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Scanning the work tabs
By Dan Illman
Let's take a look at a few interesting horses that have been recently spotted on the morning tab.
*KOBE'S BACK won his career debut as the 9-5 favorite in the Willard Proctor Memorial Stakes at Betfair Hollywood Park on June 15. Trained by John Sadler, the gray 2-year-old colt bled in that race and then missed the entire summer with sore knees. A son of Flatter that sold for $480,000 in March (originally a $60,000 yearling), Kobe's Back is a half-brother to Grade 3 sprint winner Well Spelled. His second work since the injury came on Wednesday morning as he drilled a half-mile in 48.80. Perhaps we will see him at Santa Anita this fall, but a run at Betfair Hollywood Park seems more likely.
*5-year-old ROGUE ROMANCE hasn't raced since a close fourth-place finish (beaten two lengths) in the Grade 1 Stephen Foster Handicap on June 16, 2012. The injury-plaged son of Smarty Jones has been sidelined by a fractured right front foot and has worked sparingly since mid-July for trainer Ken McPeek. On Tuesday morning, Rogue Romance breezed a bullet five furlongs in 1:02.20 at the Mercury Equine Center. The winner of the Grade 3 Bourbon Stakes on turf at Keeneland in 2010, Rogue Romance may return at Keeneland or Churchill Downs this autumn.
*MAYBE SO, unbeaten after two starts at two last year, breezed a bullet half-mile in 48.00 at Keeneland on Wednesday morning. An 88-Beyer winner of his career debut at Churchill Downs, Maybe So then took the $100,000 Mountaineer Juvenile Stakes before being shelved with a fractured tailbone. He's been working right along for trainer Al Stall and may resurface at Keeneland in the next few weeks.
*HEAR THE GHOST appeared well on his way down the Kentucky Derby trail after upsetting favored Flashback in the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita on March 9. Unfortunately, the gelding missed the spring classics with a knee injury. Trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, Hear the Ghost worked on Tuesday morning, going three furlongs in 37.20 handily at Golden Gate.
*FLASHBACK, trained by Bob Baffert, finished second in the Santa Anita Derby before going to the bench with a right knee chip. He worked a half-mile in 48.20 handily at Santa Anita on Monday morning.
*Remember PURE FUN? The winner of the Grade 1 Hollywood Starlet last year at Betfair Hollywood Park hasn't raced since a sixth-place performance in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks at Churchill Downs on May 3. She breezed five furlongs in 1:01.60 at Churchill on Monday morning as she attempts to return from an ankle chip.
*BRIGHT THOUGHT ever so briefly held the world record for 1 1/2 miles on turf with a 2:22.72 clocking in the San Luis Rey Stakes on March 16. Trained by Jorge Gutierrez, the 4-year-old missed the spring and summer with a splint bone injury, but he worked three furlongs in 37.00 at Santa Anita on Sunday morning.
Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (9/16/13 - 9/22/13)
1. IMMORTAL EYES - 108 - Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash - 6 Furlongs - Laurel
2. CLUSTER OF STARS - 106 - Gallant Bloom Handicap (G2) - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont
3. WILL TAKE CHARGE - 105 - Pennsylvania Derby (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles - Parx
4. KINGSFORD DRIVE - 101 - OC16k/SAL16k - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
5. BEN'S CAT - 98 - Laurel Dash - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Laurel
5. BIG SCREEN - 98 - Who's to Pay Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
7. THE PIZZA MAN - 97 - Illinois Owners Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Arlington
8. BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS - 96 - Ralph M. Hinds Handicap - 1 1/8 Miles - Barretts at Fairplex
9. CITY OF WESTON - 95 - Gallant Bob Stakes (G3) - 6 Furlongs - Parx
9. SAILOR'S REVENGE - 95 - Alw 97500N1X - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Parx
9. SUNS OUT GUNS OUT - 95 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Parx
12. BURN THE MORTGAGE - 94 - OC 62k/N2X - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Churchill
12. DEFENSE ARTICLE - 94 - OC 16k/N1X -N - 7 Furlongs - Calder
12. GEEKY GORGEOUS - 94 - New Jersey Breeders Handicap - 6 Furlongs - Monmouth
12. HAZARDS OF LOVE - 94 - Alw 10000s - 1 1/16 Miles - Churchill
12. PHIL'S DREAM - 94 - Overskate Stakes - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
12. STAR CHANNEL - 94 - OC c-62k/N2X - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
18. CENTRIQUE - 93 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Calder
18. CLOSE HATCHES - 93 - Cotillion Stakes (G1) - 1 1/16 Miles - Parx
18. READTHEPROSPECTUS - 93 - Spite The Devil Stakes - 1 Mile - Belmont
21. NOTIMETOKILL - 92 - OC12k/SAL10k - 1 1/16 Miles - Calder
21. SHANGHAI BOBBY - 92 - Aljamin Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont
21. STRATHNAVER (GB) - 92 - Lady Baltimore Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Laurel
24. CRACKERJACK JONES - 91 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Belmont
24. DOWN TOWN ALLEN - 91 - Ann Hilton Handicap - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Charles Town
24. FEARSOME - 91 - OC 25k/N2X - 4 1/2 Furlongs - Charles Town
24. FROGGYVILLE - 91 - Clm 16000 - 7 Furlongs - Churchill
24. LEIGH COURT - 91 - La Lorgnette Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Woodbine
24. MISH MOSH - 91 - OC 50k/N2X - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington
24. THESPIAN'S FATE - 91 - OC 62k/C -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
*The lifetime past performances for Immortal Eyes are available at the bottom of this blog post.
*Star Channel was claimed for $62,500 by trainer Gerry Carwood from John Toscano Jr.
When you get the chance, you're definitely going to want to check out "RACEHORSE," the latest production from Jessica Pacheco, racing analyst at Arlington Park.
"Mother Nature causes some trouble when she turns the heat on Broken Bow, but that pales in comparison to what she has in store for Sugar Kate."
More episodes of RACEHORSE can be found on the AP website at:
Just been reading a Racing Post article about Frankie Dettori's very poor Win % since returning from his drug suspension. The article included a statement that "Steve Cauthen once went over 100 rides without a win in America". As a huge fan of Cauthen when he rode over here, that sounds barely credible to me.
Are you able please to verify that statement? If so, are you able to say whether it was at the beginning or end of his career? Surely it wasn't at the height of his powers?
Thanks in advance.
Best Regards - Bernard Downes
Cauthen was mired in a 110-race losing streak at Santa Anita between January 1, 1979 and February 8, 1979. This was less than a year after he piloted Affirmed to the Triple Crown and right before Cauthen decided to ride for Robert Sangster in Europe.
Most horses don't even race 19 times let alone run 19 100+ beyers IN A ROW! That's quite a feat.
Dan (you knew this was coming) will you please post the pp's for Sandpit, Light The Fuse, Star Of Cozzene, Hawksley Hill and Son Of A Pistol? Thanks!
You can find them at the bottom of this blog post.
Another question for Dan - where is Raven's Train? Can we see his PP's? I will buy them this morning but would like the community to see the horse in question. I hope his leg and joint is improved. Maybe he can run without a block.
The horse hasn't worked since early August. Considering his injury history, it's likely he's been sidelined due to further physical problems.
Join Brandon below in thanking you for that successive 100+ Beyer list. Gets me shaky to think I tried to beat Cigar at least a dozen times during that run. Your 6 asterisk notation that Affirmed Success had two separate streaks got me thinking back to one of my very favorite horses. Any chance you might be able to post his PP's next column?
