05/18/2013 12:31PM

Preakness Day 138

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12:30 pm: Happy Preakness. Almost six hours till post time, but there's a pretty good undercard to pass the time: seven other stakes races, four of them graded. The 13-race card's a little light on multirace exotics -- just two pick-4's and a pick 5 (as opposed to four pick-4's, a pick-5 and a pick-6 on Derby Day's 13-race card) -- but the all-graded-stakes pick-5 ending with the Preakness is a mandatory-payout deal with an $82k carryover and the pick-4 ending with the Preakness carries a $1.5 million guarantee.

Orb is 3-5 in the early Preakness betting with a bunch of them between 7-1 and 11-1 behind him and I'm curious who ends up being the second choice. I have a lot of respect for Frank Carulli, the Pimlico linemaker, but just can't see Mylute as the 5-1 second choice per his prediction. He can hit the board but he strikes me as a less likely upsetter than Goldencents and Itsmyluckyday, both of whom are undependable and perhaps distance-challenged but who at least have races somewhere that are good enough to compete for the top spot. I'd even give slightly better chances of victory to Departing and the Lukas trainees Will Take Charge (a little Derby trouble off a 49-day layoff) and Oxbow (held well after being near the scorcing Derby pace.)

In the Special-Preakness double kicked off by Last Gunfighter at $3.20 yeaterday, Mylute is 7th choice with a $75.80 willpay, behind Orb ($5.80), Itsmylucky Day ($45.40), Goldencents ($49.40), Departing ($55.20), Govenor Charlie ($60.20) and Will Take Charge ($60.20), and ahead of Oxbow ($100.80) and Titletown Five ($344.40).

I'll be back with my pick-5 play before that sequence starts at 3:14 pm.

 

12:45 pm: Scratches from the graded stakes so far are Access to Charlie and Withgreatpleasure from the DuPont Distaff (race 8); Daydreamin Gracie and Idle Talk from the Gallorette (race 9); Poseidon's Warrior and Candyman E from the Maryland Sprint (race 10); and Utley and Thunder Lord from the Dixie (race 11).

Yesterday's prelim graded-stakes Beyers: 100 for Last Gunfighter in the G3 $300k Pimlico Special, 92 for Fiftyshadesofhay in the G2 $500k Black-Eyed Susan.

 

1:30 pm: Here's the pick-5 lineuop after scratches:

 

2:35 pm: Here's the pick-5 play. Starts with the G3 DuPont DIstaff with a scheduled post of 3:14 pm:

 

3:20 pm: Summer Applause held off Sea Island to win the G3 Allaire DuPont Distaff, getting a dream trip after Moon Philly, the other speed in the race, stumbled at the start. Summer applause was able to sit just off the crawling pace (6f in 1:15.70) of longshot Daydreamin Gracie, took over in upper stretch and prevailed. Chalky start to the pick-5.

Summer Applause, a 4-year-old Harlan's Holiday filly, was turned over to trainer Chad Brown two starts back and won the G2 Top Flight at Aqueduct before running fourth in the G1 Apple Blossom last time out.

Obr currently 4-5 in Preakness betting, followed by Goldencents, Mylute and Itsmyluckyday all at 8-1.

 

4:10 pm: Pianist, Chad Brown's "other" filly in a race where his Samitar ran 4th at even money, wired the field at 7-1 to win the G3 Gallorette. No excuses for my 7-1 Hard Not to Like, who chased from the rail throughout but could not reel in the winner. Some rain is falling but the courses are still labelled fast and firm and the Gallorette time of 1:40.60 suggested the grass is still quick.

Pianist,a 4-year-old  More Than Ready filly who had never gone off at more than 5-2, won her first graded stakes. She was coming off a fifth-place finish in the Honey Fox, a race in which Samitar ran second.

Brown goes for a third straight graded-stakes win in the upcoming G3 Maryland Sprint with current 2-1 favorite Hardened Wildcat.

 

4:55 pm: NBC didn't show it, but apparently Sage Valley ($6.60) won the Maryland Sprint, Taking over from early leader Manito in upper stretch with 2-1 Hardened Wildcat up for second and Laurie's Rocket third at 5-2.

Sage Valley, a 4-year-old Discreet Cat colt, was making his first start since Nov. 9. He was claimed in February of 2012 by owner Michael Dubb and is trained by Rudy Rodriguez.

 

5:45 pm: Thought the Dixie was wide open with several live longshots but I never sniffed Skyring ($50.40). Hope some of you are alive for something:

 

6:45 pm: Well, the Preakness ended up with a winner surrounded by historic echoes -- but instead of Phipps and Janney and McGaughey it was Lukas, Stevens and Calumet. Maybe we failed to give Oxbow enough credit for being the only horse close to the Derby pace to be around at the finish, but I still found him a tough horse to like. What I do like is that Lukas ran him. Everyone is so cautious and cagey and you can't help wondering if the connections of the second-, third- and fourth-place Derby finishers are second-, third- and fourth-guessing their decisions to pass the race after watching colts who ran 6-15-5 in the Derby run 1-2-3 in the Preakness..

