed.