01/11/2010 6:07PM

Interesting 3yos, Beyers, pp's

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Trainer Gary Contessa had been touting Eightyfiveinafifty all week and the three-year-old colt responded in a huge way at Aqueduct on Saturday. 

Making his second career start, Eightyfiveinafifty started as the 35-100 favorite in the six-furlong maiden special weight and dominated from start to finish, winning by 17 1/4 lengths while earning a 105 Beyer Speed Figure. 

A son of Forest Camp out of Lifeinthefastlane, by Unbridled's Song, Eightyfiveinafifty was a $40,000 RNA at last July's Fasig-Tipton Summer Yearling Sale before being purchased for $100,000 after working a furlong in 9.4 at the Ocala Breeders' Sale in March, 2009.

The sire was a brilliant sprinter, winning the Grade 2 Del Mar Futurity over such good juveniles as Dixie Union, Captain Steve, and Commendable.  Forest Camp also earned a 115 Beyer at three in winning the Pirate's Bounty Handicap at six furlongs. 

Lifeinthefastlane sold for $150,000 as a yearling but never won her maiden.  Her dam, Inthefastlane (by Once Wild), was multiple stakes-placed sprinting as a juvenile filly.  There are plenty of quality influences deep in this pedigree, but it's quite possible that Eightyfiveinafifty will have some distance limitations.  It will be interesting to see how he fares in his next start, the Whirlaway Stakes going 1 1/16 miles at Aqueduct on February 6. 

Contessa unveiled Eightyfiveinafifty in a salty maiden special weight at Saratoga on August 1, and he finished a game third behind next-out Hopeful (Grade 1) winner Dublin.  The fourth-place finisher that afternoon, Discreetly Mine, won his maiden the following start and would eventually finish second in the Grade 1 Champagne at Belmont Park. 

Eightyfiveinafifty missed some time after his debut due to bucked shins and an injured hock, but he was simply too good for his opponents on Saturday, winning by a country mile despite failing to switch leads until inside the final furlong.  Before we proclaim him the Derby winner, however, let's see how far he'll stay.

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A Little Warm, a Virginia-bred trained by Tony Dutrow, successfully made the leap from maiden winner to stakes winner in the Spectacular Bid Stakes over sloppy going at Gulfstream.  An Edward Evans homebred, A Little Warm is by Stormin Fever out of Grade 3 winner Minidar (twice earned a 106 Beyer Speed Figure going seven furlongs), and has several sprint influences close up in his pedigree.  It looked like he made his final lead change a bit early in the Spectacular Bid.

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It was a workmanlike score for Custom for Carlos in the Grade 3 Mr. Prospector Handicap at Gulfstream Park on Saturday.  Perhaps he didn't care for the extremely slick racing conditions, but it's the second straight race in which the winning Custom for Carlos failed to definitively put the hammer down on his opponents in the stretch, and the gallop-outs from both races failed to impress. .He's a talented sprinter, make no mistake about it, but he's sure to get stiffer challenges down the road. 

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I gave trainer David Fawkes a hard time last Triple Crown season concerning his handling of Big Drama prior to the Preakness, but he deserves tons of credit for Duke of Mischief's win in the off-the-turf Ft. Lauderdale Stakes at Gulfstream on Sunday.  Off since a dull seventh-place finish as the favorite in the Oklahoma Derby on October 11, Duke of Mischief raced 3-5 wide over a "good" track that seemed to favor closers in posting a game victory.  This was his first start since he reportedly entrapped his epiglottis and Duke of Mischief certainly ran like he got his air.  I don't think he's the Met Mile winner, but the versatile Duke of Mischief gives his connections plenty of options.

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St. Trinians continues to impress in Southern California.  The five-year-old mare is a perfect 3-3 since arriving in North America for trainer Mike Mitchell, and she put up a triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure in winning the Paseana Handicap on Saturday at Santa Anita.  The key for St. Trinians may be staying healthy as she has a rather unattractive paddling stride and has already suffered from some ankle problems.  She did everything right in the Paseana except for drifting toward the rail during the final furlong.
"She gets low to the ground and she tries really hard," said winning jockey Joel Rosario.  "I don't know how good she is."

St.Trinians
St. Trinians glides geared down to the wire in the Paseana.
(Benoit Photo)

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Here are the lifetime past performances for the week's top Beyer earner:

Download Eightyfiveinafifty

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Dan
Any chance that you can post pp's from an old ny bred mare named Anniron?
thanks
Mickey

Here's what I have for Anniron:

Download Anniron

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PS...Is it a negative to be running a 6 yo mare? Just when do these superstars peak & ebb? Would love any comments!
SR Vegas

I think you have to take it on a case-by-case basis.  Pedigree, injury history, temperament, etc. are all factors to consider when wondering if a horse has peaked.  Azeri was six when she won her third straight Older Mare title.  If the horse is happy and healthy at six, there's no reason why he/she can't continue to perform at a high level.

