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Keeneland Babies for October 15
Welcome to Keeneland Babies! I'll analyze every juvenile contest at the meet.
Saturday, October 15, 2011
6 1/2 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Claiming ($30,000)
SHARP EFFORT will hope to make a good impression as she is entered in the upcoming Keeneland sale. She is the first starter out of an unplaced daughter of A.P. Indy and wasn't disgraced in her career debut at Hoosier on August 31. Hustled out of the gate that day, she was outsprinted to a tight spot in between runners going into the turn and finished evenly along the rail. That race produced two next-out runners (the runner-up, Charming Vixen, came back to win the $100,000 Kentucky Cup Juvenile Fillies with a 59 Beyer) and Sharp Effort may have an excuse for her dismal second-out showing at Hoosier on September 16. She bobbled badly leaving the gate, chased three wide over a speed-favoring track and seemed a bit green in the stretch. This will be her first start on a synthetic surface, but the drop in class should work in her favor. Her trainer, Dale Romans, is 3-9 (33%, $9.84 ROI) over the past two years with juveniles dropping out of the maiden special weight ranks.
BIOGIO'S GIFT is out of multiple Grade 3 winner Biogio's Rose (52-16-9-8, 797K) and seems well-spotted for this $30,000 tag after attempting to rally over a speed-favoring polytrack surface at Turfway on September 24. A $40,000 yearling buyback, Biogio's Gift will get the services of leading rider Julien Leparoux and shouldn't be too far off the expected moderate pace.
MAKENZIE'S MAGIC is the first starter out of a juvenile sprint winner and she showed second-out improvement when stretched around two turns on the Ellis Park turf course on September 5. Makenzie's Magic had some traffic trouble in that race, but none of the four horses to return from that heat were able to do better than fifth next-out (42 Beyer top). A late-running daughter of Tenpins, Makenzie's Magic may need some pace help up front.
FANTASTIC MIZZ is by Mizzen Mast (11-141, 8%, with juvenile debut runners) out of an unraced mare that foaled one unsuccessful runner. This is the female family of multiple Grade 1 turf winner Possibly Perfect so Fantastic Mizz may eventually do best going a route of ground. A $1,000 yearling buyback, the gray filly goes out for a barn that struck with an older debut winner during the 2009 Keeneland fall meeting (40-1 odds). Fantastic Mizz "went easily from the gate," according to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 7.
GRANNY CALLING is by Honour and Glory (41-350, 12%, with juvenile debut runners) and is the first starter out of an unraced full sister to juvenile stakes-winner Last Gran Standing (25-8-4-5, 345K, 3-4 at two, won debut, 4-11 in synthetic sprints). The dam is also a half-sister to stakes-placed Granny's Pride (20-4-4-3, 136K, 3-10 sprinting). Trainer Andrew McKeever is 0-17 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners.
BACK LIKE A SONG is by Breeders' Cup Mile winner Artie Schiller (4-58, 7%, with juvenile debut runners) out of a sprint winner that has foaled four winners from as many runners (0-3 with juveniles, 2-4 with sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Cat Singer (28-12-6-4, 444K, 1-1 at two, 4-10 sprinting), stakes-winning turf performer Tom Archdeacon (43-4-9-7, 174K) and stakes-winner Best Tune (36-8-4-8, 135K). Trainer Austin Smith is 0-15 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners.
NAGIN is by Red Kohinor (0-3 with juvenile debut runners) out of an unplaced mare that has foaled one prior runner (did not win). A June foal, Nagin has been working slowly at The Thoroughbred Center for a barn that is 0-13 over the past five years with all debut runners.
HAVA DREAM is out of Wendy's Dream, a half-sister to stakes-winner Aspen Hill (19-6-3-3, 103K, 1-3 at two, 2-7 sprinting). Hava Dream drops out of a dull debut effort on grass at Arlington Park. She looks like a nice fit at this class level for the trainer-jockey combination of Wayne Catalano and Garrett Gomez.
EASE AWAY, out of multiple stakes-winner Dayla (42-12-12-5, 300K, 7-19 sprinting), ran an even third behind the two favorites in a maiden claimer at Turfway Park on October 2. Trainer James Dodgen is 0-15 over the past five years with juvenile runners, but Ease Away showed some life in her debut and is a candidate for second-out improvement at a price.
BEAUTIFUL STYLE is a half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Ventana (21-4-4-4, 383K, 1-5 at two, won debut, 4-18 sprinting) and stakes-winning turf performer Miss Challenge (8-3-0-2, 124K, 0-2 at two, all races on grass). The sire is 6-73 (8%) with juvenile debut runners and the turf-winning dam (15-1-1-0, 15K, 0-2 sprinting) has foaled three winners from four runners (1-3 with juveniles, 1-2 with sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Harriman (33-9-7-5, 366K, 2-5 at two, 5-21 sprinting), stakes-winner Dixie Accent (28-5-3-3, 101K, 1-6 at two, 1-11 sprinting) and stakes-placed Bucknell (102-20-17-11, 240K, 0-3 at two, 2-15 sprinting). Trainer Eric Heitzmann is 4-14 (29%, $2.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners (all winners on dirt).
BONAY'S ARCH, a daughter of multiple Grade 3-placed Bonay (23-3-4-5, 146K, 1-7 at two, 0-5 sprinting), may be a forward factor breaking from the rail under Brian Hernandez Jr. She failed to take advantage of a speed-favoring polytrack at Turfway two back, however, and regressed to an 8 on the Beyer scale in her most recent outing. It's good to see her wheel back on 13 days rest, but she has yet to gain ground from the stretch call to the wire.
PEEKABOO SLEW is out of a winning half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter No Comment Baby (20-5-0-1, 75K, 3-10 at two, all races sprinting) and multiple stakes-placed juvenile Helen's Cup of Tea (22-4-3-4, 63K, 3-12 at two, 4-20 sprinting). She can be excused her debut after being bumped at the start after breaking from the rail, but that race has yet to produce anything of note.
1. Sharp Effort
2. Biogio's Gift
3. Makenzie's Magic
Sharp Effort - Biogio's Gift Exacta
Sharp Effort - Makenzie's Magic Exacta
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
According to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 7, CONGENIAL worked in company with Applauding, who broke the track record for six furlongs in his debut for Al Stall Jr. yesterday afternoon. Congenial is by Pulpit (39-313, 12%, with juvenile debut runners) out of stakes-winning turf performer Charming N Lovable (7-3-0-1, 146K, all races on turf), a dam that has foaled one runner that did not win. Charming N Lovable is a half-sister to Grade 2 turf winner Mananan McLir and Grade 3-placed turf runner Sandra's Rose. Stall is 9-31 (29%, positive ROI) over the last six months with his juvenile performers and is 1-4 (25%, $1.20 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight routes.
VENTURA BAR, out of a sprint-winning half-sister to stakes-winner Playinaround (33-13-2-6, 241K, 2-5 routing) and multiple stakes-winning juvenile Playing 'N Gold (9-3-2-1, 150K, all races at two, 1-2 routing), earned a competitive Beyer finishing second in his first route start. The winner of that race returned to finish fourth in the Grade 1 Champagne (74 Beyer) while the third-finisher came back to graduate with a 62. Ventura Bar may have raced on the best part of the track at Belmont (outside) on September 10 and will make his synthetic, and route, debut.
DANCE WITH MONARCH was virtually eliminated at the break of his most recent start at Calder as he was pin-balled just a few strides out of the box. Far behind for most of the way, he uncorked a four wide bid on the final turn and finished up with gusto. A $2,500 yearling that was bought back for $7,000 in April, Dance With Monarch finally sold for $4,500 in June. He is the first starter out of a sprint-placed half-sister to multiple Grade 3-placed router Gold Colony (17-3-3-2, 118K, 0-2 at two, 3-13 routing) and Grade 2-placed turf performer Big Prairie (18-5-2-2, 256K, all races on grass).
TIMELY TALLY is out of an unplaced full sister to stakes-winning router Strategy (16-4-4-4, 220K, all wins routing). The dam is also a half-sister to stakes-winning turf performer Consequence (15-2-1-4, 221K). He caught two tough sprint spots at Saratoga over the summer. In his debut, he faced next-out 86-Beyer graduate Officer Prado. In his most recent race, he chased Alpha, who returned to run second in the Grade 1 Champagne. Timely Tally should be legged up for this route after the two sprints, but is mired way on the outside.
ALEXANDER THEGREAT failed to conquer maiden special weight competition at Turfway Park on October 1 despite being bet down to 6-5 favoritism. He projects as one of the main speeds in this spot, however, and could get brave if allowed an easy early lead. The Beyers are slowly creeping the right way, but trainer Bobby Barnett is 0-11 over the past five years with juveniles on synthetic surfaces.
UNTETHERED, a $24,000 yearling buyback that sold for $200,000 in April, was "lightly ridden, a little better at the finish than Devil Train," according to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 6. Devil Train is a winning three-year-old gelding with a 69 Beyer top. On September 29, it was reported that Untethered was easily outworked by Thunderous G, a three-year-old that finished fifth in a maiden special weight here on October 9 with a 61 Beyer. The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winner Gotthard (78-22-6-16, 286K, 1-3 at two, 9-26 routing) and Breeders' Cup Mile winner Kip Deville (30-12-4-2, 3.3M, 1-3 at two, 0-1 in synthetic routes). Untethered failed to make an impact in his sprint debut at Arlington (three of eight runners came back to crack the trifecta next-out, 65 Beyer top) and now must stretch out three furlongs. Trainer Rusty Arnold is 2-7 (29%, $3.29 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles going from sprint to route on synthetics.
ST MOOSE, a $20,000 yearling that resold for $50,000 in April, is a half-brother to stakes-winner Chopper Won (17-4-4-2, 149K, 1-1 routing) out of stakes-winner Lady Reiko (26-7-5-4, 303K, 1-1 at two, 1-7 routing). The dam is a half-sister to Travers and Whitney winner Will's Way, Ashland winner Willa On the Move and Grade 1-placed router Citidancer. St. Moose raced wide against a slow pace in his career debut going two turns on grass at Saratoga and the winner of that heat returned to finish second in the Grade 3 Pilgrim at Belmont (71 Beyer). Second-out improvement is expected.
STEVIE JONES faced a very promising juvenile named B Shanny when attempting to rally over a speed-favoring Saratoga surface on August 20. Only three of the seven runners to return from that race were able to crack the trifecta next-out (78 Beyer top). The second dam, Gold Streamer, was a multiple stakes-winning router (19-5-2-2, 182K, all wins routing) and the sire won the Kentucky Derby and Preakness so Stevie Jones has the pedigree to successfully stretch out. Trainer Michael Maker is 3-6 (50%, $4.23 ROI) over the past three years with second-time maidens moving from dirt to synthetic.
FIRST MINISTER worked with Let's Go Ben, according to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 8 and "neither was extended." Let's Go Ben finished eleventh in his career debut here earlier in the week with a 47 Beyer. The team gave a "good energetic finish for both, Ben holding the edge at the finish" on September 30. By Tale of the Cat (75-403, 19%, with juvenile debut runners), First Minister is the first starter out of a route-placed mare. Trainer Charles Lopresti is 1-3 (33%, $17.66 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic routes.
GARMENTO, a $60,000 yearling that resold for $135,000 in February, is a half-brother to multiple stakes-winner Art Fan (27-7-4-5, 379K, 2-5 at two, 1-2 routing) and stakes-placed Hunting Print (55-7-8-11, 204K, 2-12 routing). Garmento didn't do much in his sprint debut at Belmont. By Mineshaft, however, he should appreciate today's added distance.
ARABIAN SPIRIT gave a "nice gate work, a little better than Quinte West," according to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 9. Quinte West is a juvenile filly with a 36 Beyer top. Although he trailed throughout in his career debut, it may be too early to give up on this son of the great A.P. Indy out of Chilean Horse of the Year Wild Spirit (15-9-4-1, 984K, 2-5 at two). Trainer Michael Matz has been on fire with his juveniles (9-28, 32%, $6.12 ROI over the past six months). Matz is 2-6 (33%, $2.50 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles adding blinkers.
