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Past Performance Request, HG pp's
Let's get to your questions and past performance requests:
Dan: Thanks for keeping the Top Winning Beyers as a document in your blog. What happened to the Injured List and will it be available in the future?
Unfortunately, because of the new blog setup, the Disabled List will not be a permanent part of the blog. The new system also messed up my WatchMail system so I was unable to keep track of the horses that are on the "Currently Disabled" portion of the list. All of this, coupled with my Saratoga duties, have left me far behind on the Disabled List. The plan is to update it when I get a chance and then post it on the blog on a once-a-week basis after that (if another, more permanent solution, can't be worked out).
Of course, if you have a question concerning any horse, please feel free to post a c. I'll do my best to get you the information.
Dan, Before Rachel, can you remember a filly or mare (or maybe any gender) who cranked out 12 100+ BSF in a row?
Azeri received 16 consecutive triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures between December 17, 2001 ('n1x' allowance) to April 3, 2004 (Apple Blossom Invitational)
I grew up in the Chicago area and was fortunate enough to see Lady Shirl run on a regular basis. She is turning out to be quite a broodmare. When I saw that Perfect Shirl was running at Saratoga today, I ran over to the race book ( I live in Vegas) and threw 2 $20s to win on her as they were loading in the gate. I didn't even have time to look at a DRF. I was rewarded at 9-1. Dan, could you please post Lady Shirl's past performances? Thanks.
Congratulations on your winning bet! Lady Shirl's past performances are available on the bottom of this blog entry
Dan...love the blog, the new format is gonna take some getting used to though. I was wondering, with the Pacific Classic coming up at Del Mar at the end of the meet and alot of talk about Zenyatta possibly running this weekend and the surface questions...would you be able to post the pp's of Island Fashion...a pretty tough mare who took on the boys a few times during her career. Thanks.
Check for Island Fashion's past performances on the bottom of this blog entry.
Before I left for work this morning I bet my whole wad on Lookin at Lucky to win the Haskell today and was looking for 2-1. I got off work just in time to turn on the tv about 15 minutes before post time. I saw the odds on Lookin were less than even money and jumped on my buddy's computer and canceled my bet. It wasn't huge by some peoples standards but it was more than five hundred and less than a thousand. Alot of money to me!! I watched the race and just knew that he would win and all my friends thought I would be upset that I cancelled the bet. I was not upset at all, and still think I made the smart play by not accepting those odds on a horse that I was very confident would win.I don't play the chalk often but if you are that sure shoud you take those kind of odds or just pass and watch the race for fun?
Concerning your cancellation of the Lookin At Lucky Haskell Win ticket, I think you made the right decision if you felt the horse's odds moved him into underlay status.
Readers, I'm on a mini-vacation of sorts with most of the FormBlog Convention planned. The September 11 and 12 weekend features two Grade 3 races, a handicapping contest, a chance to meet the esteemed Dan Illman, free seating compliments of Arlington Park, and an AP-sponsored Winners Circle ceremony. It's a weekend that's filled with fun, festiveness, and fine racing. And it's not too late to join the late summer fun. Questions or reservations can be directed to email@example.com and further information (including timetable) is at http://ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com/TC2010.html PGM
PGM, chicago gerry, and Steve Taylor have done a wonderful job coordinating the FormBlog Convention at Arlington Park. If you could make it out to Chicago for the convention, I'd love to meet you. We're planning on having a great time.
Dan- I am missing on two great pp's-Spectacular Bid and Seabuscuit. Could you please post them. Thanks
Check for Spectacular Bid and Seabiscuit's past performances on the bottom of this blog entry.
KNM,>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>I hate to admit this, but I don't know James M. Day, well at least as a trainer of thoroughbreds.......it seems I have heard of a James Day training horses for Equestrian events. Could be the same man. Better to ask Dan, or "C". they would probably know more. I've never come across him in my 40 years. That's not to say he isn't a fine trainer, I just haven't heard of him.
James M. Day (not to be confused with James E. Day of Dance Smartly fame) has had success with steeplechase runners. He has won the Carolina Cup on three occasions (Spy in the Sky, Top of the Bill, Canta Ke Brave), won the New York Turf Writers with Spy in the Sky in 2009 and took the Joe Aitcheson Hurdle with Flasher in 2001. According to DRF statistics, he had a big year in 2009, winning 18% of his 105 starts. This season, he is 3-55.
Dan, Do you know what happened to Conveyance? Has he been shipped to Dubai? Is he in training? I was hoping he'd appear in some dirt sprints this fall but he is MIA as far as I know.
Haven't heard anything about Conveyance. His last published workout was on May 26 at Santa Anita. I'll let you know if I receive more information.
Hi Dan, I couldn't help but notice the stellar statistics of jockey kelly spanabel and trainer george iaccovaci, sr., who have an entry in a $75k MSW at monmouth this sunday, race 6. Can you shed some light on the career win percentage for these two when they team up? I'd be curious. Thanks so muuch!