According to Ed Golden's "Stable Notes" on the Santa Anita website, Dottie Ingordo, Racing Manager for Mr. and Mrs. Moss, noted that Zenyatta has remained in California due to the weather. 
"It's very cold in Kentucky, two degrees," noted Ingordo.  "We sent one horse there and it got sick."

Still, the fact that Zenyatta has remained in steady training since winning the Breeders' Cup Classic has fans wondering if she will return to the races in 2010.  Stay tuned.

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SR Vegas,
As you noted, they breezed LAUNCH N RELAUNCH the very next day after the gate incident. I suppose he was ready to run yesterday and they needed to burn up a little of his energy. Also, they could get a good look at his action, etc. to make sure he doesn't have any ill effects from getting kicked.
Annie

Anyway...I was surprised Eskenderyea wasn't favored
Mike A.


From Mike Welsch's column posted on 1/8/10:

Thursday's main event did lose two of its 12 prospective starters at the gate when Our Repent acted up after being loaded, turning around in his stall and kicking next-door neighbor Launch N Relaunch. Both horses were scratched on the advice of the track veterinarian.
Trainer Rick Dutrow said Launch N Relaunch, who had won his only start, came out of the incident none the worse for wear. In fact he sent the son of Harlan's Holiday right back out to work five furlongs in 1:03.60 here on Friday morning.
"He was fine and could have started, but I understand their policy and why the horse was scratched," said Dutrow. "I would rather have seen him run but no big deal. I put him right back in on the grass for Wednesday. He's bred everywhere for turf, and if he's going to turn out to be a good horse, we've got plenty of time."

Launch in Relaunch is entered in the seventh race at Gulfstream on Wednesday, an entry-level allowance at 1 1/16 miles on turf.  He is 12-1 on the morning line.

Eskendereya was the 13-10 favorite when winning his allowance on January 7.

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Dan, Did you happen to notice the comment line on Smokin Pistol in Saturdays 7th at AQU, "whipped 17 times to wire". 
Mark

The full chart gives this notation: 

SMOKIN PISTOL set the pace off the rail, opened up some in the lane and then was hit 17 times with the whip from the eighth pole to the line while never ever in jeopardy." 

I checked the New York State Racing and Wagering Board's website to see if any penalties were administered to her jockey, Mike Allen, but found nothing.  After watching the replay, while Allen certainly went to a heavy drive on Smokin Pistol, it didn't appear to be a case of malicious brutality.

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pippen0707
(from the previous thread)
I also just happened to be watching tvg at home and caught that bizzare incident in the 5th at Philly today.  Here are the comments from the DRF chart for the two horses/jockeys involved...
Divine Light drifted out bumping Mi Helena midway thru the backstretch where the riders of those two exchanged blows soon after.  Then she lacked the needed rally.
Mi Helena was bumped by Divine Light midway up the backstretch then her rider exchanged blows with Divine Light's jockey.  She moved closer on the far turn then flattened out in the drive.
(then at the end of the comments)
Divine Light was disqualified to 9th following a stewards inquiry.
Dick W

From the Philadelphia Inquirer:

http://www.philly.com/inquirer/sports/81058557.html

The riders will face the Philadelphia Park stewards on January 21.  Eriluis Vaz, one of the jockeys involved in the incident, has already issued a public apology.

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Dan, can we have the pp's for Kelly Kip?
Who's better?  Formal Gold or Ghostzapper?
Dan, will you add CIGAR'S pp's to FORMAL GOLD and GHOSTZAPPER so we can compare the three? Dan, can we get these two's pp's on the same page for easy comparison?
Captain Bodgit

Here they are:

Download Kelly Kip

Download Three Handicap Stars


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Also,
did all the Ny horse go to GP
due to the cold weather? AQU on Saturday does not look good. Only (8) races!! Wow.
Michael H.

It's a combination of things.  The good horses venture south for the winter while there are plenty of lucrative options for the run-of-the-mill platers thanks to slot-infused purses in Pennsylvania and West Virginia. 

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Dan,
Is there a link at DRF where one can get track takeout?  This would be very useful and not difficult to maintain.
Takeout does matter
PW

Paulie Walnuts: DRF.com has track takeout info...
http://www.drf.com/entries/entries_info.html
BombsawayBob Grant

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What does the jockey or trainer get for winning the most races at any track?
Jack McCurdy, Clermont, Fl.

Perhaps a nice trophy and their names in the record book.  I don't believe there is a cash incentive involved.

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Dan,
Since we're talking about fast horses like Ghostzapper and looking at lists of high BSF figures, may we please see the lifetime past performances for two-time Champion sprinter Housebuster?
Thanks!
David H.

