07/24/2013 12:42PM

Royal Delta, Spa Winning Posts

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ROYAL DELTA needed a win. 

After a fairly awful performance in the Dubai World Cup and a flat runner-up effort in the Fleur de Lis Handicap, a race she dominated in 2012, even Royal Delta's staunchest supporters had to wonder if she still held the same oomph that led her to consecutive Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic triumphs.

Question answered with authority.

Royal Delta made quick work of her four overmatched rivals in the Grade 1 Delaware Handicap last week, successfully defending her crown by 10 3/4 lengths with a 105 Beyer Speed Figure.  Racing without Lasix, Royal Delta immediately grabbed the front under Mike Smith and was never challenged.  She completed the 10 furlongs in 2:02.04 "in handy fashion".  Before we get too excited about her resurgence, handicappers must note that she didn't exactly defeat the creme de la creme of the division and she raced on an unpressured lead throughout.  It's likely that they'll make her run at some point in her next race so perhaps there is still some money to be made by playing against her.  Still, it's nice to see her perform at a high level at an age when most champion females are living the broodmare life.

*ALSVID isn't a household name, but he ran the race of his career in a solid optional claimer at Prairie Meadows.  Traveling six furlongs, Alsvid scored by 16 lengths with a 109 Beyer while under a motionless Ken Tohill.  Alsvid may attempt stronger company next time, but it's also possible he'll attempt to defend his titles in both the Vance Memorial and Remington Park Sprint Cup in Oklahoma.  Either way, he's an "under the radar" sprinter to watch.

*RENEESGOTZIP returned from knee surgery to overwhelm a very good group of allowance horses at Del Mar.  She's super quick, but failed to switch leads in the stretch.  Although vanquished, EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE gave a good effort in her first start following a very long layoff for Bob Baffert.

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures (7/15/13 - 7/21/13):

1. ALSVID - 109 - OC 35k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - Prairie Meadows
2. RENEESGOTZIP - 105 - Alw 88310C - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar
2. ROYAL DELTA - 105 - Delaware Handicap (G1) - 1 1/4 Miles - Delaware
4. NIGHT MANEUVER - 104 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
4. PRINCESS OF SYLMAR - 104 - Coaching Club American Oaks (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
6. SAGE VALLEY - 103 - James Marvin Stakes (G3) - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
7. HERBIE D - 100 - Mt. Rainier Handicap - 1 1/16 Miles - Emerald
8. WIREDFORTWOTWENTY - 99 - Clm 40000(40-35) - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar
8. STRONG IMPACT - 99 - Fiddlers Patriot Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Saratoga
10. AMBERJACK - 98 - New York Derby - 1 1/16 Miles - Finger Lakes
10. MARRIEDTOTHEMUSIC - 98 - OC35k/SAL35k - 6 Furlongs - Saratoga
12. GOOD LORD - 97 - Don Bernhardt Stakes - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Ellis
12. WICKED TUNE - 97 - OC 40k/N2X - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Delaware
14. AUTHENTICITY - 96 - Shuvee Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Saratoga
14. SMASH AND GRAB - 96 - Clm 30000(30-25)B - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
16. AGENT DI NOZZO - 95 - Golden Bear Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Indiana
16. JERANIMO - 95 - Eddie Read (G1) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Del Mar
16. NEW YAWKER - 95 - Alw 7500s - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Delaware
16. SO LONG GEORGE - 95 - Nijinsky Stakes (G2-C) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
20. MEL BEACH - 93 - OC20k/SAL16k - 6 Furlongs - Calder
20. TALLAHATCHIE LUKE - 93 - Alw 27500N2X - 6 Furlongs - Louisiana
20. WINNING IMAGE - 93 - Sweet and Sassy Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
23. DADDY NOSE BEST - 92 - Alw 45001C - 1 Mile (Turf) - Indiana
23. NEW LINE - 92 - Alw 82000N1X - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga
23. SISTERLY LOVE - 92 - Ontario Matron Stakes (G3-C) - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Woodbine
23. SOI PHET - 92 - OC 25k/N1X -N - 1 Mile (Polytrack) - Del Mar

ALSVID's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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*When you get the chance, you're definitely going to want to check out "RACEHORSE," the latest production from Jessica Pacheco, racing analyst at Arlington Park.  You can find "RACEHORSE" at the following links:

In Episode 5 of RACEHORSE, Sugar Kate tries a new surface when her grass race is moved to the polytrack, and then Crown & Thistle Stable experiences the thrill of running in a Graded Stake for the very first time. Broken Bow tries to rebound after a last place finish and then his owner, Homer Schafer, lets us spend some one-on-one time with the gentle giant.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2PldT-fHP8&feature=youtu.be&a

