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Saratoga Day 40: 9/1/2014
12:10 pm: Saratoga 2014 comes to a close today with a 10-race card including the G1 Hopeful (race 4), the G3 Saranac (race 9), and a mandatory payout of the pick-6 (races 5 through 10) pool whether or not anyone goes 6 for 6.
The main track is listed as "muddy" after yesterday's downpours, with the turf rated "good." The four grass races on the card will apparently stay there, as the main-track-only entrants have been scratched from the 1st, 3rd, 6th and 9th.
The Hopeful, a showdown between Saratoga Special winner I Spent It and the impressive maiden winner Competitive Edge, and the Saranac are the last of 33 graded stakes at the meeting. Todd Pletcher and Tony Dutrow have each won three of them and will face off with the two favorites in the Hopeful.
Two horses won a pair of Grade 1 races from the 15 at the meeting: Stopchargingmaria (CCA Oaks, Alabama) and Palace (Vanderbilt, Forego.)
Here's the story so far:
1:45 pm: We almost had a Finger Lakes special in the 2nd as 8-1 Mike Ferraro firster Sweet Sweet Afleet turned for home with a clear and windening lead but then she bolted to the outside and Brad's Ruby ($9.80) inherited the lead at the rail. Sweet Sweet Afleet straightened out, got back into it and started to gain on the new leader, but fell about a length short while clearly much the best.
2:15 pm: The Hopeful is being bet like the two-horse race it appears to be on paper, with Competitive Edge 4-5, I Spent It at 6-5 and the rest in double digits. Same in the doubles ($17 vs. $26.80, others $124 and up) and pick-3's ($101 vs. $138, $709 and up on the others.
2:30 pm: Here's the pick-6 play, which I acknowledge is odd-looking, so heavily weighted to C's that it looks like it might tip[ over. On these mandatory-payout days, I go C-heavy since 5/6 might be good enough for the front-end payout. Four logical A's and one of two wacky C's can be enough.
The tradeoff for all those C's is thinning out on the main line, where I have three singles -- the Live Oak entry in the 5th,Ccarpe Diem in the 7th and Ring Weekend in the 9th. Any two of them must win for me to have a chance at 6/6.
3:10 pm: Competitive Edge ($3.30) proved best in a fast-early/slow-late Hopeful, winning a three-way duel through torrid fractions and then pulling clear through a slow final furlong.
Signature Cat, I Spent It and Competitive Edge were stacked across the track in that order from the inside through a quarter in 22.64 and a half in 44.81. SIgnature Car fell back on the turn as Competitive Edge began to get clear and was in front by daylight in 1:10.20. He then needed 13.91 for his final furlong, which will raise stamina questions when he stretches out in distance.
Competitive Edge, purchased in March for $750k by Nancy Favreau and Kathy Psoinos, is a son of Super Saver and the Cape Town mare Magdalena's Choice. He is trained by Todd Pletcher, who sent out Super Saver to win the 2010 Kentucky Derby. I Spent It is also from Super Saver's first crop.
"It's kind of cool that Super savers ran 1-2 in the Hopeful," said Pletcher, who won his 11th Saratoga training title at this stand.
Trainer Tony Dutrow and jockey Javier Castellano said that I Spnt It, who was surprisingly embroiled in the pace after winning his first two starts from off the lead, acted up in the walking ring and the starting gate.
"He freaked in the gate," castellano told reporters. "He lost his mind. He broke out of the gate and he wanted to run off."
Here are the willpays into the 5th, the last leg of the pick-4 and pick-5 and first leg of the pick-6:
3:13 pm: Two gate scratches in the 5th: #3 Freudex and #4 Hidden Warrior. The whole field is now being backed out. In bets where you get moved to the post-time favorite, that will be the 1 entry, now down to 2-5.
3:20 pm: An upset to start the mandatory-payout pick-6 as #9 Curious Cal ($18.40) wired the field and had no trouble holding off Readyheartandsoul, part of a 2-to-5 entry with Shimba, who ran 8th.
4:25 pm: Favorites Live in Joy ($6.30) and Carpe Diem ($3.x0) won the second and third legs of the pick-6, keeping a lot of tickets alive.
Carpe Diem was yet another runninf fool of a 2-year-old for Plether. Sold for $1.6 million in March to a WinStar/Stonestreet partnership, the Giant's Causeway colt was an impressive winner going just 5.5f in his debut. He broke like a shot, dueled with third-timer Louisiana Brown in 21.88 and 44.90, then looked in deep water as 13-1 Albertrani firster Ready for Rye moved up after sitting a perfect trip behind the duel. Carpe Diem was able to find a second gear, pulled away, and won in 1:03.99.
