08/13/2014 4:55PM

One to watch

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Thanks to everyone that has entered the FormBlog Breeders' Cup Fantasy Handicapping League.

We have 476 contestants. KYL Syndicate is in the lead with 854 fantasy earnings.

If you haven't joined yet, there's still plenty of time to do so. 

Head on over to www.fantasycapping.com/illman

The league password in DRF123.

You can find league rules here:

https://www.fantasycapping.com/faq/

This week's race is Sunday's Sword Dancer from Saratoga.

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Most of us don't give a hoot about racing outside of Saratoga and Del Mar during the summer months, but it might be wise to follow ALL OWLS in Louisiana. Listed as a gelding for the first time, the Cajun-bred 3-year-old dominated maiden special weight foes to the tune of a 94 Beyer Speed Figure on August 7.

All Owls is trained by Ron Faucheux, who guided Gantry to the Breeders' Cup Sprint in 2012. While All Owls is unlikely to line up in the starting gate for that race this year, he looked like a totally different horse last week. Ridden by Richard Eramia, All Owls pressed pacesetter BUGGIN OUT from the inside, engaged that foe with five-sixteenths of a mile to run and drew way with absolute ease in the stretch. Buggin Out was second, 10 1/4 lengths better than FLYINGEXPECTATIONS.

All Owls showed some ability earlier this season, compiling a record of 3-0-2-1 in dirt sprints against Louisiana-breds. In his most recent start prior to the maiden score, he faltered badly when stretched out around turf.

Perhaps the ultimate equipment change has turned All Owls into a stakes horse. He cost $60,000 as a yearling, an impressive purchase price for $5,000 stallion Half Ours. A half-brother, Grand Facile, took 6 of 16 races for earnings of $310,660. Grand Facile won at distances ranging from six furlongs to 1 1/16 miles and prevailed in four stakes races. Their dam was a stakes-placed sprinter.

Look for All Owls in allowance or minor stakes company in the near future.

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Here are the top 25 WINNING Beyer Speed Figures from 8/4/13 - 8/10/13

1. HOLIDAY MISCHIEF - 105 - John Bullit Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Canterbury - August 8 - Race 5
2. ATREIDES - 102 - OC 16k/N1X -N - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Gulfstream - August 10 - Race 9
2. MICROMANAGE - 102 - Birdstone Stakes - 1 3/4 Miles - Saratoga - August 7 - Race 4
4. OUR LUCKY SON - 101 - Alw 28500N2L - 6 Furlongs - Canterbury - August 9 - Race 5
4. SEEK AGAIN - 101 - Fourstardave Handicap (G2) - 1 Mile (Turf) - Saratoga - August 9 - Race 10
6. KAIGUN - 100 - Play the King Stakes (G2-C) - 7 Furlongs (Turf) - Woodbine - August 10 - Race 6
7. CONFRONTATION - 98 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 7 Furlongs - Saratoga - August 8 - Race 3
8. OM - 97 - Md Sp Wt 76k - 6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar - August 9 - Race 4
9. GHURAIR - 96 - OC 80k/N3X -N - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Saratoga - August 7 - Race 9
9. MORGAN'S GUERRILLA - 96 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 1 Mile - Indiana - August 9 - Race 7
9. RAISED A SECRET - 96 - OC 40k/N1X -N - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Del Mar - August 10 - Race 4
12. SILVER FREAK - 95 - OC 62k/N2X -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Saratoga - August 6 - Race 8
13. ALL OWLS - 94 - Md Sp Wt 22k - 6 1/2 Furlongs - Louisiana - August 7 - Race 8
13. DISARM - 94 - Alw 46000N1X - 6 Furlongs - Parx - August 9 - Race 7
15. ENTERPRISING - 93 - La Jolla Handicap (G3) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Del Mar - August 9 - Race 5
15. MELLOW FELLOW - 93 - OC 62k/C -N - 1 Mile (Turf) - Gulfstream - August 10 - Race 4
15. TRICKY HAT (CHI) - 93 - John's Call Stakes - 1 5/8 Miles (Turf) - Saratoga - August 6 - Race 9
18. BALOOGA BULL - 92 - R. J. Speers Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles - Assiniboia - August 4 - Race 8
18. CAMEO APPEARANCE - 92 - OC 40k/N2X -N - 6 Furlongs (Polytrack) - Arlington - August 10 - Race 5
18. MOULIN DE MOUGIN - 92 - John C. Mabee Stakes (G2) - 1 1/8 Miles (Turf) - Del Mar - August 10 - Race 8
21. GALLANT SON - 91 - Jess Jackson Owners' Handicap - 5 Furlongs (Turf) - Santa Rosa - August 9 - Race 9
21. LEXIE LOU - 91 - Wonder Where Stakes - 1 1/4 Miles (Turf) - Woodbine - August 10 - Race 9
21. WILD SWAVA - 91 - Florence Henderson Stakes - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Indiana - AUgust 6 - Race 7
24. FLOWER SPELL - 90 - Hoist Her Flag Stakes - 6 Furlongs - Canterbury - August 8 - Race 8
24. MOLLY MORGAN - 90 - Gardenia Stakes (G3) - 1 Mile - Ellis - August 9 - Race 8
24. SALAH CHAMP - 90 - Clm 40000(40-35) - 1 1/16 Miles (Turf) - Santa Rosa - August 7 - Race 5

