11/04/2010 8:31PM

Looking for longshots on Breeders’ Cup Friday

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No Breeders’ Cup favorites here, only bombers. Maybe a few will slip through the cracks on Friday.

In the Marathon, this handicapper likes Giant Oak, but does not love him. Don’t like Awesome Gem, but don’t hate him. Atoned is the bomber. He has faced better, and if he hits the board at a big price, that is good enough.

With respect to the shippers in the Juvenile Fillies Turf, based on video, the fillies already here are already good. Winter Memories is obvious. Kathmanblu is good, too. Sooner or later, her trainer Ken McPeek will win a BC race. He believes this is his best chance.

The Filly & Mare Sprint is the most wide-open on the card. Before he left California for Kentucky, trainer Bob Baffert said G1 winner Gabby’s Golden Gal is ready for her “A” race first start back. If Baffert is right, she can win. Actually, any of them can.

Indian Gracey scratched, so Izshelegal becomes the longshot play. She probably is not good enough. But trainer Terry Knight and this stubborn handicapper believe she is better than shown. It’s her first on dirt. She will be ridden by some guy named Mike Smith.

Midday should beat Harmonious. But improving 3-year-old filly Harmonious is sharp, and worth backing if she somehow slips through the cracks. It probably won’t happen.

Blind Luck will be an underlay in the Ladies’ Classic, her first against older. Milwaukee Appeal is the goofball longshot. She might be a synthetic-surface specialist. Or maybe, she is just getting better.

These longshots are worth backing at 9-1 or higher (listed with track odds, DRF odds).

Marathon: Atoned (20, 20)

Juvenile Fillies Turf: Kathmanblu (10, 6)

Filly & Mare Sprint: Gabby’s Golden Gal (15, 12)

Juvenile Fillies: Izshelegal (30, 20)

Filly & Mare Turf: Harmonious (6, 5)

Ladies’ Classic: Milwaukee Appeal (30, 15)

Bernard Downes More than 1 year ago
This is definitely the year of the longshot. I have gone all-in with small win bets with our English bookies. Gabriels Hill @ 33/1, Izshelegal 50/1, Banned 33/1, Al Khali 23/1, Dos Lunas 64/1, Arch Support 43/1, First Passage 54/1, Jordy Y 40/1, Shared Account 45/1, Waveline 35/1 and Canadian Bullet 43/1. Come Sunday morning I will either be very rich, or broke. Good luck to all and come back safe.