06/03/2011 12:26PM

Monmouth: Breezy, Beautiful


Great day here, in terms of weather. There was some talk of a storm possibly coming through the area  during the week but that never transpired, leaving us with fast and firm conditions.

Henny Betty (#3) didn't figure to be a huge price in the opener but she took some early action, opening as the odds-on favorite when the pools opened. She figures to drift up some and she should be taken seriously, as horses from trainer Jason Servis who take money usually run to their backing.

I'm not wild about the card but I have a couple of opinions: I don't think Cenizo (#4) gets beat in the 5th, and while she'll be favored Bells of Concerto (#1) might help her stay at a playable price. Miss Bar A (#7) intrigues me a bit in the 6th, as her latest is easily forgiven, since she was against a strong bias.

It will be interesting to see what tactics are employed regarding the entry in the 7th, now that Shipwreckstreasure (#1A) has drawn in from the AE list. His entrymate (and half-brother), Smooth Sailing (#1), was expected to be the pacesetter, but Shipwreckstreasure comes off a near-miss over this course, when he was loose on the lead.

California Cool (#1) and Haitian Sensation (#6) look like the only two speeds in the 10th but I'm betting that California Cool is just plain faster out of the gate, assuming a clean break from the fence. He comes out of races where he was on the lead from the start and those fields were loaded with pace; conversely, Haitian Sensation beat only three horses when he wired restricted $16,000 claimers in New York two back, and though he was in a duel last time at Delaware there wasn't much pace in that field. I'm looking for a two-speed exacta, California Cool over Haitian Sensation, with a small saver the other way.