TITO is by Macho Uno (15-144, 10% with juvenile debut runners) and is the first starter out of sprint winner My Jo Jo (8-1-2-1, 32K, 0-1 at two, 0-5 routing). The dam is a half-sister to Grade 3-placed router True Confidence (15-1-1-2, 81K, 0-3 at two, 0-5 routing). Trainer Steve Asmussen is 0-6 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners in synthetic maiden special weight routes.
2. Ventura Bar
3. Dance With Monarch
Congenial to Win at 3-1 odds or greater
6 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Keeneland 75th Anniversary Stakes
CANIGOTOO earned a 94 Beyer Speed Figure in winning her debut by 12 1/4 lengths at Lone Star and the runner-up from that heat returned to graduate next-out with a 68 Beyer. The beaten favorite in both starts against winners, Canigotoo, out of a winning half-sister to Florida Derby winner Captain Bodgit, was stuck in pace disputes in both of those races. While it's possible he'll be burned in another duel this afternoon, he may offer a nice price based on his last two losses and should be right there when they swing into the stretch. In his most recent start, Canigotoo finished ahead of next-out winner Dogwoods Barto, but that one earned his 71 Beyer for a $30,000 tag. Canigotoo gets a tepid nod going second off the layoff in a very tough race. Trainer Bret Calhoun is 1-4 (25%, $2.75 ROI) over the past year with juveniles switching from dirt to synthetics.
NORM'S PASSION overcame a closer-friendly Del Mar polytrack when cruising to a gate-to-wire score on September 4. The third-place finisher of that race returned to finish second, by a neck, with an 82 Beyer Speed Figure. Trainer Jeff Bonde (21% YTD) is 0-18 over the past three years with maiden graduates facing winners for the first time.
VOODOO DADDY blitzed maidens on dirt at Saratoga and didn't have an easy trip in his first start against winners in the Grade 3 Sapling Stakes at Monmouth. Saddled with the inside draw that afternoon, Voodoo Daddy stumbled at the break and rushed up to contest a hot pace. He, understandably, had nothing left for the stretch drive. Note that only two of the seven horses to return from the Sapling were able to crack the trifecta next-out (78 Beyer top) and trainer Steve Asmussen is 2-42 (5%) over the past year with juveniles on synthetic surfaces. A half-brother to stakes-winning sprinter Deadly Dealer (23-8-5-6, 327K, 1-2 at two, all wins sprinting), Voodoo Daddy draws well and may opt for an early spot just off the lead.
LUKE OF YORK goes out for a barn that excels with juvenile runners (4-6, 67%, $3.76 ROI over the past year with second-time juveniles returning from a maiden win) and the son of Put It Back rallied from off the pace to nip maidens at Arlington on September 24. The ninth-place finisher of that race returned to score by 7 1/4 lengths for a $25,000 tag at Hawthorne on Thursday afternoon. Out of a winning half-sister to stakes-winner Golden Damsel (16-5-1-2, 241K, 1-3 at two, 1-4 sprinting) and stakes-winner If It's Meant to B (21-3-3-0, 130K, 0-3 at two, 1-14 sprinting), Luke of York should receive an excellent pace setup and looms a solid contender.
LARRY ZIP pulled off a 30-1 shocker in his career debut going 4 1/2 furlongs at the Keeneland spring meet and was purchased privately following that race. Although the beaten favorite in his last two starts, Larry Zip cuts back in distance and should find the expected hot pace right up his alley as a late-runner. The dam is a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Wander Mom (34-8-9-8, 399K, 1-9 at two, 1-8 sprinting), juvenile Grade 3-placed router Minewander (36-5-5-6, 224K) and stakes-placed sprinter Backtrack (18-3-1-1, 72K). Larry Zip finished ahead of Adena Chance last time and that foe returned to win a $25,000 'n2x' claimer at Hawthorne by 4 1/2 lengths with a 72 Beyer. The "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 9 noted that Larry Zip worked in company with Table Three Ten, an unraced juvenile filly.
