07/29/2013 12:29PM

Saratoga Day 10: July 29, 2013

Email

12:30 pm: Beautiful sunny day, fast and firm for Day 10, which features the G2 Honorable Miss Stakes and a two-day $330,088 pick-6 carryover.

It struck me as a relatively manageable sequence, with no 2-year-old races full of firsters or completely inscrutable races. I'll be playing. Here are my horse-by-horse notes, and I'll be back to post my play around 2:30 pm.

 

 

1:45 pm: Chalky start to the day as Madris ($4.20) and Wedding Toast ($5.30) combined for an $11.20 early double. Wedding Toast, a Darley homebred by Street Sense, may have a stakes future: She was making only her second career start and stretching out from a debut 2nd at 6.5f to 9f. While she got a soft lead through 6f in 1:13.14, she ran strongly thereafter, finishing with 3f in 36.05 for a final time of 1:49.19.

2:45 pm: Okay, here's the play. More C's than usual because I feel pretty good about the A's, and thought maybe there was a likelier-than-usual possibility of getting home 5 A's and one goofy horse.

And hey, I can't be totally dead after the first leg.

 

3:20 pm: Ugh. Hyman Roth at 7-2 was not the kind of goofy C I was hoping for. Didn't like him at all, down to an all-A 2x2x1x2x2. Feels like Hyman was bigger than 7-2 in multirace bets -- early pick-4 paid $2,538, more than triple the parlay.

4:25 pm: Huge dq in the 7th, probably knocking a bunch of people out of the pick-6, as 6-5 Ultimate Empire finished first but was taken down for bothering runner-up Jade Run ($17.00). It's not only the difference between a 6-5 fave and a 7-1 fifth choice, but also that Ultimate Empire was one of the few potential "singles" on the card. In my opinion, it was a legit dq but for those who got knocked out, it's a tough way to lose. Too early to be thinking triple-carry, but one really wacky horse in the last three legs could do it.

5:30 pm: After triumphs by 4-5 fave Dance to Bristol in the G2 Honorable Miss, and 8-5 fave Revenue in the 9th, 6 of the 11 in the finale are covered, at payoffs ranging from $53k to $505k. If one of the five uncovered horses wins, it's a $1 million carryover to Wednesday.

6:15 pm: Favored Typhoon Teri ($6.70) lasted over uncovered 26-1 You Take the Cake to complete the $53,212 pick-6 to 19 winners instead of a $1 million carry to Wednesday.

I'm driving back to Hempstead tomorrow, will watchand blog  the races from there Wednesday and Thursday, and be back with Mrs. Blog and the greyhounds in tow Friday.