08/06/2011 10:11PM

One tough sequence

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You thought Saturday was tough?

Del Mar expects $1 million to be wagered Sunday on the pick six, chasing a $145,934 carryover. “New money” usually is six to seven times the carryover amount.

The problem with Sunday’s sequence (races 5-10) is every race is difficult. That creates good gambling opportunites on a race-by-race basis, but stringing together six straight might be impossible. Here is a quick look, anyway.

Race 5 (first leg) is a sprint for $16,000 filly-mare claimers, non-winners of two. It is the lowest Del Mar class level for winners. Warren’s Glitter won a maiden-claimer opening weekend and will be forwardly placed in a race without much speed. Abovetheinfluence is the 7-2 program favorite off consecutive in-the-money finishes against similar.

Race 6 (second leg) is a sprint for 2-year-old maiden fillies, and 12-1 longshot Smoke Train is the best gamble on the card. She finished with interest in an educational debut opening day, and can improve. But she is not a single. The 5-2 program favorite is fast-working Bob Baffert first-timer Dreamcaster.

Race 7 (third leg) is a route for first-level allowance/optional claiming fillies and mares. They all look the same. Ambitoness makes her California debut for trainer Mike Mitchell; the 3-1 program favorite is Hopeful Union, who is stuck at the level; South American import Hakuchi ran well in her sprint prep. She can improve at 8-1 odds.

Race 8 (fourth leg) is the Grade 2 Best Pal for 2-year-olds, and if 2-1 favorite Creative Cause runs back to his smashing debut at Hollywood, this race is over. Do you trust him moving from Cushion Track to Polytrack? Me neither.

Race 9 (fifth leg) is a $10,000 sprint claimer; 3-1 program favorite Mr. Saturdaynight might be a single. The six-win veteran is back where he fits after being overmatched last out. Can you single a horse that has not hit the board in four starts at Del Mar? Didn’t think so.

Race 10 (sixth leg) is a $16,000 claiming sprint for 3-year-old fillies. Trainer Pete Eurton has been on a roll; his comeback dropper Magic Mama is the right pick. The 7-2 program favorite is Bella Giornatta.

Good luck. You will need it.

furlong More than 1 year ago
(In race 10 on Aug. 6), how the 7 (winner) doesn't get placed second and the 12 (runner-up) put up is the kind of thing that makes people want to quit this game. Atrocious!