 

As for Orb, he simply didn't run his race and while he may not have liked racing down on the inside, he showed nothing at any point in the race and was fourth by default. There's always a wave of disappointment when a Triple Crown possibility evaporates, but it's not as if Orb was unfairly deprived of anything.

Robert Johnson More than 1 year ago
Verrazano has been ducking top competition all year. The horses not returning all had excuses (poor as they were) in derby but if they were to put in another clunker they would see their value take a huge hit.
Dave More than 1 year ago
I also do not understand the NBC coverage. They show the Pianist race, but not any of the other undercard stakes. Why only that one!? People that are watching 2-3 hours before the Preakness are HORSE RACING FANS/BETTORS. Casual fans will turn it on at 6:00 and flip channels until the gates open.
JoyJackson21 More than 1 year ago
The Preakness undercard races were all covered on NBC national's sister network, NBC Sports Network (cable). NBC Sports Network (cable) showed all of the Kentucky Derby undercard races, and will more than likely show all of the Belmont Stakes undercard races as well. Just a head's up.
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Not so. NBC Sports Network coverage ends when NBC Network coverage begins - two or three hours before the "main event" - during which time NBC treats us to fashion and celebrities and other fluff, mixed in with annoying featurettes about whatever storyline the producer has decided will appeal to the casual viewer, and generally ignores the stakes races being run during that time...
Lawrence Vaccarelli More than 1 year ago
well no wonder we have trouble getting fans....sit for 3 hrs plus and see two races ? you gotta be kidding me is what causal fans were saying.
Reza More than 1 year ago
tired of this didn't handle the track nonsense. a perfect excuse for we were not good enough
Albert More than 1 year ago
The real key to understanding Preakness day was Skyring's win. No way. When my brother saw a no-number Lukas horse step up like that he went all in on Oxbow in the next race. I was just stunned into disbelief and passed the Preakness, making a small bet.
Ray Sousa More than 1 year ago
skyring also won a stakes race on the preakness undercard last year..so its not like he came from another planet.
jttf More than 1 year ago
to kill time in between races. nbc should have the belmont jockeys have a superstars sports competition. simple sports events where they wont have much of chance of being hurt. example: a one on one sudden death soccer shootout tournament. the final event should include a horse racing video game where the jockeys pick out star horses from the past and control their actions during the race.
Brandon Layer More than 1 year ago
How many horses have ran in the Derby, rested five weeks, then won the Belmont?
Justin Walker More than 1 year ago
Why are so many people surprise with this result. Oxbow and Normandy Invasion ran the best race in the derby after hanging in 1.09 splits with Oxbow actually running the best as he wasn't fully extended by Gary after he saw he couldn't win. Palace Malice messed up the Derby with that suicide pace. I played Oxbow in the Derby and took a lot of heat for it. I look like a Genius now, but I am not. If you look at Oxbow only win this year at Fairgrounds you will see a Horse that pulled off by 11 lengths within a furlong, that's not normal, then his 3 races after that he drew badly but still ran well. Orb is overrated, he should thank Todd for putting blinkers on Palace Malice.
Buzz Nottingham More than 1 year ago
Wow!!!! What a waste of time. NBC should be ashamed for the miserable telecast. I tuned in to watch the undercard as well as the Preakness Stakes. When I discovered that NBC had sold advertising space instead of showing the undercard, I went back to Twin Spires. I totally agree with Rick Harrington's comments.
Mark allstarbuglers More than 1 year ago
What happened to Kegasus?
Rick Harrington More than 1 year ago
NBC's really good at story-telling. The problem, though, is not everyone cares about the story in a sporting event. It's asinine... TWO HOURS worth of race set-up for a race that is only TWO MINUTES LONG. Show the race. Show the reason they're racing. Show how they got there. Not how owner K was on his/her deathbed and racing brought them back, followed with human interest story #7 detailing the social life and their fashions. If the race is at 6:30, start the broadcast at 6PM, and leave the undercard races to a network who WILL air them in its entirety.
MJP More than 1 year ago
Agreed. Spare us the endless "vaseline over the lens" feel good feature stories and show the entire undercard, including the post parades.
Brandon Layer More than 1 year ago
If you watched the pre Preakness coverage on NBC sports network you saw all those stories twice. They replay the same stuff
Bob More than 1 year ago
That's why to this day we still don't know who Golden Soul is .. They never mentioned this horse prior to his name during post parade. They had hours of coverage too but the mint julep won out
Nick More than 1 year ago
you have to do your own research....I watched Golden Souls races 2 weeks before the Derby and hoped he would get in..he did and I was right when I posted he would hit the board....well bred to go long.......nbc..tvg offer nothing to horse racing fans..nbc has schmucks picking favs allthe time...tvg has a deal with tracks to promote the pick 4 which most tracks have a 25% takeout....HRTV has a great show on the weekends,,First Call...give it a shot