D'WILDCAT ROAD flashed high speed when a maiden winner on grass at Ellis Park and could be part of the pace picture with the likes of Canigotoo. A half-brother to stakes-winning router Forestry Type (17-6-4-2, 137K, 2-5 sprinting), he'll have to break alertly from the inside post lest he be shuffled back on the backstretch. Only one of the five horses to return from his maiden win came back to crack the exacta (60 Beyer on grass at Kentucky Downs).
SARGE HUDSON puts his undefeated streak on the line as he tackles stakes competition for the first time. He showed some moxie by successfully stretching out 2 1/2 furlongs on grass at Ellis Park last time out, but is untested on synthetic and will need a Beyer boost in order to make it three in a row. The runner-up from his most recent start returned to place third in the Kentucky Cup Juvenile with a 54 Beyer. Sarge Hudson has good tactical speed and may find a nice spot behind the expected hot pace.
ITALO won his career debut for Wesley Ward in France and has excuses for his subsequent last-place finishes. In the Group 2 Coventry Stakes at Longchamp, he faced Power, one of the leading juveniles in Europe. Last time out, in the Grade 2 Saratoga Special, he sparred with Union Rags, the next-out winner of the Grade 1 Champagne and leading contender for next month's Breeders' Cup Juvenile. The Saratoga Special also produced next-out Swynford Stakes (85 Beyer) winner Indian Evening. Italo "was well reserved in his work," according to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 11. He "was full of energy in his effort" on October 2. Ward removes the blinkers (he is 6-24, 25%, with a $1.10 ROI with juveniles removing blinkers over the past four years) and Italo may attempt rating tactics here.
SHERIFF SILVERSTAR rated successfully in taking his maiden at one mile over sloppy going, but engaged in a duel in his first start against winners. Expect more conservative tactics leaving the gate today. A son of stakes-placed sprinter Cat Out (29-2-3-3, 69K, 1-1 at two, 2-27 sprinting), Sheriff Silverstarr must improve on his career-best Beyer of 41.
2. Norm's Passion
3. Voodoo Daddy
Canigotoo to Win and Place at 9-2 odds or greater
6 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
COUP "had the edge on Spring Street, good effort for both," according to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 9. Spring Street is a juvenile filly that finished seventh with a 31 Beyer in her career debut here yesterday, but she had the misfortune to tackle the record-breaking Applauding. By Empire Maker (10-104, 10%, with juvenile debut runners) out of Australian Group 1-placed turf performer French Lady (12-1-3-0, won at ten furlongs on turf, has foaled one winner from one runner), it's quite possible that Coup wants a bit more than this six furlongs. Ramon Dominguez is encouraged to ride, however, and Coup has been working steadily for Graham Motion.
CANDY CAT CAN is by Langfuhr (35-375, 9%, with juvenile debut runners) and is the first starter out of stakes-placed router Bees (8-2-2-2, 105K, 1-2 at two), a half-sister to Grade 3 route winner Madison's Charm (14-3-3-1, 202K, 0-2 at two, 0-1 sprinting) and multiple Group 3-placed turf performer Pebble Island. Trainer James Baker is 2-11 (18%, $2.03 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on synthetic surfaces.
IRISH EXCHANGE was odds-on for both dirt outings at Delaware Park, but faced tough competition in each of those starts. In her debut, she tackled Grace Hall (next-out winner of the Grade 1 Spinaway, now 3-3). Last time out, she was dueled into defeat by the runaway winner. A half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Sterling Vow (26-5-5-2, 156K, 1-5 at two, all wins sprinting) out of a half-sister to Grade 2 winner Candid Glen (49-12-11-6, 1.2M, 0-1 sprinting), Irish Exchange sold for $40,000 as a weanling before being purchased for $160,000 in May. She looms the controlling speed under Gabriel Saez.