Here they are:

Download Housebuster

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I'm just curious, you were able to post Stymie's past performances, so how come you can't get Ruffian's? I thought the database went back to the early 70s.
erin

How did you get the pps for Gun Bow and Kelso but not Ruffian's rivals? They ran at least a decade later. It makes no sense.
r

I posted Ruffian's past performances in a previous blog so I guess you're talking about Ruffian's Rivals.  I also mentioned that in special instances (champions, notables like Stymie, Ruffian, etc.), I have access to the older past performances.  In other cases, the best I can do is enter the name of the horse and see what pops up.  In the case of Ruffian's opponents, I didn't get much.

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Hi Dan!
Looking the pps of Latin stars in the past that failed to conquer the US tracks, can you post theses other Venezuelan champs pps: Catire Bello, My Own Business, Taconeo and Canonero II. I hope Bambera (she won the fillies tiple crown and two legs of the TC with a game 2 nd) could win any stake in US this year!
Thanks a lot!
Jose Iglesias Garcia

Here's what I have:

Download Venezuelan Stars

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HG 167
I will start by throwing out the 10 - Southern Vintage off 2 straight wins (sprints on off tracks).  I'm not sure that he can get a mile.  Will probably be a short price and I am going elsewhere for the winner.  # 6 - Sligo Joe is exiting a key race.  # 1 - Valid Stripes drops from Stakes Company.  # 5 First Regent off the claim, might just pick up the pieces if the speed horses nurn each other out.
My bet
$13 - Win on 6
$10 Ex Box 6,1,5 (60)
$ 1 Tri 6 w 1,4,5 w All (27)
dhitz

Congrats to dhitz for finishing first in last week's HandiGambling exercise.  He selects the eighth race at Gulfstream on Wednesday.  Here are the past performances:

Download HG168

Remember that you have a mythical $100 with which to wager on the race, and the entrant with the highest money total will receive a "Monthly Enhanced 60-Card Past Performance Plan."   Anyone going over the $100 limit will be disqualified.  In the event of a tie, the earliest post gets first preference. 


I know that there is a time issue for some of you, but let's remember why we began the HandiGambling races in the first place.  The goal was to share ideas on why we like these horses, and why we're betting them the way we are.  I'm not asking for a novel, but if you could spare a sentence or two outlining your handicapping angles, and thought processes about wagering, it would be appreciated.


