10/17/2012 4:26PM

Power of Pace


Pace made the race in two of last weekend's important grass events.

In the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup going nine furlongs at Keeneland, DAYATTHESPA, the lone confirmed speed on paper, made some quality rivals pay by setting dawdling splits of 24.52, 49.11 and 1:13.96 before turning on the afterburners at the quarter pole.  No filly was making up any ground due to those fractions and you may want to forgive the poor running lines put up by horses like STEPHANIE'S KITTEN.

In the Pattison Canadian International at Woodbine on Sunday, there was no speed on paper.  Good thing Frankie Dettori knows how to read a Daily Racing Form.  Dettori put JOSHUA TREE on the front through fractions of 25.52, 51.59 and 1:17.17 over the "good" turf course and Joshua Tree had just enough in the tank to last 12 furlongs over the rallying DANDINO.  WIGMORE HALL came with a good run to be fourth, but was simply too far back considering the way the race unfolded.


DELHOMME was the latest big-Beyer juvenile maiden winner sent out by Team Pletcher.  A $230,000 yearling that resold for $440,000 in March, Delhomme was the beaten favorite when racing greenly in his debut sprinting at Saratoga.  He got to the front in a one-mile race at Belmont on October 13 en route to a 94-Beyer score.  He is by Dixie Union out of Art Show, an Out of Place mare that won the Salem County Stakes going 1 Mile and 70 Yards on grass at the Meadowlands.


Considering the myriad physical problems he's suffered throughout his career, LUCKY PRIMO ran a remarkable race to win the California Cup Classic at Santa Anita.  He pressed a moderate pace, and that had to help, but he dug in very gamely to prevail in the lane.  He needs plenty of time between races, but next year's Cal Cup will likely be his long-term goal once again.


MACLEAN'S MUSIC, a blog favorite, was recently retired by Stonestreet Stables.  The winner of his lone start, a maiden special weight going six furlongs at Santa Anita on March 19, 2011 (114 Beyer Speed Figure), Maclean's Music fractured a splint bone and could never make it back to the races.  Maclean's Music will stand stud in 2013 at Hill 'n' Dale Farms in Kentucky for a $6,500 fee.


Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from (10/8/12 - 10/14/12):

1. CSABA - 106 - Tropical Park Derby - 1 1/8 Miles - Calder
2. DELEGATION - 104 - Durham Cup (G3-C) - 1 1/8 Miles (Polytrack) - Woodbine
3. STAR HARBOUR - 102 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Belmont
4. JOSHUA TREE (Ire) - 101 - Canadian International (G1-C) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
5. SIYOUMA (Ire) - 100 - E. P. Taylor Stakes (G1-C) - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine
6. LUCKY PRIMO - 98 - California Cup Classic - 1 1/16 Miles - Santa Anita
7. BOISTEROUS - 97 - Knickerbocker Stakes (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Belmont
7. CASH RULES - 97 - Spend a Buck Handicap (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles - Calder
9. NEXT QUESTION - 96 - Nearctic Stakes (G1-C) - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Woodbine
9. PEACE PRESERVER - 96 - Pebbles Stakes - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
9. QUEEN'SPLATEKITTEN - 96 - OC 75k/C -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Belmont
12. POWER OF TITUS - 95 - Alw 33700NC - 1 Mile - Mountaineer
13. BEAU CHOIX - 94 - Rob N Gin Stakes - 7 Furlongs (Turf) - Belmont
13. DELHOMME - 94 - Md Sp Wt 73k - 1 Mile - Belmont
13. NICOLE H - 94 - Endine Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
13. QUEEN'S AWARD - 94 - Alw 53898N2X - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Keeneland
13. SALTO (Ire) - 94 - Alw 47840N2X - 1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack) - Keeneland
13. SERVICE FOR TEN - 94 - Alw 40000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Laurel
13. TWO MONTHS RENT - 94 - Hawthorne Derby (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Hawthorne
20. TIZ FLIRTATIOUS - 93 - California Cup Distaff - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Anita
21. DAYATTHESPA - 92 - Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Keeneland
22. MADAME GIRY - 91 - Buffalo Trace Franklin County Stakes - 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf) - Keeneland
22. THE BEST GLACIER - 91 - Clm 16000 - 1 Mile - Calder
24. COOL VIXEN - 91 - Alw 16000s - 1 Mile 70 Yards - Calder
24. GHOSTBUSTER - 90 - OC 30k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
24. MAUI MARK - 90 - California Cup Sprint - 6 Furlongs - Santa Anita
24. OLIGARCH - 90 - OC 62k/N2X - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Santa Anita
24. PLAY EIGHTEEN - 90 - Clm 35000(35-25)N3L - 6 Furlongs - Delaware
24. SCATMAN - 90 - Alw 53969N2X - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Keeneland
24. SPEAK LOGISTICS - 90 - Florida Stallion In Reality Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Calder


CSABA's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.


Hi Dan,
I was sort of "mooshy-gooshy" for Harlan's Holiday during his career, mostly because he was SO honest.......15 times in the exacta and one 3rd from 22 starts, and most of that was accomplished at a very high level. Now, he has the Hopeful/Champag­ne winner in Shanghai Bobby, and the Champagne runner-up (Goldencents) is his grandson (not sure I'm ready for that, but time marches on).
Could I trouble you for Harlan's Holiday's PPs? I really appreciate it as always!
Margie Foley

Harlan's Holiday's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.


could you please post the life time pps of a horse named rumspringa trained by barclay tagg, and symphony of Psalms for bobby frankel. both horses were horses that ive cashed in on at belmont and saratoga. it would mean alot dan :)
Justin Nicklas

The past performances you requested are available at the bottom of this blog post.


Dan could you tell us what Ben's Cat numbers were.