BACK SPIN made her debut in the faster division of juvenile filly maiden special weights at Hoosier Park on August 31. That race produced two next-out winners including Charming Vixen, who took the Kentucky Cup Juvenile Fillies in her next engagement). Back Spin regressed ten points in her second start, but she may not have cared for the muddy conditions at Hoosier on October 1. An $18,000 yearling buyback, she is out of an unplaced half-sister to multiple Grade 1 route winner Tactile (16-7-3-2, 380K, 1-3 at two, 1-2 sprinting). Trainer William Fires is 1-44 (2%) over the past two years with juvenile runners.
TRY TO CATCH HER didn't have an easy time of it in her career debut at Saratoga. Not only did she attempt to rally over a speed-favoring track, but the winner of that heat returned to finish third in the Grade 1 Frizette while the runner-up came back to graduate with a 56 Beyer. Out of the Grade 1 winner See How She Runs (19-8-5-3, 586K, 4-8 sprinting) is eligible to improve second-time out.
SOFT WHISPER was no match for seven-length winner Best of Times in her career debut at Ellis Park on September 2, but that foe only could muster a fourth-place finish in her subsequent start (41 Beyer in the Kentucky Cup Juvenile Fillies). She is out of a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Uninhibited Song (14-5-1-0, 160K, 0-1 at two, 1-3 sprinting) and the dam is also a half-sister to Grade 3-placed sprinter Special Brush, stakes-placed sprinter Timely Affair and juvenile Grade 2 sprint winner Twilight Time.
TRANS CONTINENTAL is by E Dubai (25-167, 16%, with juvenile debut runners) out of sprint winner Plucky Broad (27-6-6-3, 125K, all wins sprinting, has foaled four winners from as many runners, 3-4 with 2yos, 4-4 with sprinters). The second dam is stakes-placed router Broad Expectations, a full sister to Breeders' Cup Classic winner Concern. Trainer Philip Sims finished second with a long-priced debut runner here the other day.
WHISPERING WISDOM was outworked by Discussion Closed, according to the "Keeneland Clocker Report" for October 8. That one is an unraced juvenile. By first-crop sire Master Command (2-23, 9%, with juvenile debut runners) Whispering Wisdom is the first starter out of route winner Minny's Niece (6-1-2-0, 41K, 0-1 sprinting). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Doe Na Wane (15-3-0-2, 72K, 2-5 at two, won debut, 2-8 sprinting).
LOTTA HEART is by Badge of Silver (8-61, 13%, with juvenile debut runners) out of sprint winner I'vegothhemusicinme (11-2-1-1, 49K, 2-10 at two, 2-10 sprinting, has foaled two winners from three runners, 1-2 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters). The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Pleasant Music (21-6-5-4, 255K, 1-4 at two, won debut, 2-6 sprinting), juvenile Grade 3-placed turf performer African Colony and Grade 3-placed router Blow Out. A $14,000 yearling buyback, Lotta Heart has been working on dirt for trainer Ken McPeek.
THE CAT'S ALL THAT, a $50,000 yearling purchase that was bought back for $60,000 earlier this year, is by first-crop sire Discreet Cat (3-26, 12%, with juvenile debut runners) out of Grade 3 route winner Pantufla (17-4-3-1, 195K, 1-2 at two, 0-1 sprinting, has foaled five winners from six runners, 1-5 with 2yos, 3-4 with sprinters).
PRETTYGOOD AND YOU, a $37,000 short yearling that resold for $20,000 last September, is by first-crop sire Corinthian (3-38, 8%, with juvenile debut runners) and is the first starter out of stakes-winning sprinter Ketchmewhereyoucan (15-4-2-1, 106K, 2-7 at two, won debut, 4-12 sprinting). The second dam is stakes-winner Dasharoo (32-3-6-4, 108K, 2-12 at two, won debut, 2-18 sprinting). The barn is 0-10 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners.
SWEET NKOSI is by A.P. Warrior (2-26, 8%, with juvenile debut runners) and is the first starter out of stakes-placed Unthinkable (41-10-5-7, 147K, 0-1 at two, 2-13 sprinting). Trainer Anthony Mitchell is 0-15 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners.
2. Candy Cat Can
3. Irish Exchange
Coup to Win at 2-1 odds or greater