Cheers,

Dan

chuck More than 1 year ago
Is there a site that I can go and find the Beyer's for races run each wk? And, what was Bold Chieftain's fig for the SMillClsc contested Sat. the 30th? Thanks CH
SpartanTom More than 1 year ago
Correction to last SUPER $2 SUP PW 7,8/7,8/10,11/10,11.
SpartanTom More than 1 year ago
HG 168 (Revised): $3 Tri PW 7,8/7,8/2,9,10,11,13; ($30) $3 Tri PW 7,8/2,9,10,11,13/7,8;($30) $1 Sup PW 7,8/7,8/2,9,10,11,13/10,11;($16) $1 Sup PW 7,8/2,9,10,11,13/7,8/10.11 ($16) $2 Sup PW 7,8/7,8/10,11/10/11
Bochalls More than 1 year ago
HG Entry: As we know the 1 and 3 are out... #7-FORMIDABLE...been stopping in the lane every time, except his races at GP, where he has run his top 3 lifetime Beyers. Tactical speed ensures a nice trip. Player. #5 KEECHI BULLET...not good enough maybe? Toss the bad cycle with races on slop and poly and you have a decent horse with a win at GP. Pace should be right and I like his figure off the layoff..perhaps better to come today??? #2-SAN VAL...Kent D up, loves GP, and i like his work pattern with a good move in Dec and 2 slooooooow moves since. Needs his pace on a speed favoring (traditionally) GP surface. #8 VICARIAN...whatcha gonna do here? Too tough to leave out right? So i wont. The skinny for me is that #7 will be able to get his trip on his favorite surface so I will key him in the top 2 slots in tris. Lets repeat the Nov at Aqu to Jan at GP move. $4 TRI: 7 w 2,5,8 w 2,5,8,9,10 ($48) $2 TRI: 2,5,8 w 7 w 2,5,8,9,10 ($24) $3 EX 2,5,8 w 2,5,7,8 ($27) $1 SUPER: 7 w 8 w 2 w 5 ($1)
SR Vegas More than 1 year ago
HG 168 Wager just saw scratces of #1 & #3 $2 TRI BOX 7-9-12-13 =$48 $2 EX BOX 7-9-12-13 =$24 $25 Win #13 Total $97 ...my thoughts were on the last page. Good luck to all! SR Vegas
jim tully More than 1 year ago
Annie, Forgive me. One more swing before I put my bat away. A few days ago I compared the brief but brilliant career of Ghostzapper to two other immortal sports stars, Sandy Koufax and Gale Sayers. Here are links to their career stats; http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/k/koufasa01.shtml?redir http://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/S/SayeGa00.htm Koufax made starts in 12 major league seasons and finished his career with 165 wins, hardly a career total noteworthy of the Hall of Fame or the label "Great." To put it in perspective, that's 2 less wins than Brett Saberhagen and one more than Scott Sanderson and I don't think either one of those pitchers is headed for Cooperstown anytime soon. So why Koufax he held in such reverence, especially when for 7 of those seasons he was essentially a .500 pitcher? Because his last 5 seasons he was practically untouchable, going 111-34 with an ERA just under 2.00 and won 3 Cy Young Awards. He retired at 30 years old. Compared to the careers of recent(and possibly "Great") pitchers everyone will recognize, Greg Maddux and Tom Glavine, his career could hardly be called complete. He certainly isn't in the HOF off his first 7 years in baseball so, I ask, is 5 years worth of statistics enough to warrant election to the HOF and the label "Great." It must be because the last I checked, his bust is in Cooperstown and he's spoken of by people of my father's generation and baseball historians as a god, perhaps even the best left-hander ever. Sayers, likewise, had a short career due to injury. He played in 68 games over 7 seasons( the last two of which he played in only 2 games), rushed for 4,956 total yards and scored 39 touchdowns. He ranks 114 in career rushing yards. So there must be 113 better runnings backs better than he and they must all be in the Pro Football HOF, right? Not hardly. So how did he achieve his "Greatness?" It obviously must have been more than just statistics. Compared to the careers of recent running backs everyone will recognize, Emmitt Smith and Barry Sanders, he hardly deserves to sit at the same table as they at McDonalds. Yet to hear it told, there had been no other back like him at the time. It is said he had eyes in the back of his head and ran like the wind. Since his numbers don't tell the tale, I can only assume he had to been seen to be appreciated and that for a short period of time, he was the best in the game. My first point? That the label "Great" can be achieved any number of ways. It can be achieved through either longevity or by brilliance. Ghostzapper fits in this latter category. He may have run only 11 times and only 4 in his championship season, but for a year and a half, he was the best horse on the planet. It can be argued he was the best horse of his era, say, over the last 20 years. Like Sayers, he needed to be seen to be appreciated. Like Koufax, his career number don't stack up. With Ghostzapper it was more than just statistics. It was not only his superior Beyer numbers, it was the style and ease of his victories and his versatility to come off the pace at 7F and run on the lead at 10F against the best field horse racing had to offer. In his BC he beat the defending champ and the reigning Dubai World Cup champ. Noted columnist Andy Beyer wrote after the classic, " At the racetracks of America there is a universal term for a horse like Ghostzapper: a freak. He has raw talent that dwarfs even those thoroughbreds who might legitimately deserve the label "great." and "In his three prior starts this season, Ghostzapper ran three phenomenal races. When he won the Iselin Handicap at Monmouth Park, he ran so fast that he earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 128, the best by any horse in more than a decade. In the seven-furlong Tom Fool Stakes at Belmont, he earned a figure of 120 -- the best effort by any sprinter this season. Thus he was the fastest distance runner and the fastest sprinter. If that's not a horse of the year, what is?" My second point is that in answer to the question offered by C, "If Beyer Speed Figures never existed, where would Ghostzapper really stand on the list of all-time greats?", that he needs to be included among the all time greats because his short but brilliant career is similar to 2 other athletes who achieved greatness in their sport. My comparison to Koufax and Sayers is sound, despite what Mickey says.
hairy More than 1 year ago
HG168 revision with the scratch of the 3 change my wager to: $25 ex box 11/13 $25 w/p 11
Laura More than 1 year ago
Steve T.'s Santa Anita handicapping picks for today are available at: http://www.ironmaidensthoroughbreds.com/ Enjoy!
jerry daker More than 1 year ago
hg 168 7 form speed ok 11 late speed chick 50 ex bx 7,11 i think desert keys race is a workout for down the road. rip bobby wish you were here. good luck
Annie More than 1 year ago
OK, with the scratch of Desert Key, this gives James Jerken's dad a good chance for the victory. #7 FORMIDABLE - Really likes GP and if he can get back to those Beyers he posted here early in 2009, he can win this. Prado takes and has been working steadily for this. #11 HE'S SO CHIC - Has speed and very decent Beyers. #13 PRINCE OMAR - Inherits Velazquez after the scratch of Desert Key. Bullet work and fast breezes at GP. Zito can get winners. I see the 11 & 13 going at it from the outside and the 7 staying close and ready to pounce. We shall see, I guess. Sigh! $50 Exacta 7/11 & 13 = $100 Good luck everyone! Annie