Amazingly enough, AFFIRMED SUCCESS also had a 10-race triple-digit streak that didn't make the cut in my previous list. Even more surprising is that Affirmed Success lost more times than he won during his three streaks. The multiple Grade 1 winner is one of the more underappreciated horses in recent history.
The weekend handicapping videos should be up on the homepage later this week.
You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman
Congrats to Sinatra Jeter for finishing first in the most recent HandiGambling contest.
Rick M's HandiGambling scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.
Sinatra Jeter selects Friday's 4th race at Remington Park for this week's event.
PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
***FROM SCOREKEEPER PENN NATIONAL RICK***
I read some entries on here and there are some people who put their heart out on their picks(such as DavidM9999) and give you great analysis on who they like and why and then there are others who elect not to give any reasoning behind their entries. The rule I will implement EFFECTIVE 3/1/13 will be... any entry without ANY analysis will be ignored. We are not asking you to put out a novel, but again a sentence or two. Also, I will put communication out when Dan puts out new blogs.
My intent is not to be jerk on this, but what's fair is fair. I'm not taking away from this week or past winners regarding all of this, but we do need to make the change.
If you have any questions/concerns...please send an email to FORMBLOG@DRF.COM and it will get forwarded to me.
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.
ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATE THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).
Best of luck to all.
|Triple-digit Beyer Streak.pdf||114.9 KB|
|Raven Train.pdf||656.34 KB|
|Copy of Formblog Gallant Bob 9-21-13.xls||69 KB|
Alan May Puzzles have a speedy and complete recovery from her health issues Dick W
Alan, Many prayers that Puzzles recovers quickly, so the she'll feel better, and her humans too!!! Jeanne
Hmm, if the drugs were for the Sheikh's endurance horses, it seems funny that a spokesman for Princess Haya told the Guardian, "I assure you that Sheikh Mohammed had no knowledge that the drugs were in the cargo of any etc." Annie
Alan, Oh, I'm so sorry to hear that Puzzles has some problems. Breeding and racing can both be very rough some times. I hope you have good news soon. Annie
Government furlough = time for handicapping and for Formblog! Puzzles had a serious setback a week ago. She developed acute colic and was brought by my friends to New Bolton Center. Puzzles underwent emergency surgery and reduction of an ileo-cecal intussusception (essentially telescoping of the small intestine into the large intestine, causing obstruction) and she had a tiny bowel perforation. Puzzle's recovery has been bumpy and we are slowly trying to advance her diet as she also remains on intravenous antibiotics for residual inflammation/infection. Once back home, Puzzles will be confined to her stable for a month. A future racing career is furthest from my thoughts right now. I'll update you with hopefully some good news about my baby filly in a few days. I have been playing with the new Formulator this morning and have a mixed review. It is easier and quicker to navigate in the new version. However the headings take up too much space, more than a 1/3rd of the screen when you include even the basic browser headings. I am looking forward to the future Tablet version. Good luck today!