*The lifetime past performances for HOLIDAY MISCHIEF are available at the bottom of this blog post.

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*The links to the five most recent blogs (and blog comments) are listed below:

http://www.drf.com/blogs/palace-rules-vanderbilt

http://www.drf.com/blogs/big-run-bing-crosby

http://www.drf.com/blogs/spring-turf-sprint

http://www.drf.com/blogs/claimer-grade-1-winner

http://www.drf.com/blogs/beat-chalk-0

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You can follow me on Twitter @DRF_DanIllman

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Congrats to Rick for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling race.

Rick M's scoresheet is available at the bottom of this blog post.

On tab 2 you will see each HG Race we've held and they are color coded to denote if the race was run on Turf, Dirt or Poly.

Annie selected Saturday's Beverly D. Stakes from Arlington as this week's event.

PAST PERFORMANCES ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS BLOG POST.

SR Vegas and Rick M. have graciously decided to streamline all of the HG rules in order to make them an easier read for everyone...

With so many new people attending Dan's Formblog we thought it would be a good time to update the Handigambling Guidelines and Rules as we go forward in 2014.

Let's remember WHY we began the HandiGambling races in the first place. The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses and why we're betting them the way we are. We are not asking for a novel but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.

HANDIGAMBLING:

-  Please start your post with  HG or HANDIGAMBLING to better recognize and find your entry.

-  You have a mythical $100 to wager in whatever format you choose and that is available for that HG race.
Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.

- Post your WAGER and ANALYSIS to the blog WITH YOUR NAME/OR MONIKER AT THE END OF THE POST.  Remember that posts may start as 'anonymous' or an 'alternate name'. You MUST sign yourself at the end (even if it is the same) This enables the scorekeeper to recognize you .

- (1) ONE ENTRY per person for the Handigambling contest. If you have multiple email addresses, use just ONE for contest purposes.  Multiple entries will be cause for disqualification.

- Separate your analysis from the wager and use the horses # in your wager. Just like you would do in a real wager. No horse names.

-In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. Dan reserves the right to approve or deny any entries.

- The winner will receive a "60-Card Quarterly Formulator Past Performance Plan"

As an example :

HG 2014
The speed in this race goes to  horses # 1, 4 ,6 ..Ennie , Meenie, and Mo
Since it's a sprint I don't see any closers catching them.. like # 9 Miney.
I think trainer Groucho with the #6 Mo has the best stats in this condition, route to sprint.. just a gut feeling at large odds ML 20-1

HG wager
50$ Ex box 1-6
total $100

Thanks Dan!

Harpo
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A MORE DETAILED ANALYSIS IS ALWAYS APPRECIATED !
 
REMEMBER, IF YOU ARE DECLARED THE WINNER OF THE HANDIGAMBLING EXERCISE; PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM WITH YOUR DRF LOGIN AND PASSWORD IN ORDER TO ACCESS YOUR PRIZE PACKAGE.

ALSO, IF THE WINNER WOULD LIKE TO SELECT THE FOLLOWING WEEK'S RACE, PLEASE CONTACT FORMBLOG@DRF.COM NO LATER THAN THE FOLLOWING WEDNESDAY MORNING (A FRIDAY RACE IS MOST IDEAL)

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Holiday Mischief.pdf724.92 KB
Copy of Formblog Del Mar Claiming 8-8-14.xls75 KB
HGBEVERLYD.pdf187.18 KB