Abdullah the Butcher
It's hard to believe, but that particular jockey/trainer combination is 31-1101 (2%, $0.59 ROI), according to the DRF statistics.
By the way, I miss the days when you carved up people like Dusty Rhodes, Tommy Rich, and Carlos Colon. I could use a man like you to "encourage" the IT department to fix some of the outstanding blog issues.
Keenland Racecourse I just made room reservations for October 15-18 in Lexington a couple of miles from the track. This is my birthday present to myself and am excited to see the track and attend the races. Are tours of horse breeding farms available? Does one need reserved seating in advance? Any information on Keenland and area is welcomed. Cheers!
For information on Keeneland and seating, head on over to their website:
One of the thrilling aspects of a Kentucky vacation is to visit the many breeding farms. My advice would be to head over to any of their respective websites for more information on visiting schedules.
Thanks to those of you who had kind words to say about That I Am's win on Friday. (I love it when a plan comes together! I still believe he's a different horse with Inez. Dan-Could you possibly post his beyer and some pars at AP as we try to figure out his next race: non conditioned 5 and 10 claimers and IL bred NW2?
Congrats to Steve and Dave H. for their recent winner's circle photos. That I Am received a 66 Beyer Speed Figure for his win on August 6.
Here are some Beyer pars for six furlongs on the main track at Arlington:
$5,000 claimer - 73
$7,500 claimer - 73
$10,000 claimer - 78
Statebred 'n2x' allowance: 79
Congrats to Why? for finishing first in last week's exercise. This week's race will be Thursday's fifth from Saratoga. Past performances are available at the bottom of this blog post.
Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan." Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified. Please post your plays and analysis to the blog. Past performances are available on the previous blog post. In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. One entry per person please. I reserve the right to approve or deny any entries
I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are. I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.
Be back tomorrow with HG analysis and the top Beyers from last week's races.
|Lady Shirl.pdf||62.49 KB|
|Island Fashion.pdf||67.53 KB|
|Spectacular Bid.pdf||69.18 KB|
Dick W., Where the heck you been hiding...? "Say it aint so, Joe......." ?? Interesting picks.....No ? Hope you do well..Did you know you got 2 Slewsters ?.LOL.. BTW: Fisherman, "Wake Up Everybody, no more sleeping in bed, time for thinking, not thinking ahead.................." Harold Melvin & the Blue Notes w/ Teddy Pendergrass @the vocals.....>> That's what happens when we bet East Coast.......& your over in LEFT field......
HandiSpagambling: I like the 2 off the bullet work and his Monmouth race two back, the 6 is ready to move forward, and the 8 has Maker/Gomez. $16 TB 2,6,8 $4 Tri 8/2/6
SCRATCHES: #1 STORM FALCON, #3 ELTISH STAR, #7 BRAZEN STAR were early scratches. Annie
HG Scratch the 1,3,7. Think a speed dueprol develops here, which helps the 8 (Harmonizer). Add the fact that you get Gomez, and a high % trainer in Maker. All signs point to the 8 in here. Also think the 2 (Numb Lips) will get a piece as well, so keying him in the 2 and 3 holes. The bet: $10 TRI (8/2/ALL) $10 TRI (8/ALL/2) GL All!
HG R5 Saratoga Hope I get the line breaks right...Won't waste a lot of analysis on this. Going with the 10 over and under the 2 and 9: $25 ex box 10/2,9 Good luck to all !!! Dick W
HG saratoga Looks like an interesting little race. #9 looks to go off as a strong favorite and i expect a strong performance from his outside post. The horse for me is the #2 numb lips, has shown a lot of talent right from the get go. Throwing out that slow paced route last time and his previous effort would topple this field. Expecting a ground saving closing effort and will be very surprised without a good showing. Good luck to all 1$tri 2/1-3-5-7-8-9/1-3-5-7-8-9 1$tri 2/3-8-9/3-7-8-9 1$tri 3-8-9/2/3-7-8-9 2$tri 2/8-9/8-9 4$tri 2-9/2-9/3-7-8 4$tri 2-9/3-7-8/2-9
I'll take a flyer on #4 Good Karma...well bred...feel may be sitting on a big race. $100 win...shoot for the moon
Looks like the CAPTCHA has been sent off to the breeding shed. I think the stud fee is a cookie.
#9 Star of New York should benefit from the 2 month break after 7 races in less than 6 months. Factor in a Beyer and pace advantage and you are looking at a $5 winner. Not going to try to beat that, but I will try to maximize return. Let's try to get the TRIFECTA home. Numb Lips threw a big number 2 back after clipping heals and as a 3YO, would appear to be improving. $10 Tri (9/2/ALL) $4 Tri (9/4/2,3,5,6,8)
Second try at posting my Hg pick. It seems that on AOl i can'y post for whatever reason. HG. top two best beyers 3-5. My bet $100 exacta 3-5.