David, The thing you have to understand about Little Mike is when he isn't ready he won't win.....Grade one or grade three. If you look back at his races from day one you see a horse who lost races he shouldn't have but won most of the big ones. The thing you have to understand about turf horses is they will run as best they can given their physical condition all things being equal. That's why so many folks get beat by horses who come back off extensive layoffs, turf is kinder than dirt, ......Never make the mistake of playing the condition card on turf. Teaks North is a horse who I've made good money with through the years starting with his win at Monmouth in 2010......I've also made good Money with Hangover Kid, but while capable has to be played when all things are right in the world....he's an absolute capable horse.....but not consistent, as his race after the West Point showed.....he needs things to go according to plan....when you run against other capable horses and you aren't leaps and bounds better a slight misstep like him Breaking in the air costs you. Teaks North likes the course....his running well that day figured, Hangover Kid was supposedly stepping up....but anyone who really knows him realized while perhaps not good enough to win he would make a good account of himself. Little Mike showed in the BC last year he didn't need the lead.....he tracked third early....I don't prefer the term "speed" horse while talking turf races.....just frontrunner will do and unless you have a strong headed horse who will not run any other way ( and they will lose alot because of it) like Joe's Blazing Aaron, most horses who run up front through easy fractions will rate. I'll let you in on a secret...in turf racing there is a "Duality".....horse that normally close can and will win wire to wire given circumstances and a weaker field than they are used to. The only constants in turf racing is Joe's Blazing Aaron and Silver Max will go when the bell is rung. Fractions....do you know why most people who bet turf racing lose, some even hating it? It's because they bet those races as if they were on dirt......big mistake. I set times for all classes.....sort of what Beyer does with par times, I'm just better at it..... He makes the money though so I'll give him that one. I'll know by course speed just how good a race is by the time run.....I made a point a few years ago to talk about come home times, given how most turf races are run come homes are important.....but they are relative to what the early fractions are. So while I rate an overall time I also rate the come home by what they did early. Little Mike ran even to the 6f marker but ratcheted up the pace when Skyring came to him.....that quarter was run in 23:2....he made the turn in 24 flat, his jock trying to leave something for the stretch run....they hit the 1 1/4 in 2:00 flat......a respectable come home would have been 12+ but they came home in 11:4....running a 2:11:4....5 lengths slower than the course record with the rail set at zero. Given the layoff and the way the race unfolded it was a forgivable offense to lose 3 lengths in the stretch.....the course speed after looking at all the races that day, the previous and following day I rated the course a tick or two slower than par.....so the time was very good. Now Arlington Million day.....The fractions were slower, but I can not stress enough that the rail was not the place to be that day....anyone who won did so from outside, even if they saved ground early. Scanning all the races ru with the temp rail at 62 feet no one won on the front end, most who did run early didn't hit the board.......No race illustrates this better than the Hatoof stakes. I'm Already Sexy found herself on the lead a few jumps out of the gate, Geroux finding himself on the rail let the jock on Liz Pendens pass him then eased IAS off the rail down the backside....he knows the course.....It made the difference as Liz Pendens couldn't sustain her run on the heavier going. They came home in 23:3....Little Mike Losing 3 or so in the stretch, but considering what other good horses had done that day forgivable.... When you take those two races into consideration and the competition (he had to beat Big Blue Kitten) his chances were very good. 7-1 I didn't like, not coupled with BBK in the exacta. Thinking a horses odds too cheap to take the plunge in the win slot is one thing, thinking his odds don't warrant a play in a gimmick is another.......Mike A
Further to my previous post, it has just been announced that a former Head of the Metropolitan Police is to lead the investigation into that seizure of drugs/medical items. Seems more appropriate than leaving it to the Sheikh's wife. Best Regards - Bernard Downes P.S. Conspiracy alert. The Met Police have a horse division.
PS. I don't necessarily believe that these items were only for the endurance horses, my comment is only that this is what is being "reported". The Guardian also cites some "difficulties" with the investigation and its slowness and incompleteness.
Curt, It is reported that these items were for the Sheik's endurance horses. For a more complete article, either go directly to the The Guardian, UK or Paulick Report has the links. This has been in the British news for at least a few days. In the comment section on the Paulick Report there were some joking posts about how long would it take DRF and other racing publications who are, shall we say, beholden, to certain important racing figures to actually report The Guardian's article. I don't expect their will be any independent investigative reporting from this side of the pond.............
Curtis V, I am really envious of the crystal ball you seem to have in your possession. There is a difficult programme of races in Europe this weekend, perhaps I could borrow it. Either that or you have an intimate knowledge of the horse population in Britain. Every horse is a racehorse??? I think not. Your suspicions(?) may well be right, I am bound to admit that I don't know the exact details of the case, but in this Country you are innocent until proven guilty, and I have neither seen or heard any actual evidence linking these items with British horse racing. Do tell what you KNOW. Best Regards - Bernard Downes
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