09/22/2010 12:18PM

Lookin Good


The season-ending injury to Travers winner Afleet Express, which denies him the opportunity to run in the Jockey Club Gold Cup and Breeders' Cup, probably clinches the 3-year-old championship for Lookin At Lucky.

Lookin At Lucky's Grade 1 double this year of the Preakness and Haskell will now be hard to top by any other 3-year-old because now, almost all of the 3-year-olds who would have been position to challenge him with another key win this fall are sidelined. Before Afleet Express went bye-bye, Kentucky Derby winner Super Saver and Belmont Stakes winner Drosselmeyer were already on the shelf until next year.

Unless I am overlooking someone, at this point there are only two 3-year-olds who could possibly deny Lookin At Lucky another divisional Eclipse Award this year (don't forget, he was also champion 2-year-old male last year). And both would be reliant on Lookin At Lucky laying an egg in the Indiana Derby and in the Breeders' Cup. They are:

Sidney's Candy - He did win the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby, beating Lookin At Lucky (Lookin At Lucky had a terrible trip, but Sidney's Candy was going to win that race no matter what), and if he beats older horses in the Oak Tree Mile with the same type of brilliant performance he delivered when he won the La Jolla in his turf debut, and then wins the Breeders' Cup Mile over Goldikova, then he would have a case. But even then, he would require some out-of-the-box thinking by Eclipse Award voters, a group not always known for that.

Fly Down - That nose he was beaten in the Travers by Afleet Express is huge because it means he just hasn't accomplished anywhere close to enough so far this year to be in the running. But if he is able to complete a double of the Jockey Club Gold Cup and Breeders' Cup Classic, then how could he be ignored? Then again, that double for Fly Down is, to put it nicely, highly improbable.

Like I said, Lookin At Lucky is looking pretty good right now.