03/04/2011 3:48PM

Longshot seeker


Is a handicapper a complete wimp by picking favorites in all three Grade 1’s on Big ’Cap day?

Turbulent Descent (even-money in race 4), Caracortado (5-2 in race 9) and Twirling Candy (4-5 in race 10) are the most likely winners of the Santa Anita Oaks, Kilroe Mile and Big ’Cap.

Meanwhile, creative bettors may find several options at higher prices.

Race 4 is the Santa Anita Oaks, and May Day Rose figures to be loose on the lead. Can she beat Turbulent Descent? She probably cannot. However, May Day Rose is 6-1 in the program. It’s an attractive price for a lone front-runner on Santa Anita dirt.

Race 9 is the Kilroe, and Gallant Son is doing what he does best – run long. He finished in a rally in a speed-dominated sprint last out, and he often outruns his price. Caracortado and Fluke are better horses, but at 6-1 in the program, Gallant Son might be a better bet.

Race 10 is likely to mark the coronation of Twirling Candy as undisputed leader of the handicap division. However, based on First Dude’s brilliant works since arriving at Santa Anita, he is worth a straight play at his program price of 5-1.

Another Bob Baffert trainee, Spurrier, also merits consideration. A late-runner, Spurrier recently has been compromised by slow fractions. The Big ’Cap pace should be legit, and he will finish. Spurrier is 15-1. Bombs away?