The upcoming 8th, a nine-furlong N1x on the dirt, is one of the toughest races I've seen at the meet. The public seems to agree, making 6 of the 10 entrants virtually co-favored between 9-2 and 6-1.
4:55 pm: Oh well. Thought I was in good shape with Successful Runner and Box Office tracking C J's Awesome into the far turn of the 8th. Then just as it seemed they were going to go by the leader, C J's Awesome spurted away, my two started running backwards, and they managed only 3rd and 4th behind C J's Awesome ($13.00) and Classic Sense.
Congrats to commenter "kevin r," who posted the first comment on today's blog: "One bet today, #8 in the 8th."
5:35 pm: Ring Weekend ($5.10) wore down Smooth Daddy in midstretch and drew off to win the G3 Saranac, the final stakes and penultimate race of the meet.
Ring Weekend has a very promising future on the grass. He was a fine second to Tourist last time out and was just as good today, relaxing in fourth place at the inside and then running down a loose leader when it was time. The Tapit gelding, who won the Tampa Bay Derby and was 5th in the Preakness earlier this year, is owned by St. Elias and West Point and is trained by Graham Motion.
Here are the willpays into the finale. Unfortunately, everyone is covered for 6 of 6 in the pick-6:
6:05 pm: Capital City, beaten 21 lengths in his first start at the meet, rallied up the inside to win the finale at 13-1 and complete a $53k pick-6.
That's all, folks. Belmont opens Friday; first post 1:05 pm. Thank you all for your patience as I got my feet back under me during the meet, and for all your kind comments today. I hope you enjoyed playing Saratoga and playing along as much as I did.
steve, it was great to have you blogging but even better to know that your health allowed you to want to blog. i'm sure you are not currently smoking but not smoking and being ok with not smoking are two different things. i speak from experience. overall i smoked for about 22 years. i quit numerous times. i hated not smoking. i was miserable to be around. then in 1991 i tried hypnosis. it was like magic. 6/11/1991. i have not even wanted another cigarette since. i feel pity for those still smoking. if you are good with not smoking then ignore this. if not then try hypnosis. i lived in boston until 1987. trips to saratoga were just a part of summer. since moving to florida i have only been back twice. i experience saratoga through your blog. continue to get better and hopefully we can both get back to the spa next year.
Well another 'summer at the Spa' has come to an end. Once again, 'enjoyed your blog all season.' Best wishes for a continued and strong and healthy recovery. Will be looking forward to next year's Spa meet & your blog. Ok, "close the door on your way out and don't forget to turn out the lights ......." B Bart.
Steve, I haven't posted in a while. I had a huge score in the Derby (42,000) and I have gotten CRUSHED ever since. So, I have been hiding under a rock.,I did just want to mention how sad I am that I will no longer hear Durkins voice at Saratoga. The first time I ever went (single, no kids and adventurous) I rember Durkin's call on the first winner I ever had at Saratoga. This horse enabled me to stay three additional days and it was one of the greatest vacations of my life. You are also part of the fabric up there. Please get well. The dogs need you out and about.
Steve: Thanks for extending yourself so much for all of us, it really adds to to the Saratoga fun. Hope to hear from you soon. Remember, don't worry, be happy. Good advice for us all.
I should realize to copy your plays from closing weekend at Saratoga sine you always seem to hit one of the last Pick 6s ... May the horse be with you!
Good blogging Steve, continue on the recovery road and get well. Hug a greyhound or two as well as a Mrs. blog and get set for a fall Belmont meet. As the great Tom Durkin heads off to Italy for a vacation lets give a big shout out to John Imbriale as this had to be a tough meet for him and he did his steadfast best with a solid performance.
In the impossible words of Thelonius Monk, "just because you’re not a drummer doesn’t mean you don’t have to keep time." Summer is done. Thanks to Steve and frank r. Ciao to Tom Durkin.
I certainly appreciate your integrating yourseft into my Saratoga meet experience on an annual basis. This blog, the Talking Horses segments with Little Andy, the welcoming voice of Tom Durkin, and this year actually getting back to the Spa, experiencing Hatties, The Shake Shack, sitting down where the old Carrousel used to be, staying in the town of Malta, eating breakfast in the Malta Diner and dinner while watching the early changes and race replays, all make Saratoga such a special place to be. I appreciate the poster who added the links to the YouTube pieces. I traveled up 9 to Crescent, to Nelson myself, and can now relive that experience. Continued progress Steve, get well, get back to the Spa next summer, and hopefully then we will have daily updates/insights from you. Thank you very much!!!
I am very happy you are feeling better...you are an intregal part of the Saratoga experience....looking forward to seeing you again at the track next year...rumors are the meet will be expanded ..July 4th to Labor Day ...:)