11/21/2009 12:32AM

Saturday baby race, Advice, etc.

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Dan
Any thoughts on Saturday's 6th race at Aqueduct (a baby race)?  Looks to me like a strong field of many well-meant firsters and a couple of second starters with a chance as well.  I'm trying to like the Hushion horse-#2, Sunrise Smarty because of the very strong connections and Hushion's white-hot streak.  But, the workouts are painfully slow, and I think the M/L of 8 to 1 is a dream.  Still, I'm very tempted.  Thank you in advance.
blackstone

The sixth race at Aqueduct on Saturday looks like a fun race on paper.  It's a maiden special weight for juveniles, and there isn't a ton of form on display. 

I'm not going to go too deep as it looks like a crapshoot, and virtually anything can happen.  I am interested in a pair of runners that may offer some price potential. 

Beckon (#11) has a strong turf pedigree.  The dam was a winner on grass in England at one mile, and she has already thrown Summertime Legacy, a Group 3 winner on turf at two in France going eight furlongs.  Whether this son of Pulpit will flourish going 5 1/2 furlongs in his career debut on the main track is another story, and Kiaran McLaughlin's go-to rider, Alan Garcia, winds up on Rick Violette's runner (#6 - Forward Harch).  Still, I'm intrigued by Beckon's last two workouts.  On November 8, he went 3/100's slower than Quay Lime Guy, a McLaughlin-trained juvenile that graduated in his second lifetime start on November 14 with a 74 Beyer Speed Figure.  On November 17, Beckon went 1/100th faster than McLaughlin's three-year-old Redding Colliery, a colt that just won an entry-level allowance race with an 86 Beyer.  Beckon draws the far outside in this short sprint, but may be worth a small play at 4-1 odds or greater. 

Iguazu (#4) figures to be one of the longer shots in the field (15-1 ML).  Trainer Billy Turner is only 1 for his last 28 with debut runners, but he has a history of sending out longshot juvenile debut winners in November at Aqueduct.  On 11/5/06, Turner's firster Play It True blew up the toteboard at 55-1, and 364 days later, it was Ocean Goddess making a winning debut for the barn at 28-1.  Over the last five year's Turner's juvenile debut runners in maiden special weight sprints at Aqueduct at 2-5 (40%) with a $34.40 ROI.  Iguazu's gate workout on November 4 matches up with Wirebuster, a four-year-old stablemate that finished second in a $10,000 'n2L' claimer on November 14 with a 76 Beyer. 

Other firsters worth watching are Monsignor (#9), and Make History (#1).  Five Aces (#5) may be the one to watch out of those that have already raced.

***

Dan,
To an aspiring journalist, and one who is particularly fond of horse racing and handicapping, what wisdom can you impart? I am somewhat of an exile among fellow writers on campus (in other words, I am one of only a handful of students who could tell you who Rachel Alexandra is) and I'm in need of some honest advice.  And as a self-proclaimed precocious handicapper, should I pursue handicapping further or am I in need of a lesson in humility?
Thanks,
TheVanGogh

When I first looked over your post, I flashed back to my days at Nova Southeastern University.  I was the Sports Editor for the Nova Knight, but was never very popular with the student-athletes. Instead of covering Lady Knights Volleyball, I wrote articles on the trials and travails of Holy Bull and Cigar.  When one has a readership in the double-digits, as I did, one could get away with that kind of stuff. 

After graduating, I was faced with a difficult decision.  Do I try to follow my passion and look for a job in the horse racing industry?  It seemed like a longshot.  The job market in racing was as thin in 1997 as it is today.  I had a firm offer for a very low-paying internship at Madison Square Garden (with the promise of advancement), as well as an interview for an entry-level position at Sports Eye, a harness racing publication on Long Island. 

On paper, it was a no-brainer.  Take the MSG job, and with some hard work, who knows?  Perhaps, I coulda been the voice of Knicks broadcasts. 

I couldn't do it. 

I loved horse racing too much.  I loved it ever since my father and great-uncle took me to Belmont when I was a four-year-old, and I loved it when I worked backbreaking hours on the backstretch at Yonkers Raceway when I was a teenager. 

If you have a passion, then you owe it to yourself to follow that passion even if it means running into a dead-end. 

I realize that I've been very fortunate.  It seems that each time a door closed, another one opened right up.  I understand that it's not like that for everyone.  
 
What the powers that be in this business fail to understand is that they need to encourage people to join the good fight.  Racing needs enthusiastic, energetic people with a passion for all aspects of the game.  People like you.

My advice to you is to check out this link on the Blood-Horse website:

http://source.bloodhorse.com/bloodhorse/bh_source_online.asp

It's a directory to just about every micro-field in the business.  If journalism or handicapping doesn't work out, what about horse appraisal?  Bloodstock agent?  How about working for one of the big sales companies?  Find one or 20 things that you're interested in, and start sending out those resumes. 

Then, head on over to this link:

http://drf.com/racing_links/links_tracks.html

This will take you to the websites of the racetracks themselves.  Each one should have some employment opportunities.  My advice would be to look for internships at the major venues like Churchill Downs or their affiliates. 

I must stress that if you are to accept this undertaking, be prepared for a long haul.  It's very difficult to get one's foot in the door.  The horse racing industry is a tough nut to crack.  There aren't many opportunities for aspiring handicappers or writers.  Newspapers and magazines are quickly becoming obsolete as the internet age continues to progress.  On-track attendance is down.  Will there be a need for paddock analysts in the far future if no one is there to hear them?

If you really, really love the game, I'd urge you to block out the Reaper that has threatened to put the sickle to the sport for the last 35 years.   Give it a look.  It can't hurt. 

And if you ever need any more advice, your friends at FormBlog are here for you.

***

Dan:  I am giving a mini-seminar and basic handicapping lesson to a group on 12/5.  I was wondering if you could direct me to some audiovisual aids, handouts, or other helpful materials that will help make the class better.  -Steve-

For past performance hand-outs, you could try downloading and printing an old HandiGambling race from one of the prior blogs. 

Head on over to the following link for a detailed explanation on how to read the past performances:

http://drf.com/flash/drf_pp_tutorial.html

To break down the basics of handicapping and wagering, try this link:

http://drf.com/row/fan_ed/DRFFanEd.pdf

Hope this helps.

***

BTW, did Frankel have a protoge? I know Dutrow was closest to him these last couple of years...
vicstu

Tony Dutrow and Chad Brown are among the Dutrow assistants that have found success since venturing out on their own.

***

Dan, any way we can get a "comments" section after drf.com articles?  It would be fun to see what people thought.
Captain Bodgit

The idea has been tossed around in recent meetings.  Perhaps it'll happen next year.

***

Dan
Do you know how I can get the replays from Woodbine?  I don't have a computer betting account, and for complicated reasons I am seldom at the Satellite during the races, so I can't get them in either of those two forums.  I do subscribe to racereplays.com, but for some reason(probably money) they don't carry Woodbine. I would like to play the track because of the large fields and purses, but I don't like to play anything unless I can see the replays. Thank you.
blackstone

Try calracing.com. 
Race replays are available from Woodbine.  Type in the name of a runner, and the replay should pop right up.

***

 Not sure what kind of entries we'll get for next Wednesday. Do we want to move HG to Saturday for next week?
cayman01

Congrats to Bear for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling contest.  Bear gets to select next week's HandiGambling race, but I'd like to suggest one of the graded stakes races for Saturday.  Laura will be holding a chat on her site, and we could discuss the race as one of the topics.  Anyway, good job to all that cashed, and it's up to Bear to select our next race.

Will be back on Tuesday for the weekend recap.

Take care,

Dan