10/17/2009 8:00AM

Quick weekend thoughts


Here are some really, really, really quick thoughts on some of today's stakes races:

Nearctic - Woodbine (Race 8):

Hate to chalk out on ya, but Jungle Wave looks good turning back to six furlongs after a decent effort in the Grade 1 Woodbine Mile last month.  In that race, he was three to four wide for most of the way, made the front under a confident ride in upper stretch, and simply failed to stay the trip.  He draws the far outside once again, and must avoid a wide trip, but he seems in very good form. 
Chamberlain Bridge looks like an interesting alternative although it could be argued that he may prefer shorter sprints.

E. P. Taylor - Woodbine (Race 9):

Who would have thunk that with all the European runners in this race that Princess Haya is a Texas-bred?  Anyway, Look Here, the 2008 English Oaks heroine, has had a very ambitious campaign this season.  She started the year by finishing a head shy in the Group 1 Coronation Cup against males.  Then, she only finished a length behind Breeders'  Cup-bound filly Dar Re Mi in the Group 1 Pretty Polly before finishing a well-beaten sixth in the Group 1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth behind defending Breeders' Cup Turf champion Conduit.  She just missed in a little Group 3 race last time out, but perhaps that was merely a prep run for this race, and the addition of Lasix should help.  If you don't remember Look Here's trainer, Ralph Beckett, you should.  He won the inaugural Breeders' Cup Marathon last year with Muhannak. 
Rainbow View looks like the filly to beat for John Gosden.  She won her first four starts in sparkling fashion last year including the Group 1 Fillies Mile at Ascot, but she's only won once since, her most recent race in Ireland (Group 1 Matron).  The distance may be a question mark as she's 0-2 in races over a mile.

Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup - Keeneland (Race 9):

Of the three runners coming out of the Grade 1 Garden City at Belmont, Gozzip Girl had the worst trip, and Shared Account had the best, but I'll give the latter one more chance.  Gozzip Girl is definitely the horse to beat, but who knows if she'll suffer from any lingering fears from that terrifying journey?  I mean, she almost went down on the first turn (I know, I know, forget handicapping, I'm now a horse whisperer).  Shared Account has had a pretty good season on her own with three wins including the Grade 2 Lake Placed at Saratoga.  She likes a little cut in the ground, and could get the jump on the favorite turning for home.
Miss World beat both of the above in the Garden City, and has been a new horse since being switched to the turf by Christophe Clement.  She's tough, but will be a fraction of the 13-1 odds that she went off as in the Garden City.

More importantly, who do you like this weekend?  I want to know.