11/23/2011 12:09PM

Poor Rail Trip! Redeemed Moving Well

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The amazing saga of RAIL TRIP continued last week at the Big A. 

Sent off as the 2-5 favorite in the Sunny and Mild Stakes on November 17, Rail Trip stumbled at the start and unseated his rider, Ramon Dominguez. 

The winner of the 2009 Hollywood Gold Cup, Rail Trip arrived in New York during the summer of 2010 to great fanfare.  Lingering foot problems limited him to one NYRA appearance that season and he failed to impress when fifth, beaten 16 1/2 lengths, while wearing an aluminum pad in the Jockey Club Gold Cup.  Rail Trip is 0-4 this year, but has placed in a pair of listed stakes events.  Although he hasn't won on dirt, he's run well enough that he can't simply be considered a synthetic wonder.  His physical problems - he's worn the aluminum pad in all of his races this year - make him suspect, however.  Rail Trip has immense talent, but he's been a constant source of frustration for his trainer, Richard Dutrow Jr., and his many fans. 

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On the other hoof, Dutrow has to be well pleased with REDEEMED, a three-year-old son of Include that has never been off the board in eight lifetime starts.  Redeemed made it two in a row last week with an impressive score in the Grade 3 Discovery Handicap at Aqueduct.  He hasn't lost since adding blinkers and his tactical speed makes him very dangerous in these nine-furlong races.  Expect him to show up at Gulfstream over the winter with an eye toward graded stakes in the handicap division.

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SANAGAS won't go to Gulfstream, but the up-and-coming turf performer looks primed for bigger and better next year after a dominating win in the Grade 1 Hollywood Turf Cup.  Trained by Graham Motion, Sanagas has a world of upside and may target races like the Arlington Million after a good winter's rest.

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Here are the top 25 winning Beyer Speed Figures from last week (11/14 - 11/20):

1.  CONCHACER - 106 - OC 35k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Hawthorne
2.  SAN PABLO - 101 - OC 50k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Aqueduct
3.  MR GRUFF - 100 - Night Mover Stakes - 6 Furlongs (Turf) - Hollywood
3.  SHUDACUDAWUDYA - 100 - Alw 49692NC - 6 Furlongs (Tapeta) - Golden Gate
5.  SANAGAS (Ger) - 99 - Hollywood Turf Cup (G1) - 1 1/2 Miles (Turf) - Hollywood
6.  ATLANTIC HURRICANE - 97 - Bessarabian Stakes (G3-C) - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
6.  NACHO BUSINESS - 97 - Sam's Town Stakes - 7 Furlongs - Delta
8.  BELLA MEDAGLIA - 96 - Treasure Chest Stakes - 1 Mile - Delta
8.  BE WELCOME - 96 - Alw 10000s - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Calder
8.  BLUES STREET - 96 - River City Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Churchill
8.  JUNGLE WAVE - 96 - OC 60k/N2X - 7 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
8.  REDEEMED - 96 - Discovery Handicap (G3) - 1 1/8 Miles - Aqueduct
8.  RON THE GREEK - 96 - Sunny and Mild Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Aqueduct
14. GROOMEDFORVICTORY - 95 - Adirondack Holme Stakes - 1 Mile - Aqueduct
15. DECISIVE MOMENT - 94 - Delta Mile - 1 Mile - Delta
15. ESSENCE HIT MAN - 94 - Kennedy Road Stakes (G3-C) - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Woodbine
17. ALL OF THE ABOVE - 93 - Alw 50960N1X - 6 Furlongs - Aqueduct
17. ATLANTIC KING - 93 - Alw 25000s - 6 Furlongs - Parx
17. DE PRICE - 93 - Clm 50000 - 6 Furlongs - Churchill
17. GALIENTOS - 93 - Alw 49741N2X - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Churchill
17. RIVERSRUNRYLEE - 93 - Clm 25000 - 1 Mile - Calder
17. TIZ THE ARGUMENT - 93 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Parx
17. UPSELL - 93 - Clm 18000(18-16) - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Hawthorne
24. TRULY CLASSY - 92 - Alw 25000s - 6 Furlongs - Calder
25. BEAT THE BLUES - 91 - OC 100k/C -N - 6 Furlongs - Churchill
25. DR. SMARTY JACK - 91 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Hollywood
25. KENS CAPE - 91 - OC 25k/N2X -N - 5 1/2 Furlongs - Laurel
25. PLANTATION - 91 - A Huevo Stakes - 1 1/8 Miles - Charles Town
25. SKIP A SMILE - 91 - Alw 40000NC - 1 Mile (Turf) - Remington
25. TRIP THE GENERAL - 91 - OC 20k/N2X - 6 Furlongs - Turf Paradise

Conchacer's lifetime past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Two-year-olds will be featured over this long holiday weekend, with races like the Remsen and Kentucky Jockey Club for colts and geldings.  As of right now, here are the top Beyers for two-year-olds in 2011:

1.  J C'S PRIDE - 101
1.  STOPSHOPPINGMARIA (F) - 101
3.  OVERDRIVEN - 100
4.  CREATIVE CAUSE - 98
4.  CURRENCY SWAP - 98
6.  SECRET CIRCLE - 97
6.  SECRET CIRCLE - 97
8.  MY MISS AURELIA (F) - 96
9.  ME AND MY GALS - 95
9.  SECRET CIRCLE - 95
9.  SEEKER - 95
9.  UNION RAGS - 95
13. HANSEN - 94
13. UNION RAGS - 94
15. CANIGOTOO - 93
15. OVERDRIVEN - 93
17. APPLAUDING (F) - 92
17. SHUMOOS (F) - 92
17. CREATIVE CAUSE - 92
17. SISTER MOON (F) - 92
17. SWORD TRICK - 92
17. TWELVE HUNDRED - 92
17. UNION RAGS - 92
24. MR. STYLE - 91
24. MY MISS AURELIA (F) - 91
24. TU ENDIE WEI (F) - 91

Kentucky Derby future odds (courtesy of Lucky's Las Vegas; updated 11/16/11, before the Delta Jackpot) are available at the bottom of this blog entry.

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Dan, Laura,
I'm looking for any information - owner, trainer, etc. - you may have about a 2YO named Green Mystique (Cetewayo-On The Hop by Green Dancer). Is the colt in training?
Calvin L. Carter

A Pennsylvania-bred, Green Mystique hasn't worked yet and never went through the auction ring.  I'm not sure about his connections.  If I find out more, I'll let you know.

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Dan or anyone else,
Aqueduct 11/12/11>>R7 Winner>>Consortium..What was his Beyer Fig, please ?
Curt V.

Consortium received a 79 Beyer for his winning debut at Aqueduct on November 12.  The juvenile son of Bernardini raced 6 1/2 furlongs in 1:17.10. He is a Darley homebred trained by Kiaran McLaughlin.  The dam, Marietta (by Machiavellian), won a pair of Grade 3 routes (one on synthetic) while the second dam, Minister Wife (by Deputy Minister), won the Grade 2 Demoiselle at nine furlongs. 

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Dan,
I'm doing some more research, can you post the PP's for
Frisky Thunder?
okiesharp

Frisky Thunder's past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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Congrats to Ronald H. for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.  This week's race will be the tenth at Fair Grounds on Turkey Day.  PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.
 
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."
 
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.
 
Please post your plays and analysis to the blog.
 
Please separate the play from the analysis and label the play "HG" with the program numbers (instead of the horse's name) for easier scoring.
 
In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please.
 
I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries.
 
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

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I'll be on the road bright and early tomorrow for some Thanksgiving festivities with the family so I'll have to miss HG this week.  Best of luck to all and have a wonderful holiday weekend!

AttachmentSize
Conchacer.pdf62.47 KB
Ky Derby Futures updated 111611uz.pdf25.9 KB
Frisky Thunder.pdf63.86 KB
HG259.pdf188.12 KB