On the AP site:

http://www.arlingtonpark.com/newsvideosblogs/racehorse-video-series

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Dan,
At Del Mar a Pick 6 player had a winning ticket that could have resulted in a huge payout of $288k to one person, but a claim of foul by another jockey resulted in that winner being dq'ed from first and thus vaulting the 2nd place 28-1 to be the winner creating a carryover.
My question on this is: Should Stewards go on TV and explain to bettors as to why a DQ has been made? The stewards make themselves heard on newspaper/internet articles, but perhaps maybe this gives the bettors some reason on why the change was made. Money is on the line.
Thanks!
Rick M.

I couldn't agree more.  Usually, a slow-motion replay is shown with the track announcer mentioning the infraction but it would be very helpful, and more comforting to bettors, if the stewards went on camera and explained the reasoning for their decision.

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dear dan, I know it's a late start but could you please post the stats for post positions @ Saratoga for the last 3 yrs. dirt route/sprints..turf routes/sprints inner turf /mellon turf thanks dan you & mike r the best
William Eisele

2010-CURRENT:

DIRT SPRINTS:
1. 82-540 (15%)
2. 68-540 (13%)
3. 77-540 (14%)
4. 68-539 (13%)
5. 58-530 (11%)
6. 56-488 (11%)
7. 56-418 (13%)
8. 33-283 (12%)
9. 27-168 (16%)
10. 7-95 (7%)
11. 3-49 (6%)
12. 5-25 (20%)
13. 0-16 (0%)
14. 1-5 (20%)

DIRT ROUTES:
1. 16-125 (13%)
2. 15-125 (12%)
3. 19-125 (15%)
4. 17-124 (14%)
5. 22-121 (18%)
6. 18-104 (17%)
7. 9-64 (14%)
8. 7-38 (18%)
9. 4-21 (19%)
10. 0-10 (0%)
11. 0-7 (0%)

MELLON TURF SPRINTS:
1. 10-148 (7%)
2. 19-148 (13%)
3. 18-148 (12%)
4. 21-148 (14%)
5. 19-148 (13%)
6. 12-148 (8%)
7. 14-143 (10%)
8. 14-135 (10%)
9. 8-100 (8%)
10. 9-61 (15%)
11. 4-22 (18%)
12. 0-14 (0%)

MELLON TURF ROUTES:
1. 19-142 (13%)
2. 19-142 (13%)
3. 16-142 (11%)
4. 16-142 (11%)
5. 18-141 (13%)
6. 11-141 (8%)
7. 15-134 (11%)
8. 10-123 (8%)
9. 8-112 (7%)
10. 3-91 (3%)
11. 5-41 (12%)
12. 2-24 (8%)
13. 0-1 (0%)
14. 0-1 (0%)

INNER TURF ROUTES:
1. 38-273 (14%)
2. 28-273 (10%)
3. 23-273 (8%)
4. 30-273 (11%)
5. 34-273 (12%)
6. 30-271 (11%)
7. 25-261 (10%)
8. 29-238 (12%)
9. 20-194 (10%)
10. 12-116 (10%)
11. 3-35 (9%)
12. 2-23 (9%)

***

The weekend handicapping videos should be up on the homepage later this week.

You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

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Congrats to Spartan Tom for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

Spartan Tom selects Friday's Cougar II Handicap at Del Mar for this week's event.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.

PLEASE GIVE YOUR NAME OR BLOG MONIKER AT THE END OF THE HG PLAY AND/OR ANALYSIS.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

***FROM SCOREKEEPER PENN NATIONAL RICK***

I read some entries on here and there are some people who put their heart out on their picks(such as DavidM9999) and give you great analysis on who they like and why and then there are others who elect not to give any reasoning behind their entries. The rule I will implement EFFECTIVE 3/1/13 will be... any entry without ANY analysis will be ignored. We are not asking you to put out a novel, but again a sentence or two. Also, I will put communication out when Dan puts out new blogs.
My intent is not to be jerk on this, but what's fair is fair. I'm not taking away from this week or past winners regarding all of this, but we do need to make the change.
If you have any questions/concerns...please send an email to FORMBLOG@DRF.COM and it will get forwarded to me.
Thank You!
Rick

REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATE THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL).

Best of luck to all.

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ALSVID.pdf62.41 KB
Copy of Formblog James Marvin 7-19-13.xls68 KB
HGCOUGAR2.pdf175.01 KB