Ben's Cat received an 87 Beyer Speed Figure for winning the Maryland Millon Turf Sprint Handicap at Laurel on October 6.  He is not nominated to the Breeders' Cup and is very unlikely to run in the Turf Sprint.  His lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.


With Cambiocorsa's 2YO Moulin de Mougin having just broken her maiden (and looking good enough doing it that the commentators were burbling about the Juvenile Fillies Turf), I am wondering if you have any update on her eldest sister Schiaparelli. (Middle sis Vionnet is running Thursday). Schiaparelli also looked like a stakes horse to me, but seems to be having trouble staying in training?
Kyri Freeman

Schiaparelli recently returned to training in Southern California.  She worked three furlongs in 37.80 at Betfair Hollywood on October 11 and drilled a half-mile in 49.80 at Betfair Hollywood on October 17.  She is aiming for a winter return.


Congrats to Mike O for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.

Penn National Rick's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.


Let's go with Friday's seventh race at Keeneland for this week's HandiGambling exercise.


 Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Best of luck to all.


Be back Friday with the HG analysis and some thoughts on the weekend stakes races.

Harlan's Holiday.pdf60.82 KB
RumPsalms.pdf79.25 KB
Ben's Cat.pdf64.16 KB
Formblog Contest Santa Anita 10-12-12.xls45.5 KB
HGValleyView.pdf181.21 KB
Csaba.pdf60.02 KB
Jay Van Horn More than 1 year ago
Annie, Please allow me to participate in the MKB this year. It sounds very fun. Let me know if you need horse suggestions. I've comprised a quick list of candidates. Also, do you use the same KB every year or do you switch it up...lol.
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
Congrats to Oblivion Suckers for that $2 tri 8 all 3. Being that I played a $5 9-8-3 and a real life $1 key with 9 on top, I'm pretty sick. UGGGGH! Randy
Suheil More than 1 year ago
HG VALLEYVEIW Wide open affair with many live horses.The trip will most likely determine the winner. I will play the trifecta 6,10/9,12/1,2,5,6,9,10,11,12 for $2 for $48 6,10/1,2,5,6,9,10,11,12/9,12 for $2 for $48 $ 2 tri 6/10/9,12 for $4
Rick More than 1 year ago
HG 12-think best on firm turf; 6/10 logical choices, 2,11,8 longshots $52 EX 12/6 $10 EX 12/2 $2 EX 12/8 $18 TRI 12/6,10/2 Rick
Meathead More than 1 year ago
HGKeenland #2 Volcat going for the hat trick in last only to be denied at the wire but thinking she will be tighter for this with R Albarato once again getting the call for mcpeek who is 10% with graded races she will be hard to deny in this race. #5 Medolina hasnt done nothing wrong in her career of six races and today gets a new pilot in napravnik who is 43% with pletcher and 17% at keenland a very impressive record has battled graded oponents before to no avail but has been agressive in her persuit having the lead in both races only to lose out late stretch so the addition of rosie may have a positive effect today. #9 Miss Cato (GB) since here in the states has not won a race but has been in the thick of it in all three tries with two seconds by a neck and a fourth in the gr.1 american oaks at hollywood park has changed trainers two times since shipping over the pond now with attfield a 14% trainer to date should be coming from off the pace today. #10 Cosmic Energy going for four in a row for hills and retains castellano to ride today seems to be overmatched in this event though but deserves a chance after those three wins coming up to this race may try to steal this on the engine. #11 Run A Risk has a scanty record at the least with a few stakes runs that did get her a place in one but looks to be out of class in this race but has a win at this track last year to break her maiden. #12 Alaura Michele castro has all her wins to date and knows this filly very well but another one that may be over her head to an extent but a solid campaigner who picks up lots of checks mott is 19% in the Gr. stakes level so must be considered in this battle. The play: $50 exacta key #5 with #s 29= $100 bucks of dans denaro thanks dan and good luck to all today MH01
Curtis V Slewster More than 1 year ago
HG300 @Keeneland{revised}, I have to change my wager PNR. Please accept my apologies. I madem' mistakem. $50 Exacta Box..........6 & 8.................TotaLiZZZation...$100.00........ Curtis V Slewster
Anonymous More than 1 year ago
SR Vegas and Yuwipi, Can I say thank you on behalf of the Frankel camp, and all British racing fans, for your words of support for his final race on Saturday. Its been raining hard today, on top of already rain softened ground, so I do hope the meeting goes ahead. More importantly, win, lose or draw, I hope Frankel comes back safe and sound and goes on to enjoy a long and happy retirement. Finally, I hope that Frankel's trainer, Henry Cecil, gets the Double up and wins his long-running battle with cancer. Curtis V, For some reason I cannot fathom, you are seriously screwed up with regard to Frankel. I cannot believe that anyone has ever written so many words about a horse they don't rate. Strange. One rhetorical question, I take it you copy and paste from a standard draft, rather than writing the same words and phrases each time? Best Regards - Bernard Downes
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
Capt Ron Welcome back, and enjoy the MKB ride ! SR Vegas #13 ..lol!
Curtis V Slewster More than 1 year ago
HG300 @Keeneland, #6 Colonial Flag is the class of the race. #8 Angel Terrace is an up & comer. #3 Zapper Belle is a Slewster. #1 Closing Range is a gamer. Let's give it a go. $40 Exacta.............6/8.........................$40......... $20 Exacta.............8/6.........................$20......... $10 Exacta Box.....6 with/1-3.............$40......... The Great Doctor speaketh..........me sayim' $100 Total..........Slew concurs........ Curtis V Slewster..........
Dale Tillotson More than 1 year ago
HG Valley View. $90.00 win #2. $5.00 ex. box 2-9.